Jumbo-Yak — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.00K

Unrealized P&L

-$18

Hit rate

72.6%

Resolved

430

Trades

675

lifetime

Volume

$10.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$10

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-07 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 201 days

Categories

Other

100% 24% +$2,006

Politics

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+408	$18	2¢	$9	-$9	11-07 13:11
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+477	$8	0¢	$1	-$7	11-07 13:11
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+686	$2	0¢	$1	-$2	11-07 13:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	2	$636	801	801	+0	No	+$580	11-06 06:16
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	4	$222	382	382	+0	Yes	+$112	05-05 13:56
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	2	$196	314	314	+0	Yes	+$116	03-26 17:45
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 480 499	2	$194	918	918	+0	No	+$174	01-05 10:20
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 280 299	5	$189	629	600	+29	No	+$107	04-15 08:27
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	2	$183	554	554	+0	No	+$113	11-03 04:40
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	2	$172	967	967	+0	No	+$2	11-05 21:05
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	2	$167	350	334	+16	Yes	+$113	04-20 04:20
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	3	$147	254	254	+0	Yes	+$109	07-02 20:37
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	4	$140	737	703	+34	No	+$24	04-15 08:25
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	2	$132	228	228	+0	No	+$62	05-31 23:00
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$128	378	378	+0	No	+$102	05-11 15:46
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$127	260	260	+0	Yes	+$101	05-25 05:37
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	2	$123	286	286	+0	No	+$59	10-11 12:28
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$121	351	351	+0	No	+$81	05-18 16:05
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 280 299	5	$119	530	530	+0	No	+$43	02-26 19:34
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$117	298	298	+0	No	+$67	05-11 15:46
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	3	$116	211	211	+0	No	+$56	05-05 13:56
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	2	$112	289	289	+0	No	+$42	04-02 18:13
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	2	$108	136	136	+0	No	+$74	05-28 19:53
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 260 279	2	$106	283	283	+0	No	+$72	03-16 11:43
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	2	$104	271	271	+0	Yes	+$34	10-11 12:28
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	4	$104	552	552	+0	No	+$81	08-20 11:02
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 380 399	2	$102	625	625	+0	No	+$92	01-21 12:11
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	2	$100	281	281	+0	No	+$40	03-12 14:18
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	2	$97	303	303	+0	No	+$67	08-18 18:04
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	4	$94	396	396	+0	No	+$56	01-28 05:22
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	4	$93	331	331	+0	No	+$57	02-05 05:09
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$90	300	300	+0	No	+$30	05-25 05:38
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 500 519	2	$89	342	342	+0	No	+$59	01-05 09:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 13:12:03	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	686	0¢	$2	0xda4482…
11-07 13:11:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	477	2¢	$8	0x88ae1f…
11-07 13:11:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	408	4¢	$18	0x20c360…
11-06 06:16:19	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	801	76¢	$608	0x8e767e…
11-06 06:16:04	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	823	4¢	$30	0xc13ce5…
11-05 21:05:34	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	967	9¢	$87	0xa91d1d…
11-03 06:54:42	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	915	2¢	$17	0x86f9db…
11-03 04:40:10	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	554	27¢	$148	0x8fe89a…
11-02 19:17:01	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,078	1¢	$10	0x48e5ac…
11-02 08:46:30	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	896	1¢	$12	0xb0e9eb…
11-02 07:58:27	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	967	9¢	$85	0x6c77e8…
11-02 07:57:37	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	823	2¢	$20	0x98d7d8…
11-02 07:57:22	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	801	3¢	$28	0xd331c4…
11-01 13:49:00	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	554	6¢	$35	0xd71472…
10-31 12:23:40	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	722	10¢	$70	0xdb62cb…
10-31 12:23:01	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x09d4fe…
10-31 09:23:21	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	466	5¢	$25	0x30f985…
10-31 09:23:07	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	315	1¢	$4	0x244458…
10-31 09:22:55	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x6ad12b…
10-28 14:28:29	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0x909c4b…
10-28 05:29:56	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xe2ea01…
10-28 05:29:25	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	278	1¢	$3	0xf55c00…
10-27 18:30:15	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x01c0cc…
10-27 11:28:39	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	441	3¢	$13	0xa2d251…
10-26 08:27:59	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	426	1¢	$4	0x4be16e…
10-26 08:27:08	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	354	6¢	$22	0xb20ed2…
10-19 07:53:57	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	337	7¢	$25	0x135d5a…
10-17 22:17:48	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	339	2¢	$7	0xdec1b8…
10-17 22:17:35	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	450	4¢	$20	0xcbacca…
10-17 15:32:44	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	337	12¢	$40	0xfa8fbb…
