Conventional-Mercury — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$564

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.1%

Resolved

170

Trades

783

lifetime

Volume

$41.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 07-08 16:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Other

53% 39% -$566

Politics

34% 48% -$157

Sports

6% 65% +$279

Tech

5% 67% -$3

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$118

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-08).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	28	$3.4K	3,605	3,604	+0	No	$0	06-15 16:19
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	15	$2.2K	2,016	2,015	+0	Yes	+$6	06-14 07:01
iran successfully targets shipping by june 30 20260625215135369	5	$1.8K	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	+$0	06-26 14:32
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?	7	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$3	06-14 06:16
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	24	$1.6K	1,375	1,375	+0	Yes	+$0	05-22 22:21
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	10	$1.3K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$0	06-08 05:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	10	$1.3K	850	850	+0	No	-$4	05-07 14:08
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	8	$1.1K	916	916	+0	Down	-$6	05-11 10:41
spy up or down on june 17 2026	14	$992	813	813	+0	Down	+$0	06-17 10:24
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	3	$852	600	600	+0	Yes	+$0	06-14 05:18
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	18	$842	700	700	+0	No	+$0	05-31 20:23
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 8?	5	$832	800	800	+0	Yes	+$0	05-08 12:35
spy up or down on june 18 2026	3	$770	500	500	+0	Up	+$0	06-18 10:07
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	8	$747	498	498	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 14:51
spy closes above 740 on june 8 2026	5	$708	600	600	+0	No	+$0	06-08 19:15
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	14	$622	598	598	+0	Down	+$12	06-03 08:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	2	$580	500	500	+0	No	+$0	05-24 05:27
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 1?	4	$578	445	444	+0	Yes	+$0	06-01 13:12
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	3	$576	450	450	+0	No	+$0	05-24 06:41
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?	5	$574	436	436	+0	No	-$118	05-20 03:44
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	4	$570	500	500	+0	No	$0	05-23 13:37
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	5	$565	342	342	+0	No	$0	05-12 12:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$556	400	400	+0	No	-$4	05-07 07:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	2	$556	550	550	+0	Yes	+$6	05-24 05:52
spy closes above 730 on june 11 2026	4	$550	500	500	+0	Yes	+$0	06-11 13:53
spy closes above 735 on june 10 2026	9	$550	500	500	+0	No	+$0	06-10 14:56
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 3?	2	$540	600	600	+0	Down	+$0	06-03 07:11
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 18 2026?	4	$510	500	500	+0	Yes	+$0	05-21 08:12
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 24?	9	$480	500	500	+0	Yes	+$0	06-24 05:26
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?	3	$452	270	270	+0	Yes	-$13	05-10 16:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 16:05:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?	Yes	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0x773642…
07-08 16:04:59	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x922082…
07-08 16:04:59	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x847afd…
07-08 16:04:59	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x0ce66d…
07-08 16:04:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xef6843…
07-08 16:00:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0xb1dba2…
07-08 15:57:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?	Yes	SELL	40	16¢	$6	0x24a78b…
07-08 15:42:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x93994e…
07-08 15:33:23	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x916c83…
07-08 13:43:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?	Yes	SELL	38	44¢	$17	0x2fbef5…
07-08 12:37:44	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	66	44¢	$29	0x8eb4e8…
07-08 12:37:43	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0x950844…
07-08 12:37:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0xb4865a…
07-08 12:37:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xacf4ed…
07-08 12:37:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0x6c429d…
07-08 12:37:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x65a993…
07-08 12:37:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x396703…
07-08 12:37:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0xea2dbf…
07-08 12:37:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x7b2479…
07-08 12:37:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0x7fdaa2…
07-08 12:37:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0x532b2e…
07-08 10:06:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 8?	Yes	SELL	38	26¢	$10	0xca1f12…
07-08 09:58:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	38	25¢	$9	0x11f654…
07-08 09:38:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 8?	Yes	SELL	24	29¢	$7	0x1a59c1…
07-08 09:37:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x27dc67…
07-08 09:37:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x6456eb…
07-07 14:40:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	SELL	43	11¢	$5	0x041f4d…
07-07 14:40:05	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xedca2b…
