Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$80
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
4
lifetime
Volume
$123
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$203
3 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-05 19:17
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
82%
Other
18%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes +107 $22 96¢ $103 +$81 05-05 12:47
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? No +118 $100 84¢ $99 $-1 05-05 19:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? Yes -2 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-05 13:15