Previous-Vessel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$54

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.5%

Resolved

Trades

598

lifetime

Volume

$18.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 08-08 09:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

71% 75% $-55

Other

22% 100% +$1

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	34	$820	765	763	+3	open	—	06-19 19:17
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	21	$607	397	330	+67	open	—	05-29 15:50
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	13	$497	762	558	+204	open	—	06-14 16:41
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	9	$380	303	238	+65	open	—	05-26 16:24
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	6	$322	209	209	+0	open	—	06-16 23:52
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	14	$319	204	204	+0	open	—	05-23 14:10
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	19	$319	338	338	+0	open	—	06-08 08:32
iran closes its airspace by june 8	8	$237	194	194	+0	open	—	06-07 20:59
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	9	$228	254	98	+156	open	—	07-12 09:59
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	5	$220	164	164	+0	open	—	05-29 17:58
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	4	$220	126	126	+0	open	—	06-10 23:27
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	4	$207	209	209	+0	open	—	06-20 14:01
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	5	$202	177	177	+0	open	—	07-13 20:34
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	14	$158	112	56	+56	open	—	07-19 23:47
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	3	$153	132	132	+0	open	—	07-20 09:54
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 1pt5	3	$149	75	75	+0	open	—	07-15 20:47
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	3	$148	120	120	+0	open	—	06-14 22:29
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$131	80	80	+0	open	—	04-09 16:40
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	4	$129	90	90	+0	open	—	05-23 15:39
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	2	$129	77	77	+0	open	—	04-25 19:44
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	3	$127	72	72	+0	open	—	05-24 03:59
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	2	$126	80	80	+0	open	—	04-22 14:03
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	2	$125	108	108	+0	open	—	04-21 20:11
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	2	$125	79	79	+0	open	—	04-18 11:04
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	2	$122	67	67	+0	open	—	05-16 20:03
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	3	$118	65	65	+0	open	—	06-13 17:51
Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?	17	$116	88	86	+2	open	—	04-24 15:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$115	61	61	+0	open	—	04-28 07:33
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	3	$115	77	77	+0	open	—	05-23 15:39
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	2	$115	70	70	+0	open	—	04-10 08:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 09:16:37	todd blanche nomination withdrawn by august 31 20260731141647591	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xde6142…
08-08 01:21:48	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0xf2ef65…
08-08 01:12:09	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0xb7c8ab…
08-08 00:56:10	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	BUY	73	75¢	$55	0xb4760b…
08-07 05:27:51	btc updown 5m 1786080300	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x5145fa…
08-07 05:27:51	btc updown 5m 1786080300	Down	BUY	95	52¢	$49	0x2c2a61…
08-06 15:54:02	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	110	50¢	$55	0x7121fb…
08-05 22:24:41	will trump say make america great again this week 20260731171342114	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x9d8931…
08-05 22:03:47	will trump say through the roof in august 20260728220215921	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xc1cedd…
08-05 20:51:11	atp droguet augeral 2026 08 06	Titouan Droguet	BUY	115	48¢	$55	0x8ac1d7…
08-05 17:13:35	will michael baumgartner advance to the general election for wa 05 20260708200738450	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xa20d5f…
08-03 23:25:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x4e1718…
08-02 07:46:33	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	170	44¢	$75	0x0c9087…
08-01 17:48:02	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	77	45¢	$35	0x156fb8…
08-01 02:02:03	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0xf6485a…
08-01 01:50:14	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x768c51…
07-31 19:32:00	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x4ab193…
07-31 19:31:59	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x7b626c…
07-31 19:31:59	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x760647…
07-31 19:31:57	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe831bb…
07-31 19:31:57	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xa94b91…
07-31 19:31:57	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xa4a4a7…
07-31 19:31:57	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x949277…
07-31 19:31:24	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x70f047…
07-31 19:30:35	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xcdbd1a…
07-30 21:57:26	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	72	76¢	$55	0x0fec25…
07-30 18:24:47	btc updown 5m 1785435600	Up	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0xd744da…
07-30 18:24:47	btc updown 5m 1785435600	Up	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0x2e569e…
07-30 16:10:36	atp gentzsc dahlin 2026 07 30	Tom Gentzsch	BUY	95	58¢	$55	0xe64d08…
07-30 11:28:26	dota2 pckcp z10 2026 07 30 game2	Zero Tenacity	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x48e8aa…
07-29 18:41:36	will warsh say dollar during july press conference 20260720204109050	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xadd3d5…
07-29 18:41:18	will warsh say dollar during july press conference 20260720204109050	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xfd96a2…
07-29 18:38:24	will warsh say central bank during july press conference 20260720204109041	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x64ca7e…
07-28 18:38:41	will trump say stop calling me during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556640	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x01f8d0…
07-28 18:04:04	will trump say ukraine during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556634	Yes	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x8fb4a7…
