Triangular-Runner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

32.9%

Resolved

159

Trades

1,150

lifetime

Volume

$123.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$107

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-04 01:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Other

97% 93% +$4

Politics

2% 74% +$2

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 86% +$1

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-04).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No		+2	$2	98¢	$2	+$0	05-22 18:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No		-2	-$1	82¢	$-1	-$1	05-23 20:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will how to make a killing opening weekend box office be between 2m and 2pt5m	2	$40.1K	40,100	40,100	+0	No	+$0	02-20 00:44
will how to make a killing opening weekend box office be between 2pt5m and 3m	2	$40.1K	39,700	39,700	+0	No	-$397	02-20 00:22
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by April 30?	2	$39.6K	40,000	40,000	+0	No	+$400	02-20 14:01
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?	8	$1.1K	543,109	543,109	+0	No	+$0	01-02 14:00
Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?	8	$650	325,188	325,188	+0	No	+$0	01-02 14:00
Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?	8	$525	262,606	262,606	+0	No	+$0	01-02 14:01
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	168	$134	73	62	+11	No	+$0	06-04 00:20
will iran strike israel on march 10	28	$93	50	43	+7	Yes	+$0	03-17 02:07
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	42	$67	42	25	+17	Yes	+$1	04-23 00:44
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	21	$57	40	17	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 10:48
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	37	$56	33	33	+0	Yes	-$1	04-08 01:28
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	28	$43	32	13	+19	Yes	+$1	03-24 13:50
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	43	$42	33	13	+19	Yes	$0	04-22 11:18
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	7	$33	18	16	+2	Yes	+$0	03-12 20:21
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	16	$30	28	2	+26	Yes	$0	04-08 01:28
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	24	$29	30	13	+17	Yes	-$2	04-08 01:13
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	22	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	04-21 18:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	20	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$0	04-12 07:45
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	27	$18	19	6	+14	No	+$4	04-21 21:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	32	$17	10	12	-2	open	—	05-23 20:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	54	$16	25	25	+0	No	-$1	05-19 18:47
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	52	$15	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	04-07 23:18
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	20	$14	8	6	+3	Yes	+$0	04-21 13:45
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of march 851	4	$13	13	0	+13	Yes	+$0	03-12 20:41
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	6	$12	7	6	+1	Yes	+$0	04-12 22:33
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	13	$12	11	5	+6	Yes	+$3	04-08 01:03
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	25	$11	6	6	+0	No	$0	03-30 06:09
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	36	$11	4	7	-3	No	$0	05-07 07:46
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	32	$10	9	4	+6	No	-$5	04-30 20:13
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	8	$10	6	4	+2	No	+$0	05-20 07:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 01:26:12	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd0a9ec…
06-04 01:21:27	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x2dfd63…
06-04 01:21:19	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xdd7c92…
06-04 01:21:18	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x78d398…
06-04 00:20:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7fc3af…
06-04 00:06:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x3c3215…
06-04 00:06:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x0f7f5a…
06-04 00:06:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x26802c…
06-04 00:06:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x15dc12…
06-04 00:06:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xfd1347…
06-04 00:06:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xfb3d33…
06-04 00:06:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc22d8e…
06-04 00:06:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa8ef39…
06-04 00:06:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa77c11…
06-04 00:06:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x58dd1c…
06-04 00:06:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x288d55…
06-04 00:06:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xff372e…
06-04 00:06:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb30cb5…
06-04 00:06:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xafcccc…
06-04 00:06:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x9e7add…
06-04 00:06:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6a0d17…
06-04 00:06:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x438b0e…
06-04 00:06:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x050da9…
06-04 00:06:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x918eaf…
06-04 00:06:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x1d1697…
06-04 00:06:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x2f1159…
06-04 00:06:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xf334c8…
06-04 00:06:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x56d51b…
06-04 00:06:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x1dfcfd…
06-04 00:06:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x0eca19…
06-04 00:06:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x09e0a4…
06-04 00:06:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc57333…
06-04 00:06:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x9113a4…
06-04 00:06:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x8f6a59…
06-04 00:06:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x0db2c8…
06-04 00:06:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x8633ff…
06-04 00:06:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x5e1261…
06-04 00:06:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x2e1c66…
06-04 00:06:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xd15874…
06-04 00:06:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xbbf660…
06-04 00:06:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x456151…
06-04 00:06:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x0cfd0d…
06-04 00:06:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xecbe35…
06-04 00:06:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xbf3422…
06-04 00:06:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc88ea4…
06-04 00:06:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xeca10a…
06-04 00:06:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x96000a…
06-04 00:06:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x8f96b0…
06-04 00:06:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xccde76…
06-04 00:06:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb6c181…
06-04 00:06:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x908f1c…
06-04 00:06:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x8e8764…
06-04 00:06:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe4b53f…
06-04 00:06:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa69417…
06-04 00:06:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xbfa804…
06-04 00:06:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x38ee5e…
06-04 00:06:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xcb818d…
06-04 00:06:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xdbc78f…
06-04 00:06:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x8cef4a…
06-04 00:06:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe43f9c…
06-04 00:06:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x768873…
06-04 00:06:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x23c693…
06-04 00:06:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x12846f…
06-04 00:06:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x72377f…
06-04 00:06:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe21483…
06-04 00:06:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb38769…
06-04 00:06:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x4aecd8…
06-04 00:06:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x1dc75b…
06-04 00:06:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x19ab73…
06-04 00:06:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc29cad…
06-04 00:06:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x26242b…
06-04 00:06:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xfa5e28…
06-04 00:06:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa8e74e…
06-04 00:06:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6d1951…
06-04 00:06:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb66cdd…
06-04 00:06:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x95799a…
06-04 00:06:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6e4e37…
06-04 00:06:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xd5beae…
06-04 00:06:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x40828e…
06-04 00:06:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc97e19…
06-04 00:06:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xaafcd0…
06-04 00:06:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x5c6456…
06-04 00:06:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xd0b4b1…
06-04 00:06:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x8f172a…
06-04 00:06:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x88d663…
06-04 00:06:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x749610…
06-04 00:06:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xcd015b…
06-04 00:06:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x0c8e93…
06-04 00:06:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x20dd9e…
06-04 00:05:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe599f6…
06-04 00:05:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe28a03…
06-04 00:05:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x416697…
06-04 00:05:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x38cd74…
06-04 00:05:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe386c3…
06-04 00:05:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x135452…
06-04 00:05:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc358bd…
06-04 00:05:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x98ba30…
06-04 00:05:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xec6122…
06-04 00:05:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x98a3a0…
06-04 00:05:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x612ae2…