Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

76.5%

Resolved

Trades

833

lifetime

Volume

$12.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$38

1 position

First seen

2026-03-04

last 06-10 17:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

45% 50% +$9

Crypto

37% — —

Other

16% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes		-106	$-37	36¢	$-38	$-1	06-09 20:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran strike israel on march 6	47	$1.6K	875	875	+0	open	—	03-11 17:21
will iran strike israel on march 10	33	$577	802	802	+0	open	—	03-14 22:42
will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	39	$412	466	466	+0	open	—	03-12 16:15
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	13	$343	188	188	+0	open	—	03-09 01:37
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	13	$314	256	156	+100	open	—	03-28 19:18
Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?	27	$305	323	0	+323	open	—	03-11 07:31
will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	11	$221	268	0	+268	open	—	03-09 01:51
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	7	$171	108	108	+0	open	—	03-11 17:58
btc updown 5m 1773041700	4	$133	138	0	+138	open	—	03-09 07:38
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	7	$131	161	0	+161	open	—	03-22 23:00
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	4	$128	72	72	+0	open	—	03-19 09:05
btc updown 5m 1773255900	7	$123	150	0	+150	open	—	03-11 19:09
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	4	$114	80	80	+0	open	—	03-22 17:21
btc updown 5m 1773255600	6	$113	119	0	+119	open	—	03-11 19:03
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	3	$111	61	61	+0	open	—	03-09 20:10
btc updown 5m 1773255300	7	$109	129	0	+129	open	—	03-11 18:59
btc updown 5m 1773030000	6	$101	120	20	+100	open	—	03-09 04:24
btc updown 5m 1773037800	9	$97	109	0	+109	open	—	03-09 06:34
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	4	$95	50	50	+0	open	—	03-09 01:54
btc updown 5m 1773250200	3	$93	104	0	+104	open	—	03-11 17:33
will daniel biss be the democratic nominee for il 09	3	$91	123	0	+123	open	—	03-18 00:18
btc updown 5m 1773249900	4	$90	108	0	+108	open	—	03-11 17:29
btc updown 5m 1773256200	4	$88	90	90	+0	open	—	03-11 19:14
hezbollah military action against israel by march 20	3	$86	92	0	+92	open	—	03-19 09:25
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	2	$83	44	44	+0	open	—	03-08 22:13
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	3	$82	50	50	+0	open	—	03-28 19:13
btc updown 5m 1772857800	1	$80	81	0	+81	open	—	03-07 04:34
will another country strike iran by march 7 528	2	$80	83	0	+83	open	—	03-07 23:10
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	5	$79	99	0	+99	open	—	03-20 04:45
will trump say kimberly or guilfoyle during greek independence day event	8	$79	91	0	+91	open	—	03-26 20:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 17:39:13	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	BUY	37	87¢	$32	0x152a79…
06-10 17:41:57	will serena williams play at wimbledon 2026 20260609214346175	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x4bac90…
06-10 11:04:04	btc updown 5m 1781089200	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xe6c63d…
06-10 11:01:27	btc updown 5m 1781089200	Down	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x26e3bc…
06-10 10:17:54	la mayoral election court rules 1st round fraudulent 20260607211804480	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x8624ad…
06-09 21:10:10	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x77fdbd…
06-09 21:09:52	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0x0b56ac…
06-09 21:09:28	will spencer pratt concede by june 10 20260608151037169	No	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0xad8a4e…
06-09 21:09:07	will spencer pratt concede by june 10 20260608151037169	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x99f7ad…
06-09 20:34:27	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	35¢	$37	0x81aeab…
06-08 23:10:24	la mayoral election court rules 1st round fraudulent 20260607211804480	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0xcd9f5d…
05-05 16:15:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x3bd00a…
03-28 19:18:24	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xdebefc…
03-28 19:13:36	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	50	82¢	$41	0xb81f4f…
03-27 11:57:45	will trump say farm or farmer 15 times during national agriculture day events	Yes	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x7b6ba4…
03-27 07:32:27	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 27 2026	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb3fbe7…
03-27 07:13:51	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 27 2026	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe402c4…
03-27 07:09:09	btc updown 5m 1774595100	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x9382ea…
03-27 07:09:03	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 340 359	Yes	SELL	84	6¢	$5	0x4a9429…
03-27 06:59:33	btc updown 5m 1774594500	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xf3a9f7…
03-27 06:52:05	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 340 359	Yes	SELL	16	6¢	$1	0xe05cbf…
03-27 06:34:43	btc updown 5m 1774593000	Down	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xcfccc1…
03-27 06:34:25	btc updown 5m 1774593000	Down	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x6de12f…
03-27 06:33:45	btc updown 5m 1774593000	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xb94499…
03-27 06:29:59	btc updown 5m 1774592700	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x6458a7…
03-27 06:23:49	btc updown 5m 1774592400	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x3ca7a6…
03-27 06:19:49	btc updown 5m 1774592100	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x4d4fad…
03-27 06:01:49	will trump say princess during the fii priority summit	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x0defb6…
03-27 05:29:23	will trump say hell 5 times during the fii priority summit	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x1b9d9f…
03-27 05:23:53	will trump say corn during national agriculture day events	Yes	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x156679…
03-27 04:29:49	will trump say farm or farmer 15 times during national agriculture day events	Yes	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x564201…
03-27 04:29:07	will trump say farm or farmer 15 times during national agriculture day events	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe2e90f…
03-27 04:04:33	will trump say hell 5 times during the fii priority summit	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x6f647c…
03-27 04:01:11	will trump say board of peace during the fii priority summit	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xcf19cf…
03-27 03:54:27	will trump say epic fury during national agriculture day events	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x558aac…
03-27 03:05:55	will trump say farm or farmer 15 times during national agriculture day events	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x456bf3…
03-27 02:54:43	will trump say womens sports during national agriculture day events	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa9ff92…
03-27 02:54:43	will trump say womens sports during national agriculture day events	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x52a110…
03-27 02:49:25	trump approval up or down this week 394	Up	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x3fe04b…
03-27 02:46:25	will trump say epic fury during national agriculture day events	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x740d7a…