07-28 18:00:23	will trump say ukraine during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556634	Yes	SELL	14	75¢	$11	0x00e62e…
07-28 17:59:46	will trump say ukraine during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556634	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x9c9dad…
07-28 17:58:07	will trump say ukraine during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556634	Yes	SELL	19	75¢	$14	0x8c4ba5…
07-28 17:54:10	will trump say ukraine during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556634	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$0	0xcc9bec…
07-28 17:54:07	will trump say ukraine during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556634	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x140d30…
07-28 16:07:25	will trump say ukraine during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556634	Yes	BUY	72	76¢	$55	0x4a835b…
07-28 10:38:58	will trump say fake news during fox friends appearance 20260728022316510	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x35be0c…
07-28 01:14:54	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0x19df97…
07-27 20:16:55	will trump say supreme court during michigan remarks 20260724162420375	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8a520d…
07-27 20:16:46	will trump say supreme court during michigan remarks 20260724162420375	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc8802a…
07-25 14:21:27	kor2 bus suw 2026 07 25 corners total 7pt5	Over	SELL	47	0¢	$0	0x1f6383…
07-25 14:20:48	kor2 bus suw 2026 07 25 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	62	89¢	$55	0xada106…
07-25 14:18:46	cricecsch gen cos 2026 07 25	Cossonay CC	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0xf95190…
07-25 14:08:57	cricecsch gen cos 2026 07 25	Cossonay CC	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x53c288…
07-25 14:08:55	cricecsch gen cos 2026 07 25	Cossonay CC	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xec1f81…
07-25 14:08:55	cricecsch gen cos 2026 07 25	Cossonay CC	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xd51248…
07-25 14:06:34	cricecsch gen cos 2026 07 25	Cossonay CC	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xf2fcb3…
07-25 02:23:52	will trump say bibi or netanyahu this week 20260719005322457	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x7be5e3…
07-24 22:52:27	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x65c595…
07-23 16:35:09	will leavitt say world cup during the next white house press briefing 20260723134130097	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x574c01…
07-21 18:37:43	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	14	20¢	$3	0x9f19d9…
07-21 17:14:52	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x097adc…
07-20 09:54:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	131	59¢	$77	0x9cf214…
07-20 09:54:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0xc57ece…
07-19 23:47:00	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	55	98¢	$53	0xe1b6e8…
07-19 23:08:06	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0xc8937a…
07-19 23:08:04	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x3d1e9b…
07-19 23:08:03	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	26	89¢	$23	0xcd61d2…
07-19 23:07:58	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x7622d6…
07-19 23:07:51	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x40c774…
07-19 23:07:48	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0x582b97…
07-19 23:07:36	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x53acd6…
07-19 23:07:34	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x7cb6bb…
07-19 23:03:37	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0x4a6138…
07-19 23:03:33	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0xa23e41…
07-19 23:03:33	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x4e99e8…
07-19 22:53:25	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xd6f6b8…
07-19 22:43:45	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	57	96¢	$55	0x7fdd6d…
07-19 18:59:33	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	No	BUY	120	46¢	$55	0xb9bdbe…
07-18 20:41:16	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	98	56¢	$55	0x216d45…
07-17 01:26:41	will trump say communist or communism this week 20260710153927790	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x7a8a71…
07-17 00:06:22	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	No	SELL	59	95¢	$55	0x151391…
07-17 00:03:26	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	No	BUY	59	94¢	$55	0xd966e1…
07-16 22:26:59	will trump say iran or iranian 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621420	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xa89c16…
07-16 11:39:46	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	132	57¢	$75	0xcd59f6…
07-15 20:52:52	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xdf37d1…
07-15 20:47:01	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	75	100¢	$74	0xfdd863…
07-15 20:46:07	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xc3a909…
07-15 20:46:07	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x1fba62…
07-15 18:48:26	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	102	54¢	$55	0x38e6dc…
07-15 11:46:58	itf daniels ghirard 2026 07 15	Ellie Daniels	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xbc44bd…
07-15 11:46:34	itf daniels ghirard 2026 07 15	Ellie Daniels	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x410b4a…
07-15 11:46:32	itf daniels ghirard 2026 07 15	Ellie Daniels	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd336d5…
07-15 11:46:05	itf daniels ghirard 2026 07 15	Ellie Daniels	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x194068…
07-15 11:46:02	itf daniels ghirard 2026 07 15	Ellie Daniels	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xa672d8…
07-15 11:41:58	itf daniels ghirard 2026 07 15	Ellie Daniels	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xe4aa4b…
07-14 18:37:26	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	No	BUY	138	40¢	$55	0xa58cca…
07-13 20:34:23	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	177	83¢	$147	0x1c0284…
07-13 12:07:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	62	33¢	$20	0xa7d029…
07-13 08:28:41	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xb17e8e…
07-12 22:28:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0x82e62f…
07-12 19:09:41	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	74	22¢	$16	0x3f7c67…
07-12 09:59:32	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	156	48¢	$75	0x9f7dd7…
07-12 02:02:23	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	76	72¢	$55	0xefd425…
07-12 00:06:02	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	108	51¢	$55	0x807571…