Serene-Cotton — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$25

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-07 14:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 100% +$1

Other

32% — —

Politics

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Leonard Jackson advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No		+25	$25	100¢	$25	$-0	06-01 15:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 190 214	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	04-14 09:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	2	$33	33	0	+33	open	—	05-27 08:45
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 18-24?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-23 11:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-09 06:27
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 5?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	05-05 11:47
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-29 09:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	1	$28	28	0	+28	Yes	+$0	05-13 11:05
highest temperature in mexico city on april 15 2026 17c	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-14 22:15
xrp above 1pt2 on april 19	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-17 17:38
highest temperature in hong kong on april 16 2026 29c	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-16 08:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?	1	$26	26	0	+26	Yes	+$0	05-06 05:01
Will Leonard Jackson advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	06-01 15:20
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	02-08 21:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	05-17 11:48
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 May 4-10?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	05-10 12:38
will ethereum dip to 1200 in january 2026 477	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	01-06 08:47
bitcoin above 82k on april 23	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-23 04:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	05-19 17:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	05-16 05:40
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 21?	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	05-20 01:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	05-07 17:47
bitcoin above 70k on april 24	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	04-22 07:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	05-08 21:10
ethereum above 2500 on april 20	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	04-20 12:28
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 25?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-24 16:38
will the super mario galaxy movie be the highest grossing movie of this weekend	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-02 15:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 26?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-25 13:00
bitcoin above 78k on april 18	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	04-18 12:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 2?	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	06-01 15:10
highest temperature in seattle on march 28 2026 68 69f	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	03-26 20:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 14:50:51	xrp above 1pt4 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0xe9955f…
06-01 15:20:41	Will Leonard Jackson advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xe00c2d…
06-01 15:10:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xe83070…
05-29 11:22:22	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x90277d…
05-29 04:06:57	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8d6631…
05-27 08:45:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xeef03f…
05-26 19:15:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0x392b61…
05-26 10:56:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x83c020…
05-25 13:00:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfba07b…
05-24 00:38:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xca7b75…
05-23 11:28:04	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 18-24?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x121a82…
05-22 22:12:26	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1ac44f…
05-22 07:51:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$11	0x4abe90…
05-21 19:36:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x7cd54a…
05-20 01:26:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xf7ed77…
05-19 17:45:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xf8a813…
05-18 07:34:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe03247…
05-17 11:48:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x9676a7…
05-16 05:40:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb8813a…
05-13 11:05:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb6d903…
05-10 12:38:40	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 May 4-10?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x1a0f8b…
05-09 06:27:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9b44ee…
05-08 21:10:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x41475a…
05-07 17:47:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x1cc40f…
05-06 10:09:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8a3025…
05-06 05:01:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x004fd5…
05-05 11:47:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 5?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x15b4f0…
05-05 07:33:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0fe217…
05-03 22:53:08	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0xfadbbd…
05-02 02:55:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xe354a7…
05-01 23:33:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x01f316…
04-30 20:20:22	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in April?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbeeb24…
04-29 09:24:42	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xbd98bf…
04-26 14:30:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb8d5c7…
04-26 04:24:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1da0a4…
04-25 23:52:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x16a9d0…
04-24 16:38:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3fde0c…
04-23 04:19:32	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa23314…
04-22 09:36:16	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 320 339	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe4872f…
04-22 07:52:42	bitcoin above 70k on april 24	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x8d3ad9…
04-21 15:43:08	bitcoin above 70k on april 22	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xdbe475…
04-20 18:39:56	highest temperature in chicago on april 21 2026 54forhigher	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb450a0…
04-20 12:28:20	ethereum above 2500 on april 20	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x370610…
04-19 10:45:44	highest temperature in hong kong on april 19 2026 30c	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x979076…
04-18 12:46:58	bitcoin above 78k on april 18	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x88ea0b…
04-17 20:16:02	bitcoin above 72k on april 18	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xec7ab4…
04-17 17:38:22	xrp above 1pt2 on april 19	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x5b1941…
04-16 22:39:32	Will Assen Vassilev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb25ec0…
04-16 14:37:48	will meta close below 580 week april 17 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x25b2f6…
04-16 08:16:50	highest temperature in hong kong on april 16 2026 29c	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xce17e2…
04-15 00:19:22	bitcoin above 64k on april 17	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2d7479…
04-14 22:15:04	highest temperature in mexico city on april 15 2026 17c	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xde139f…
04-14 09:25:43	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 190 214	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x313e94…
04-14 00:52:51	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 190 214	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe5721d…
04-02 15:00:01	will the super mario galaxy movie be the highest grossing movie of this weekend	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x17bcaf…
04-01 02:58:53	highest temperature in ankara on april 1 2026 12c	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc107e8…
03-29 12:51:52	will xai have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x05612a…
03-26 20:20:41	highest temperature in seattle on march 28 2026 68 69f	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x533779…
02-08 21:55:19	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xa0d1bc…
01-25 14:31:18	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4e1429…
01-22 16:04:36	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0x92b8bd…
01-14 14:26:38	will felix auger aliassime win the 2026 australian open	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x05e398…
01-09 18:50:38	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8b34b2…
01-06 08:47:39	will ethereum dip to 1200 in january 2026 477	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xdc35aa…
01-04 18:17:51	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa726af…