Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

+$216

Hit rate

58.1%

Resolved

Trades

897

lifetime

Volume

$17.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$279

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-08 10:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

55% — —

Politics

33% 50% +$5

Tech

5% — —

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes		+267	$51	100¢	$266	+$216	06-02 10:53
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No		-20	$-12	62¢	$-12	$-0	06-08 07:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
internet access restored in iran by friday 263	7	$489	300	300	+0	open	—	01-27 12:23
odds of us strikes iran in february over 50 by feb 13	3	$466	200	300	-100	open	—	02-08 23:59
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	5	$418	250	250	+0	open	—	03-12 16:38
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	5	$391	200	200	+0	open	—	03-09 10:49
will dtmf bad bunny win song of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	9	$386	100	300	-200	open	—	02-01 14:26
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 340 359	8	$383	400	300	+100	open	—	01-27 12:21
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?	6	$365	220	220	+0	open	—	04-01 11:45
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$359	200	200	+0	open	—	02-09 07:29
will spyglass pharma incs market cap be between 550m and 600m at market close on ipo day	3	$334	100	300	-200	open	—	02-06 18:40
will spyglass pharma incs market cap be between 600m and 650m at market close on ipo day	20	$329	100	300	-200	open	—	02-06 18:38
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	8	$328	200	200	+0	open	—	02-09 09:26
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	6	$321	220	220	+0	open	—	04-24 15:06
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	7	$321	204	300	-96	open	—	03-14 13:25
us forces seize another oil tanker by march 7	5	$285	140	210	-70	open	—	03-06 06:57
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	5	$266	150	200	-50	open	—	05-21 09:26
will nflx close between 90 and 100 week march 6 2026	6	$263	207	200	+7	open	—	03-06 05:02
will dont be dumb debut week album sales be between 150k and 175k	2	$260	120	160	-40	open	—	01-10 13:11
will spyglass pharma incs market cap be between 500m and 550m at market close on ipo day	2	$252	100	200	-100	open	—	02-06 18:06
moltbook ai agent sues a human by feb 28	4	$248	200	200	+0	open	—	02-01 13:01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	7	$245	150	300	-150	open	—	04-20 06:45
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	5	$238	150	300	-150	open	—	05-29 15:59
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	6	$235	150	205	-55	open	—	05-31 08:42
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 240 259	9	$227	270	30	+240	open	—	03-04 15:56
will dont be dumb debut week album sales be less than 75k	2	$210	120	120	+0	open	—	01-10 13:10
Will the US strike Iran next?	29	$209	500	80	+420	open	—	01-14 08:05
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 380 399	3	$203	100	150	-50	open	—	03-12 16:23
nba mil atl 2026 03 14	4	$196	400	0	+400	open	—	03-14 04:50
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	5	$194	100	100	+0	open	—	04-24 13:09
will mrbeasts next video get between 55 and 58 million views on day 2	8	$191	200	200	+0	open	—	04-20 06:46
will analilia mejia be the democratic nominee for the nj 11 special election	3	$184	95	95	+0	open	—	02-09 07:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 10:19:22	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xba974b…
06-08 09:56:27	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0xb3f785…
06-08 09:48:24	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	SELL	78	73¢	$57	0x4af0a1…
06-08 08:43:42	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x9f1656…
06-08 08:36:00	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x420e96…
06-08 07:27:39	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xa5e298…
06-08 05:34:18	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0xfdfadb…
06-07 16:21:37	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0xb4b1e5…
06-07 11:24:36	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x64352d…
06-07 11:07:40	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	48	13¢	$6	0xdc4b93…
06-07 10:57:06	mlp stl la 2026 06 07	Los Angeles Mad Drops	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x294592…
06-07 10:52:13	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x2081ba…
06-07 10:45:25	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xdd0c47…
06-07 10:43:51	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x50f050…
06-02 13:22:56	Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0xca13d7…
06-02 12:15:05	Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x27dd8e…
06-02 10:53:41	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x02e657…
06-02 10:00:41	Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc320d5…
06-02 09:43:04	Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x2c78bf…
06-02 08:41:26	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	56	19¢	$11	0x77a13b…
06-02 08:41:26	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0x6ad61c…
06-02 08:41:26	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	32	19¢	$6	0x35e4d3…
06-02 08:05:18	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	69	19¢	$13	0x8645dc…
06-02 07:24:04	Will Broadcom (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xf43059…
06-02 07:03:51	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	31	19¢	$6	0x7e879b…
06-02 06:49:33	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	13	19¢	$3	0x7f2159…
06-02 06:48:32	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	62	19¢	$12	0xdfe738…
06-01 11:14:03	Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	48¢	$19	0x8c49d2…
05-31 12:19:45	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	SELL	40	74¢	$30	0x1e1c34…
05-31 11:00:16	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	Yes	SELL	13	29¢	$4	0x6f61cd…
05-31 10:45:38	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	Yes	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0x073589…
05-31 10:06:31	Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf1d761…
