Dimpled-Commercial 0xa57797…26b06a
4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$123
Unrealized P&L
+$77
Hit rate
77.5%
Resolved
146
Trades
271
lifetime
Volume
$16.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$59
Open exposure
$853
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-27 13:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 79 days
Categories
Politics
63% 58% -$371
Other
33% 51% +$298
Sports
4% 56% -$50
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +150 $80 90¢ $135 +$55 06-16 08:30
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +85 $50 93¢ $79 +$29 08-10 12:16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +63 $40 96¢ $61 +$21 10-03 16:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +61 $40 88¢ $54 +$14 08-20 03:42
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 Yes +50 $30 96¢ $48 +$18 08-10 15:40
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 No +55 $30 88¢ $48 +$18 08-06 09:15
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? No +55 $40 82¢ $45 +$5 10-19 11:52
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +73 $40 60¢ $44 +$4 10-22 20:04
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? Yes +76 $30 57¢ $43 +$13 10-21 18:21
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +55 $40 78¢ $42 +$2 10-03 16:51
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +44 $30 83¢ $37 +$7 10-07 14:41
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +51 $30 68¢ $35 +$5 10-04 12:51
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +65 $40 52¢ $34 -$6 10-07 14:36
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +48 $30 66¢ $32 +$2 10-21 09:06
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632 No +31 $20 92¢ $28 +$8 08-11 15:05
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +43 $30 52¢ $22 -$8 10-03 05:13
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +35 $16 63¢ $22 +$6 09-14 08:53
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +74 $40 20¢ $14 -$26 06-21 07:27
russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189 No +114 $40 12¢ $13 -$27 06-22 14:12
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? Yes +85 $30 12¢ $10 -$20 09-08 11:04
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +87 $20 6¢ $5 -$15 06-19 05:41
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +86 $30 2¢ $1 -$29 07-26 11:40