07-07 14:38:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x3d5598…
07-07 14:29:23	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xefc75f…
07-07 14:29:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xe81561…
07-07 14:28:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x0c0ac1…
07-07 14:26:17	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	SELL	13	11¢	$1	0xc3d96f…
07-07 14:24:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xddf26a…
07-07 14:22:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x2b140c…
07-07 14:22:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x480446…
07-07 14:22:17	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xb691d4…
07-07 14:22:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xc9a7ee…
07-07 14:22:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x86d758…
07-07 14:22:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x2045d9…
07-07 14:22:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xff3781…
07-07 14:21:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xa6a5dc…
07-07 14:21:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x2a4b0d…
07-07 14:21:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x2eeafd…
07-07 14:21:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	SELL	38	11¢	$4	0x0ef876…
07-07 13:08:02	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x5ccadb…
07-07 13:08:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x0d58aa…
07-07 13:07:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	SELL	21	29¢	$6	0x95c50f…
07-07 13:05:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xb52b35…
07-07 12:39:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	SELL	12	29¢	$4	0x5d40d4…
07-07 12:21:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x4772e1…
07-07 12:21:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0x64160e…
07-07 12:21:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	SELL	2	29¢	$0	0xa5a24e…
07-07 10:07:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	BUY	318	29¢	$92	0x1d9c36…
07-07 10:07:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xdafbb0…
07-07 10:06:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	BUY	84	29¢	$24	0x1a3122…
07-07 10:06:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x5c9d46…
07-07 10:06:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	BUY	12	29¢	$3	0x627f1e…
07-07 10:06:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xfa3674…
07-07 10:06:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	BUY	0	29¢	$0	0xaff346…
07-07 10:06:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x9c955a…
07-07 10:06:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x337767…
07-06 12:44:44	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0xad33bd…
07-06 12:44:02	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x33441a…
07-06 12:43:56	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x06dc98…
07-06 12:42:37	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x334272…
07-06 12:42:31	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x13ef91…
07-06 12:41:05	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x1191a4…
07-06 12:40:59	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xad5ab5…
07-06 12:40:53	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xdb622d…
07-06 12:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x5b6355…
07-06 12:40:44	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xd9455c…
07-06 12:40:38	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xea6813…
07-06 12:40:32	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xf5035e…
07-06 12:40:26	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x3eb119…
07-06 12:40:22	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xfdf73f…
07-06 12:40:17	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xcb1242…
07-06 12:40:11	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x813f7f…
07-06 12:40:05	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xf87b50…
07-06 12:39:59	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xf81372…
07-06 12:39:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x8413f5…
07-06 12:37:47	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x6ac8ce…
07-06 12:37:41	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xbca65c…
07-06 12:37:37	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x8b66df…
07-06 12:37:31	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xb8e9e3…
07-06 12:37:26	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x4fff43…
07-06 12:37:22	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	SELL	172	29¢	$50	0x3d2bc4…
07-06 12:37:20	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xece12c…
07-06 12:37:14	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x88ddd0…
07-06 12:37:10	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x1c41b3…
07-06 12:37:04	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xbb080e…
07-06 12:36:59	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x935853…
07-06 12:36:53	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x771e9f…
07-06 12:36:47	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xf4815f…
07-06 12:36:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xdccc3b…
07-06 12:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x3cc701…
07-06 12:36:31	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x3354fb…
07-06 10:51:29	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?	No	BUY	500	29¢	$145	0xa5b09d…
07-06 08:57:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 6?	Yes	SELL	74	34¢	$25	0x676ebc…
07-06 08:25:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 6?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x784642…