05-31 10:06:31	Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe4c44f…
05-31 10:06:31	Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xca5801…
05-31 10:06:31	Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8e4f31…
05-31 10:06:31	Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8159bd…
05-31 10:06:31	Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x7e31a4…
05-31 10:06:31	Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5f46e6…
05-31 10:06:31	Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x07717c…
05-31 10:06:29	Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe93ab8…
05-31 10:06:29	Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xae39aa…
05-31 10:06:29	Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5d0756…
05-31 10:06:27	Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0xe1e0f0…
05-31 09:50:13	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	0	69¢	$0	0x03be8b…
05-31 09:45:33	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x9cda84…
05-31 09:45:27	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xa0e3b6…
05-31 09:12:40	Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x570b7a…
05-31 09:12:25	Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0x3a14bb…
05-31 08:42:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	98	71¢	$70	0xd7efac…
05-31 08:39:39	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	66	71¢	$47	0x4f9fb1…
05-31 07:43:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	147	58¢	$85	0x04055b…
05-31 07:15:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	52	58¢	$30	0xdd7f0f…
05-31 07:14:35	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	41	73¢	$30	0xb48f30…
05-29 16:38:20	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	34	24¢	$8	0x0466f3…
05-29 16:38:06	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	166	24¢	$40	0x0d8056…
05-29 15:59:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0xc639a5…
05-29 15:54:12	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0x765264…
05-29 15:34:43	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x81857b…
05-29 14:58:04	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xf8a504…
05-29 14:52:14	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	SELL	150	77¢	$116	0xc5adbb…
05-29 14:51:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x95d3ab…
05-29 14:51:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x43c58d…
05-29 14:51:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	11	60¢	$6	0x9f358d…
05-29 14:51:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	39	60¢	$24	0x67456e…
05-29 14:51:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xbd6ada…
05-29 14:35:10	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x83d176…
05-28 08:48:30	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	SELL	151	29¢	$44	0xa38a7c…
05-28 08:46:28	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	SELL	49	29¢	$14	0xcefbf0…
05-28 06:59:51	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	92	14¢	$13	0x744600…
05-28 06:46:07	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xc8f32f…
05-28 06:44:24	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x8c184f…
05-28 06:43:40	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	BUY	31	27¢	$8	0x87c0e6…
05-28 06:29:12	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xa0850d…
05-27 16:44:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x1c857c…
05-27 15:39:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x19cdc6…
05-27 14:14:29	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x52401e…
05-25 07:39:42	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	150	31¢	$46	0x3ec954…
05-22 07:05:22	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xebf9fc…
05-22 06:41:06	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x985747…
05-21 11:31:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0x7e8b4f…
05-21 10:33:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0xffcc88…
05-21 09:28:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x1fbaef…
05-21 09:26:05	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	27	76¢	$20	0xed3669…
05-21 09:26:05	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	143	76¢	$109	0x2cb4d5…
05-21 09:22:11	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	30	76¢	$23	0x0f3e09…
05-21 09:11:07	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xaa39cc…
05-21 09:11:06	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x0c3718…
05-21 09:07:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xdd124e…
04-30 06:59:46	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xfd49cb…
04-24 16:59:24	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	49	48¢	$24	0x3761ed…
04-24 15:45:28	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0x2a56bf…
04-24 15:42:08	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x48598a…
04-24 15:06:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	220	67¢	$147	0xef71b9…
04-24 13:09:54	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0xe67bf0…
04-24 13:06:54	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	78	97¢	$76	0xb6ef5e…
04-24 11:08:12	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x0da4b8…
04-24 11:07:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x1b727e…
04-24 11:07:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	79¢	$21	0xcd0f90…
04-24 11:07:48	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0xfbf6f2…
04-24 11:06:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	79¢	$19	0x3f65a3…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	163	$303.3K	25,952	06-01 04:51
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	151	$8.69M	21,793	06-10 00:14
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	134	$766.1K	17,000	06-10 00:16
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	119	$13.8K	2,971	06-09 20:47
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	114	$124.3K	13,056	04-01 10:45
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	113	$76.6K	6,936	06-08 10:47
(anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8	112	$20.9K	1,175	06-09 09:23
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	109	$267.0K	20,675	06-10 00:15