Elaborate-Soulmate-Reference — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$221

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.6%

Resolved

Trades

268

lifetime

Volume

$1.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-13 14:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 29% $-221

Politics

2% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 165 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	4	$111	117	57	+60	Up	+$1	05-12 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$104	100	100	+0	Down	+$94	05-12 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	3	$90	70	61	+9	Down	+$30	05-12 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	4	$80	463	0	+463	Up	$-67	05-12 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	3	$75	140	0	+140	Down	$-75	05-12 10:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	4	$60	633	0	+633	Down	$-24	05-12 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	10	$53	115	0	+115	Up	+$12	05-12 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$50	114	0	+114	Down	$-50	05-12 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	7	$46	62	24	+38	Up	+$2	05-13 09:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	3	$42	30	24	+6	Up	$-2	05-12 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	5	$36	35	16	+19	Down	$-4	05-13 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	3	$35	569	0	+569	Down	$-24	05-12 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	3	$35	288	0	+288	Down	+$79	05-12 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	7	$31	255	20	+235	Down	+$7	05-13 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	8	$31	32	17	+14	Up	+$3	05-13 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$30	635	0	+635	Up	$-30	05-12 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$30	303	0	+303	Down	+$23	05-12 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$30	93	0	+93	Up	+$53	05-12 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$30	49	0	+49	Up	+$12	05-12 08:16
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$28	40	40	+0	open	—	05-13 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	5	$28	152	0	+152	Down	$-19	05-12 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	9	$28	32	12	+20	Down	$-4	05-12 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$27	4	26	-22	Up	+$1	05-12 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$25	250	0	+250	Down	$-25	05-12 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$25	125	0	+125	Down	$-25	05-12 11:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$25	198	0	+198	Down	$-25	05-12 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$25	83	0	+83	Up	$-25	05-12 10:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$25	83	0	+83	Down	$-25	05-12 09:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	5	$25	62	0	+62	Down	$-11	05-13 09:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	6	$24	94	14	+79	Down	+$4	05-13 02:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 14:58:45	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	40	38¢	$15	0xf783d3…
05-13 14:30:59	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x68d162…
05-13 14:12:06	Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x85fad4…
05-13 14:11:00	Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x6fee0b…
05-13 14:08:40	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	29	10¢	$3	0xa44043…
05-13 14:01:17	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?	Yes	SELL	32	5¢	$2	0xda3084…
05-13 09:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x59985b…
05-13 09:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x4627e2…
05-13 09:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x0543cb…
05-13 09:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xd48c55…
05-13 09:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa7c4d9…
05-13 09:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe192a0…
05-13 09:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x9ccff0…
05-13 09:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x7ff616…
05-13 09:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x510a21…
05-13 09:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xd67fa7…
05-13 09:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xb09550…
05-13 09:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x924b72…
05-13 09:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xebee11…
05-13 09:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x39a1e2…
05-13 09:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xa4aec8…
05-13 09:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xbf98df…
05-13 09:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x9bdf7f…
05-13 09:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd461a7…
05-13 09:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0f4076…
05-13 09:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x3288aa…
05-13 09:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf8ce9d…
05-13 09:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4b87b5…
05-13 09:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x84f886…
05-13 09:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9a451f…
05-13 09:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x692425…
05-13 09:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x604073…
05-13 09:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x1c1186…
05-13 09:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x7b7700…
05-13 09:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xcb7817…
05-13 09:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x179225…
05-13 09:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x44a425…
05-13 09:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb50c26…
05-13 09:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0ed251…
05-13 09:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1530c5…
05-13 09:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc2c677…
05-13 09:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb65ccb…
05-13 08:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xe50428…
05-13 08:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x775ba9…
05-13 08:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x5d6e45…
05-13 08:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x66da82…
05-13 08:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x989fe0…
05-13 08:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x61b1a7…
05-13 08:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xadb3f7…
05-13 08:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xeefd54…
05-13 08:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x977b19…
05-13 08:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x728142…
05-13 08:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x2ad8cc…
05-13 08:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x025c98…
05-13 08:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x1f8ed3…
05-13 08:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x002abc…
05-13 08:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x727dc7…
05-13 08:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x5081cd…
05-13 08:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x5cb053…
05-13 08:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x2f1c23…
05-13 08:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xdcafeb…
05-13 08:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xee82f1…
05-13 08:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xec56de…
05-13 08:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x6827a8…
05-13 08:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x86db2b…
05-13 08:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x7f4445…
05-13 08:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x6a9165…
05-13 08:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0xdd3177…
05-13 08:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x635ff6…
05-13 08:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0x4cef0b…
05-13 08:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xd282ce…
05-13 08:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc668a4…
05-13 08:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xfece43…
05-13 08:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xa6d7ce…
05-13 08:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x49d8fc…
05-13 06:49:11	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x3e577c…
05-13 05:54:26	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	32	13¢	$4	0xb2955d…
05-13 04:35:46	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x916396…
05-13 04:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcfb32d…
05-13 04:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xc53254…
05-13 04:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x8e1477…
05-13 04:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xe2dce9…
05-13 04:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xfeb3a4…
05-13 04:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x0c8753…
05-13 04:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xde2689…
05-13 04:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x64f248…
05-13 04:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x7e3a41…
05-13 04:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x1dd2b4…
05-13 03:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	65	3¢	$2	0x8d0f9a…
05-13 03:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x3fd40f…
05-13 03:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xeb08be…
05-13 03:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x28c70e…
05-13 03:08:16	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xdf11b8…
05-13 02:57:08	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	40	33¢	$13	0xc77fef…
05-13 02:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x7c5605…
05-13 02:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xc66481…
05-13 02:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xe2bfc8…
05-13 02:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xa57717…
05-13 02:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x314ca9…
05-13 02:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x69cb3d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	81	$75.1K	3,135	05-15 13:53
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	79	$51.1K	4,506	05-13 09:42
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	79	$48.9K	7,549	05-13 09:42
(anonymous) 0x3375…a69c	79	$27.0K	4,621	05-13 09:43
(anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7	79	$22.5K	3,937	05-13 09:43
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	79	$19.3K	1,114	05-13 09:41
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	79	$18.9K	1,083	05-13 09:41
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	79	$18.8K	2,495	05-13 09:43