03-27 01:58:09	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x67de45…
03-27 01:53:15	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	No	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xac27d6…
03-27 01:09:43	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x6e3432…
03-26 22:55:33	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x0ad820…
03-26 22:37:11	will trump say corn during national agriculture day events	Yes	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0x2fa595…
03-26 22:30:59	khamenei of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 0 19	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xc55481…
03-26 22:26:43	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	No	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0x6986bf…
03-26 22:25:27	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xe749b9…
03-26 20:41:41	will trump say monroe or donroe during greek independence day event	No	BUY	14	99¢	$13	0x467530…
03-26 20:41:35	will trump say monroe or donroe during greek independence day event	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc6f5e0…
03-26 20:40:07	will trump say monroe or donroe during greek independence day event	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xb231bc…
03-26 20:38:05	will trump say nuclear during greek independence day event	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x07dd05…
03-26 20:37:39	will trump say freedom or death during greek independence day event	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe36f78…
03-26 20:35:19	will trump say nuclear during greek independence day event	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0f64d3…
03-26 20:34:57	will trump say proclamation during greek independence day event	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0cf421…
03-26 20:34:19	will trump say freedom or death during greek independence day event	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7110b8…
03-26 20:33:31	will trump say freedom or death during greek independence day event	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x23da51…
03-26 20:33:21	will trump say freedom or death during greek independence day event	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x71f5f8…
03-26 20:33:13	will trump say freedom or death during greek independence day event	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x1dca35…
03-26 20:24:39	will trump say greek or greece or hellenic 20 times during greek independence day event	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$4	0xb0b70f…
03-26 20:24:33	will trump say greek or greece or hellenic 20 times during greek independence day event	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x302901…
03-26 20:23:45	will trump say greek or greece or hellenic 20 times during greek independence day event	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xdbfebb…
03-26 20:22:53	will trump say kimberly or guilfoyle during greek independence day event	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xdcefa8…
03-26 20:22:49	will trump say kimberly or guilfoyle during greek independence day event	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x9a29cb…
03-26 20:22:41	will trump say greek or greece or hellenic 20 times during greek independence day event	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf25444…
03-26 20:22:37	will trump say greek or greece or hellenic 20 times during greek independence day event	Yes	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x7508a9…
03-26 20:22:23	will trump say greek or greece or hellenic 20 times during greek independence day event	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x3b8324…
03-26 20:21:27	will trump say kimberly or guilfoyle during greek independence day event	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x409a64…
03-26 20:18:49	will trump say kimberly or guilfoyle during greek independence day event	Yes	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x15e92b…
03-26 19:42:09	will trump say kimberly or guilfoyle during greek independence day event	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x92b25a…
03-26 19:39:21	will trump say kimberly or guilfoyle during greek independence day event	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xac1064…
03-26 19:36:57	will trump say kimberly or guilfoyle during greek independence day event	Yes	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x75d34b…
03-26 19:36:41	will trump say kimberly or guilfoyle during greek independence day event	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x99b17b…
03-26 19:17:57	khamenei of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 0 19	No	SELL	44	9¢	$4	0x28c0c2…
03-26 19:15:09	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 320 339	Yes	SELL	95	1¢	$1	0xe39a2a…
03-24 19:39:49	btc updown 5m 1774380900	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x803435…
03-24 19:39:47	btc updown 5m 1774380900	Up	BUY	17	91¢	$16	0xe7604b…
03-24 19:39:47	btc updown 5m 1774380900	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd94516…
03-24 19:33:07	btc updown 5m 1774380600	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x05b9cf…
03-24 19:32:59	btc updown 5m 1774380600	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x3059e5…
03-24 12:04:47	will leavitt say illegal alien during the next white house press briefing 212	Yes	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x410850…
03-24 07:07:55	btc updown 5m 1774335900	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x188f68…
03-24 07:07:53	btc updown 5m 1774335900	Up	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xb24917…
03-24 07:07:53	btc updown 5m 1774335900	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x672aa4…
03-24 07:07:13	btc updown 5m 1774335900	Up	BUY	7	93¢	$6	0xd327ff…
03-24 07:06:57	btc updown 5m 1774335900	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x657ece…
03-24 07:00:57	khamenei of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 0 19	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xf577f9…
03-24 06:57:59	btc updown 5m 1774335300	Up	BUY	18	81¢	$15	0x529c51…
03-24 06:57:39	btc updown 5m 1774335300	Up	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0x5df434…
03-24 06:53:21	btc updown 5m 1774335000	Down	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x531d3d…
03-24 06:50:25	khamenei of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 0 19	No	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x813365…
03-23 20:24:13	btc updown 5m 1774297200	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xfa0e38…
03-23 20:21:55	Will Ryan Crosswell be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x55e4aa…
03-23 20:19:39	btc updown 5m 1774296900	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x2ff9f8…
03-23 20:19:39	btc updown 5m 1774296900	Down	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x0b44aa…
03-23 20:19:13	btc updown 5m 1774296900	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x81d37e…
03-23 10:21:07	khamenei of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 0 19	No	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x272058…
03-23 07:11:09	will trump say obliterated or obliteration or obliterating or obliterate during memphis roundtable 531	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xa1172f…
03-23 05:33:21	khamenei of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 0 19	No	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x30d592…
03-23 04:32:07	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 340 359	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x9dd6a8…