Juvenile-Simple — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$419

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

70.3%

Resolved

345

Trades

1,049

lifetime

Volume

$22.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$12

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 21:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 144 days

Categories

Other

92% 52% -$359

Politics

3% 43% -$53

Sports

3% 33% +$20

Crypto

3% 33% -$21

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+255	$11	4¢	$10	-$1	10-24 16:14
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+11	$1	12¢	$1	+$0	10-12 16:59
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+8	$1	13¢	$1	$0	10-14 21:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cs2 mouz fut 2026 06 14 game2	6	$566	336	336	+0	MOUZ	+$30	06-14 14:02
cs2 furia mglz 2026 02 20 game2	3	$409	210	210	+0	FURIA	+$9	02-20 20:40
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$397	203	203	+0	No	-$3	02-03 07:44
cs2 fut ast10 2026 03 03 game1	3	$386	206	206	+0	FUT Esports	+$26	03-03 13:22
cs2 aur1 pain 2026 02 15	16	$374	229	239	-10	Aurora Gaming	+$93	02-15 17:33
ucl atm1 bru 2026 02 24 atm1	2	$352	177	177	+0	Yes	+$2	02-24 19:34
cs2 bcg 3dmax 2026 01 29 game1	2	$334	171	171	+0	3DMAX	+$7	01-29 16:22
ucl slp fcb1 2026 01 21 fcb1	7	$312	185	185	+0	Yes	+$48	01-21 22:22
epl bou sun 2026 02 28 draw	4	$300	161	161	+0	Yes	+$20	02-28 14:34
cs2 mgc 3dmax 2026 07 24 game2	14	$298	220	220	+0	3DMAX	-$45	07-24 10:53
sea rom cre 2026 02 22 rom	5	$293	270	100	+170	Yes	+$7	02-22 21:08
cs2 pain g2 2026 03 04 game2	3	$283	200	200	+0	paiN	-$83	03-04 19:59
will trump meet with friedrich merz in january 2026	19	$272	203	203	+0	No	-$32	01-21 13:58
cs2 ast10 nrg 2026 01 29 game2	3	$253	129	129	+0	Astralis	+$4	01-30 14:57
Spread: France (-2.5)	4	$241	147	147	+0	Northern Ireland	+$14	06-08 21:07
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 5pt5	11	$241	133	133	+0	Uzbekistan	+$2	06-23 19:00
epl eve bre 2026 01 04 bre	2	$240	121	121	+0	Yes	+$0	01-04 16:51
lal mad ala 2026 01 18 mad	2	$239	139	139	+0	Yes	+$39	01-18 17:20
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	3	$237	264	28	+236	Argentina	+$3	07-15 20:57
ucl rma1 ben 2026 02 25 rma1	2	$226	127	127	+0	Yes	+$26	02-25 22:14
cs2 furia fut 2026 01 31 game1	2	$219	120	120	+0	FUT Esports	+$19	01-31 16:16
will cristiano ronaldo score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406402	2	$219	120	120	+0	Yes	+$20	06-23 17:12
fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	2	$214	114	114	+0	Morocco	+$14	07-04 19:15
lal bet val 2026 02 01 bet	2	$209	109	109	+0	Yes	+$9	02-01 18:06
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 first half team total away 0pt5	2	$206	106	106	+0	Under	+$6	07-09 20:52
acn cmr mar 2026 01 09 total 4pt5	5	$206	106	106	+0	Under	+$6	01-09 21:10
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina	2	$205	106	106	+0	Elina Svitolina	+$5	05-16 18:57
fif eng jpn 2026 03 31 total 2pt5	2	$205	105	105	+0	Under	+$5	03-31 20:41
wta muchova krejcik 2026 07 05	2	$203	103	103	+0	Karolina Muchova	+$3	07-05 15:28
fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	3	$203	105	105	+0	Egypt	+$3	06-15 19:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 21:25:35	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x8f093d…
10-26 21:12:11	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xb27520…
10-25 21:49:57	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0x8f1de5…
10-25 21:37:29	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x4ba3f6…
10-25 20:09:51	Udinese Calcio vs. AC Milan: AC Milan O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x6c6ecb…
10-25 20:04:23	Udinese Calcio vs. AC Milan: AC Milan O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xb665c6…
10-25 10:04:09	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x7aeb24…
10-24 16:14:36	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x564230…
10-24 15:47:03	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x7e30e3…
10-24 15:34:21	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x0b482e…
10-23 22:48:56	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x13caaf…
10-23 22:13:11	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x7af0c7…
10-23 19:13:29	Will AC Monza win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0xee3216…
10-22 21:50:11	Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x154cb6…
10-22 20:44:50	Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x59d2a5…
10-22 18:47:53	Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-22?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xb091a9…
10-22 18:30:51	Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x2817bf…
10-21 09:15:39	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	SELL	45	58¢	$26	0xe29717…
10-21 09:15:14	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	SELL	15	58¢	$9	0x1910c6…
10-21 09:08:14	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	BUY	60	55¢	$33	0xe8dea0…
10-20 22:05:32	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0xb9c6fe…
10-20 19:38:44	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	49	83¢	$41	0x8a4deb…
10-20 15:01:33	Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	31	64¢	$20	0x838d23…
10-20 13:41:45	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	19	62¢	$12	0x7054dd…
10-20 13:34:33	Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x4aaa87…
10-20 13:28:12	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0x929952…
10-20 13:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0xac18e6…
10-20 13:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xc3cd6e…
10-20 13:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xfb39f9…
10-20 13:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x0acd47…
10-20 13:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x150240…
10-20 13:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x11c61e…
10-20 13:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xc3bba8…
10-20 13:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x4f365d…
10-19 20:19:50	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xcf83fe…
10-19 20:14:30	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x63178e…
