Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

58.1%

Resolved

Trades

994

lifetime

Volume

$20.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$13

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-14 11:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

56% — —

Politics

33% 50% +$5

Tech

5% — —

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No		-20	$-12	68¢	$-13	$-1	06-08 07:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	15	$491	350	350	+0	open	—	06-25 09:28
internet access restored in iran by friday 263	7	$489	300	300	+0	open	—	01-27 12:23
odds of us strikes iran in february over 50 by feb 13	3	$466	200	300	-100	open	—	02-08 23:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	14	$445	470	470	+0	open	—	06-26 05:12
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	5	$418	250	250	+0	open	—	03-12 16:38
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	5	$391	200	200	+0	open	—	03-09 10:49
will dtmf bad bunny win song of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	9	$386	100	300	-200	open	—	02-01 14:26
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 340 359	8	$383	400	300	+100	open	—	01-27 12:21
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?	6	$365	220	220	+0	open	—	04-01 11:45
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$359	200	200	+0	open	—	02-09 07:29
will spyglass pharma incs market cap be between 550m and 600m at market close on ipo day	3	$334	100	300	-200	open	—	02-06 18:40
will spyglass pharma incs market cap be between 600m and 650m at market close on ipo day	20	$329	100	300	-200	open	—	02-06 18:38
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	8	$328	200	200	+0	open	—	02-09 09:26
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	6	$321	220	220	+0	open	—	04-24 15:06
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	7	$321	204	300	-96	open	—	03-14 13:25
us forces seize another oil tanker by march 7	5	$285	140	210	-70	open	—	03-06 06:57
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	5	$266	150	200	-50	open	—	05-21 09:26
will nflx close between 90 and 100 week march 6 2026	6	$263	207	200	+7	open	—	03-06 05:02
will dont be dumb debut week album sales be between 150k and 175k	2	$260	120	160	-40	open	—	01-10 13:11
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	11	$256	300	300	+0	open	—	07-06 23:50
will spyglass pharma incs market cap be between 500m and 550m at market close on ipo day	2	$252	100	200	-100	open	—	02-06 18:06
moltbook ai agent sues a human by feb 28	4	$248	200	200	+0	open	—	02-01 13:01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	7	$245	150	300	-150	open	—	04-20 06:45
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	5	$238	150	300	-150	open	—	05-29 15:59
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	6	$235	250	250	+0	open	—	07-09 22:29
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	6	$235	150	205	-55	open	—	05-31 08:42
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 240 259	9	$227	270	30	+240	open	—	03-04 15:56
will dont be dumb debut week album sales be less than 75k	2	$210	120	120	+0	open	—	01-10 13:10
Will the US strike Iran next?	29	$209	500	80	+420	open	—	01-14 08:05
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 380 399	3	$203	100	150	-50	open	—	03-12 16:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 11:32:37	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	Yes	SELL	40	38¢	$15	0x2560e2…
07-09 22:29:16	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	33	47¢	$15	0x93dc61…
07-09 20:14:55	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	47¢	$94	0xec4057…
07-09 18:05:01	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	17	47¢	$8	0x6e75a6…
07-09 11:45:46	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0x36a09f…
07-09 09:58:29	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x61f37a…
07-09 09:57:50	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xe48bd2…
07-09 09:57:41	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xacacc7…
07-09 06:12:17	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xb943e1…
07-09 06:12:11	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xb18d92…
07-09 06:01:32	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x222922…
07-07 21:12:52	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0x67fdc5…
07-07 13:38:41	mmm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 17 2026 2pt24	Yes	SELL	80	81¢	$65	0x55e5d8…
07-07 10:07:22	mmm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 17 2026 2pt24	No	SELL	80	21¢	$17	0xb6af80…
07-07 08:11:10	tfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 17 2026 1pt08	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xe2e7fc…
07-07 07:57:25	will trump praise dana white by july 31 20260626214328041	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xfaa2a0…
07-07 07:53:40	mmm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 17 2026 2pt24	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x8189b3…
07-07 07:53:35	mmm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 17 2026 2pt24	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb2e47b…
07-07 06:02:41	mmm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 17 2026 2pt24	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xe2f242…
07-07 05:21:40	will trump praise dana white by july 31 20260626214328041	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x73cb1f…
07-06 23:50:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0xbfdc98…
07-06 23:48:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	190	42¢	$80	0x12da5c…
07-06 23:47:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x474425…
07-06 23:47:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x020128…
07-06 22:59:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	32	42¢	$13	0x194c33…
07-06 22:50:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x96d5ab…
07-05 13:38:34	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0xd6b98e…
