Pungent-Ritual — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

58.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$265

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-08

last 09-17 04:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

53% 57% +$28

Politics

47% 25% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?	No		+3	$3	97¢	$3	+$0	09-17 04:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	2	$930	479	479	+0	No	+$1	05-09 05:55
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$912	473	473	+0	No	+$0	04-23 07:26
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$900	470	470	+0	No	+$2	05-08 07:05
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	2	$880	470	470	+0	open	—	07-23 09:24
farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	2	$875	465	465	+0	No	+$0	07-23 06:54
Will Iran target Jordan by August 31, 2026?	2	$874	465	465	+0	Yes	+$0	08-24 07:39
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026?	2	$870	470	470	+0	open	—	08-24 06:58
ukraine coup attempt by december 31	2	$841	445	445	+0	open	—	07-07 03:24
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	2	$838	435	435	+0	open	—	07-07 02:14
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	2	$569	295	295	+0	No	-$9	06-18 05:39
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	1	$470	480	0	+480	Sevilla FC	+$10	05-09 07:45
Spread: El Gouna SC (-1.5)	1	$451	470	0	+470	El Mokawloon El Arab SC	+$19	05-08 07:33
will putin meet with zelenskyy by december 31 2026	2	$331	180	180	+0	open	—	08-30 02:33
Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?	2	$279	155	155	+0	No	+$0	08-30 03:14
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	5	$36	866	866	+0	No	+$0	04-24 10:05
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	6	$19	612	612	+0	No	-$3	04-09 01:18
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	09-17 04:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 04:08:07	Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x77ac6f…
08-30 03:14:10	Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	155	90¢	$140	0xf6e152…
08-30 02:44:15	Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	155	90¢	$140	0xd445fd…
08-30 02:33:28	will putin meet with zelenskyy by december 31 2026	No	SELL	180	92¢	$166	0x366817…
08-30 01:34:46	will putin meet with zelenskyy by december 31 2026	No	BUY	180	92¢	$166	0xf55504…
08-24 07:39:21	Will Iran target Jordan by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	465	94¢	$437	0xa09a8f…
08-24 07:07:31	Will Iran target Jordan by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	465	94¢	$437	0x84ed5c…
08-24 06:58:51	Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	470	93¢	$437	0x833eab…
08-24 06:32:24	Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	470	92¢	$432	0xdfb742…
07-23 09:24:42	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	No	SELL	470	94¢	$440	0x7504c7…
07-23 06:59:31	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	No	BUY	470	94¢	$440	0xcdc2ca…
07-23 06:54:24	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	No	SELL	465	94¢	$438	0xfe22d5…
07-23 05:43:06	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	No	BUY	465	94¢	$438	0x2588b9…
07-07 03:24:41	ukraine coup attempt by december 31	No	SELL	445	95¢	$423	0xefd8a2…
07-07 02:41:52	ukraine coup attempt by december 31	No	BUY	445	94¢	$418	0x1bfdf8…
07-07 02:14:59	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	SELL	435	96¢	$419	0x667658…
07-07 01:41:59	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	BUY	435	96¢	$419	0x1139cf…
06-18 05:39:44	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	No	SELL	295	95¢	$280	0x5c2d9f…
06-18 02:41:59	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	No	BUY	295	98¢	$289	0x6ef8be…
05-09 07:45:49	Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	Sevilla FC	BUY	480	98¢	$470	0xf588d3…
05-09 05:55:09	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	479	97¢	$466	0xfb5148…
05-09 05:16:52	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	479	97¢	$464	0x43a335…
05-08 07:33:41	Spread: El Gouna SC (-1.5)	El Mokawloon El Arab SC	BUY	470	96¢	$451	0xa5c498…
05-08 07:05:09	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	470	96¢	$451	0x0aa605…
05-08 05:34:02	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	470	96¢	$449	0x2cea6c…
04-24 10:05:08	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	429	2¢	$9	0x375bf2…
04-24 10:03:34	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	437	2¢	$9	0xdd8a99…
04-24 07:44:24	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	440	2¢	$9	0xa5dc27…
04-24 07:43:56	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	326	2¢	$7	0x57437c…
04-24 07:43:00	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xf6f3ae…
04-23 07:26:12	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	473	96¢	$456	0xb64055…
04-23 06:10:10	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	473	96¢	$456	0xc82fe2…
04-09 01:18:03	Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	SELL	311	1¢	$4	0x268f60…
04-09 01:17:49	Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	SELL	226	1¢	$3	0x2c8086…
04-09 01:17:23	Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	SELL	75	1¢	$1	0x23005c…
04-08 06:18:45	Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd2b1e4…
04-08 06:17:41	Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	302	2¢	$5	0x33d167…
04-08 06:15:01	Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	305	2¢	$5	0xaf4b3f…