10-17 21:32:14	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-17?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xa348ac…
10-17 20:30:48	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x2454bd…
10-16 16:20:13	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0xedb28f…
10-15 17:11:49	Will KAA Gent win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	12	54¢	$7	0xcec4d4…
10-15 17:02:47	Will KAA Gent win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0x5e3076…
10-15 16:48:56	Will KAA Gent win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x1f4e7c…
10-14 21:26:15	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x74644e…
10-14 21:16:52	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xa0368f…
10-14 20:49:27	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xb30187…
10-14 17:23:06	Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907: 1st Half O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	53	96¢	$50	0xae9ad3…
10-14 17:06:03	Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907: 1st Half O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x531edf…
10-14 13:29:59	cs2 lgc prv 2026 10 14	Legacy	SELL	25	58¢	$15	0xba4029…
10-14 13:18:26	cs2 lgc prv 2026 10 14	Legacy	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x7ed72a…
10-12 20:58:29	Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Newcastle United FC O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x4274d7…
10-12 20:19:14	Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Newcastle United FC O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x4f2e26…
10-12 16:59:08	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc17cec…
10-11 20:41:39	Exact Score: Real Racing Club 2 - 2 Valencia CF?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc06625…
10-11 20:14:54	Real Racing Club vs. Valencia CF: Valencia CF O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xfee357…
10-11 17:27:22	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xce7a6e…
10-11 17:22:37	Will SC Freiburg vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xdc7443…
10-11 17:05:51	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf54a20…
10-11 17:04:37	Will SC Freiburg vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x3f38fe…
10-11 16:59:21	Will SC Freiburg vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x7ca962…
10-08 12:06:36	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0xc5007d…
10-07 20:16:37	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?	Yes	SELL	56	90¢	$50	0xea3123…
10-07 19:24:18	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?	Yes	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x09183a…
10-05 10:47:38	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x885351…
10-04 20:27:55	Will Portugal vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	13	13¢	$2	0x470851…
10-04 20:21:34	Will Portugal vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x778774…
10-04 19:58:29	Will Portugal vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x2abb8e…
10-04 15:02:08	Azerbaijan vs. Lithuania: Lithuania O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xa15e76…
10-04 15:01:50	Azerbaijan vs. Lithuania: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x22daa2…
10-04 14:45:29	Azerbaijan vs. Lithuania: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x658b06…
10-04 13:40:14	Azerbaijan vs. Lithuania: Lithuania O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x83c4e9…
10-02 20:42:42	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa77ee0…
10-02 20:42:17	Will Slovakia win on 2026-10-02?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x98f6bd…
10-02 20:11:33	Will Slovakia win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0xe750e5…
10-02 19:35:47	Will Ukraine win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x2f2203…
10-02 19:03:32	Will Ukraine win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x424305…
10-02 19:01:12	Will Ukraine win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x619c7f…
10-02 19:00:41	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3faf07…
10-02 18:44:56	Will Ukraine win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xdeecaf…
10-01 19:26:51	Will Israel win on 2026-10-01?	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x62a05d…
10-01 19:05:03	Israel vs. Kosovo: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x058776…
10-01 18:59:42	Will Israel win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xcdef6c…
10-01 18:59:20	Israel vs. Kosovo: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x3efcb4…
09-28 18:00:38	Will the next elected US president be a woman?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x75f613…
09-28 17:59:23	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x3b0964…
09-20 10:32:46	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x08276f…
09-20 10:32:04	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xf5527c…
09-20 06:34:55	Will Russia target Kyiv on September 20, 2026?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x749eea…
09-20 05:17:12	Will Russia target Kyiv on September 20, 2026?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x4fdcfe…
09-20 05:15:54	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xf57170…
09-20 05:14:55	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x9ba3c3…
09-19 07:26:04	Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xa2c338…
09-18 20:31:07	Will AC Monza win on 2026-09-18?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb1c2f0…
09-18 18:16:55	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7c4867…
09-18 18:11:01	Will the next elected US president be a woman?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x0ca81d…
09-18 17:58:06	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xbe4a21…
09-18 17:27:24	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x591652…
09-18 17:26:24	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xf3dd70…
09-18 17:24:07	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x367613…
09-18 17:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8ecf96…
09-18 17:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x36babd…