Idealistic-Methane — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$154

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

28 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$265

$265 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$125

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-17 11:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

98% 100% +$153

Crypto

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?	Yes		-124	$-94	78¢	$-97	$-3	05-17 11:35
Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?	Yes		+35	$30	82¢	$29	$-1	05-11 05:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 11:35:49	Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?	Yes	SELL	194	79¢	$153	0x5a0615…
05-11 08:49:50	Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xd129b7…
05-11 05:49:23	Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x268200…
05-11 05:49:23	Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x2772af…
05-11 05:49:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x630fc9…
05-11 05:19:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xdf7caf…
05-11 05:19:19	Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x889c48…
05-11 05:19:19	Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x46d87e…
05-11 04:49:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xddb531…
05-11 04:19:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x88895a…
05-10 07:46:44	Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xf50def…
05-10 06:46:36	Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xe860a8…
05-10 06:46:36	Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x06c21b…
05-10 05:46:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	156	2¢	$3	0xd8d2f0…
05-10 05:46:27	Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x1e0441…
05-10 04:46:19	Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x6cfc19…
05-10 04:46:17	Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x1cf6c3…
05-10 03:46:08	Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xf193f0…
05-10 02:46:00	Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x77dd8a…
05-10 02:46:00	Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xcfa34e…
05-10 01:45:51	Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x923887…
05-10 01:15:47	Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x2c3ed0…
05-09 23:45:34	Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x566e23…
05-09 23:45:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x89d2ee…
05-09 22:15:22	Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x357fd2…
05-09 22:15:20	Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x42bad0…
05-09 21:15:13	Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x16c50c…
05-09 21:15:11	Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xf2cad8…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?	15	$211	70	194	-124	open	—	05-17 11:35
Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?	7	$30	35	0	+35	open	—	05-11 05:49
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	4	$16	20	0	+20	open	—	05-11 05:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	05-09 23:45
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 10?	1	$3	156	0	+156	Yes	+$153	05-10 05:46