07-05 11:35:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	79	42¢	$33	0xf7d3b2…
07-05 11:33:02	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x366c1a…
07-05 11:31:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0x03113c…
07-05 11:17:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x0657d8…
07-05 11:16:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0xa08823…
07-05 11:16:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x4055f0…
07-05 10:57:52	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x18ae01…
06-29 08:02:47	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	97	67¢	$65	0x124894…
06-29 05:38:20	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x375bef…
06-29 03:55:20	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0x58c46d…
06-26 10:42:52	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x8f29f0…
06-26 08:45:40	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x83d424…
06-26 07:01:49	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xbac74a…
06-26 05:21:04	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	100	83¢	$83	0x70520f…
06-26 05:12:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	220	91¢	$201	0xa08159…
06-26 05:11:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	250	9¢	$23	0xb23ac0…
06-26 05:06:35	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x86f278…
06-26 05:05:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x6b2b97…
06-26 05:05:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x4402be…
06-26 05:04:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x70cf89…
06-26 05:04:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	65	91¢	$59	0x2de0c5…
06-26 05:02:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xdb1302…
06-26 05:02:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	95	8¢	$8	0x4d0f7a…
06-26 05:01:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x8bd585…
06-26 05:01:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	34	8¢	$3	0x543313…
06-26 04:59:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xc20dfb…
06-26 04:58:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x39d660…
06-26 04:57:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xf49c34…
06-25 09:28:20	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x460125…
06-25 08:28:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	Yes	SELL	38	94¢	$35	0x764182…
06-25 07:58:58	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	223	97¢	$217	0x8dae5d…
06-25 07:57:49	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x74b6a9…
06-25 07:48:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	Yes	SELL	12	94¢	$12	0x72a0b3…
06-25 07:48:13	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x759c07…
06-25 05:45:01	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x884dd1…
06-25 05:44:13	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xf4f18e…
06-25 05:41:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	No	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x1c1baf…
06-25 04:50:11	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xf48de5…
06-25 03:48:16	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x0d5708…
06-25 03:29:19	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x8be64b…
06-25 03:28:28	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0xe6847e…
06-25 03:28:28	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x67f47f…
06-25 03:20:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	No	BUY	28	3¢	$1	0xa50e19…
06-25 03:16:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	No	BUY	71	3¢	$2	0x586a20…
06-25 03:09:40	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xe55e3d…
06-25 03:09:40	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	39	2¢	$1	0x291aa5…
06-25 03:05:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x9a253e…
06-25 02:57:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x001b7d…
06-12 14:58:15	will wti reach 120 in june 2026 243	No	SELL	64	97¢	$61	0x7b85aa…
06-12 13:45:43	will wti reach 120 in june 2026 243	No	BUY	64	97¢	$61	0xe0d67b…
06-11 08:00:06	will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xa2e597…
06-11 08:00:04	will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0xf0e67b…
06-11 08:00:04	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	79	55¢	$43	0xd3f134…
06-11 07:49:19	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	21	55¢	$12	0x52dd43…
06-11 06:40:15	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x6a3a53…
06-11 06:11:12	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0xae0d38…
06-10 07:49:36	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	SELL	150	35¢	$52	0x6428a8…
06-10 07:18:46	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x0f2ee8…
06-08 10:19:22	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xba974b…
06-08 09:56:27	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0xb3f785…
06-08 09:48:24	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	SELL	78	73¢	$57	0x4af0a1…
06-08 08:43:42	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x9f1656…
06-08 08:36:00	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x420e96…
06-08 07:27:39	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xa5e298…
06-08 05:34:18	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0xfdfadb…
06-07 16:21:37	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0xb4b1e5…
06-07 11:24:36	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x64352d…
06-07 11:07:40	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	48	13¢	$6	0xdc4b93…
06-07 10:57:06	mlp stl la 2026 06 07	Los Angeles Mad Drops	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x294592…
06-07 10:52:13	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x2081ba…
06-07 10:45:25	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xdd0c47…
06-07 10:43:51	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x50f050…
06-02 13:22:56	Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0xca13d7…