10-17 15:32:18	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	227	4¢	$10	0x475194…
10-16 04:22:15	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	3¢	$10	0x57b3ca…
10-15 20:56:27	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	212	5¢	$10	0x64c092…
10-15 20:55:53	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	485	1¢	$3	0x98b1a9…
10-15 20:55:39	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	358	2¢	$6	0xffda9e…
10-14 16:34:00	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x4f1ef1…
10-14 04:26:16	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	142	7¢	$10	0xa40138…
10-14 04:25:52	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	282	1¢	$2	0x4062f3…
10-12 12:41:00	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	171	7¢	$12	0x16bf68…
10-11 20:30:43	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0xc02dd5…
10-11 20:28:46	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	4¢	$10	0xec0790…
10-11 12:28:25	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	306	9¢	$26	0x16435f…
10-11 12:28:19	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	286	32¢	$91	0x3df0f1…
10-11 12:28:13	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	271	26¢	$69	0x1b9315…
10-09 04:48:49	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	357	1¢	$5	0xc666e0…
10-09 04:48:24	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	328	5¢	$18	0xe81cfd…
10-09 04:47:25	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	306	8¢	$25	0xcee298…
10-09 04:47:01	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	286	11¢	$32	0x2d92ca…
10-09 04:46:37	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	271	13¢	$35	0xae21bd…
10-08 04:17:50	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$6	0x3f8667…
10-07 17:42:52	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	1¢	$1	0xffa4f0…
10-07 07:08:42	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	198	8¢	$15	0x922fb8…
10-07 06:11:26	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	353	1¢	$2	0xd20024…
10-06 20:04:15	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	188	27¢	$51	0xd4dbda…
10-06 20:04:00	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	170	29¢	$49	0x86ddf6…
10-06 10:59:30	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	2¢	$2	0x3f1449…
10-06 10:59:00	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0xe2092c…
10-05 08:56:58	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	10¢	$17	0xdcaafa…
10-05 04:24:56	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	401	1¢	$3	0xaa2876…
10-05 04:24:34	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	188	4¢	$7	0xbe8b45…
09-29 22:11:00	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	389	16¢	$60	0x86595c…
09-29 22:10:44	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	142	40¢	$57	0x4cfa9d…
09-29 22:10:09	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	356	1¢	$2	0xaf6c3d…
09-29 22:09:50	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	259	3¢	$7	0x977a08…
09-29 19:33:15	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	5¢	$5	0x7e9828…
09-28 13:10:42	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	142	12¢	$17	0xbdce7e…
09-28 04:13:29	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	4¢	$5	0x953d8a…
09-28 01:32:21	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x41fccd…
09-28 01:30:11	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	7¢	$7	0x4883d1…
09-28 01:30:09	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x1843cd…
09-28 01:30:03	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x563d8c…
09-28 01:29:47	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	7¢	$4	0xb7073e…
09-27 20:22:14	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0xab4601…
09-27 20:22:03	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	227	1¢	$2	0x138e93…
09-26 21:35:47	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	259	10¢	$26	0x040eef…
09-23 04:55:20	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x2f002d…
09-23 04:54:55	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	377	1¢	$2	0x63e5f1…
09-22 22:16:37	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$3	0x8f19bb…
09-22 22:16:17	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	259	3¢	$7	0xf43bfb…
09-22 13:03:16	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	1¢	$2	0xc0c321…
09-22 13:03:06	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	389	4¢	$17	0x1162e3…
09-18 11:40:12	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	178	1¢	$2	0x1b2dd2…
09-15 20:06:10	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	9¢	$15	0xa73055…
09-15 20:05:52	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	417	1¢	$2	0x48359a…
09-15 20:05:42	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	386	2¢	$9	0xc5ebf8…
09-15 20:02:31	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	4¢	$6	0x7b853e…
09-14 20:06:57	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	131	13¢	$17	0xa80650…
09-14 20:05:10	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	3¢	$2	0xb9bcaa…
09-14 04:25:04	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	191	10¢	$20	0x8982f5…
09-14 04:24:28	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	325	2¢	$6	0xdedeff…
09-13 09:20:37	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	235	2¢	$4	0x32942c…
09-11 06:55:21	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xe49dec…
09-11 06:22:48	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0xba1a99…
09-11 06:22:33	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	229	6¢	$13	0xdb5c54…
09-08 13:47:57	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	4¢	$5	0xa4cb69…
09-08 08:55:55	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	238	6¢	$14	0x49ff6c…
09-08 08:55:54	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	18¢	$20	0x6db2d7…
09-07 13:55:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	SELL	182	8¢	$15	0xf70085…
09-07 07:30:37	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	344	1¢	$2	0x60adf6…
09-05 22:47:25	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x64897f…