Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$35

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

87.4%

Resolved

Trades

123

lifetime

Volume

$29.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$238

Open exposure

$456

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-17 06:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

57% 100% +$83

Crypto

31% 55% -$139

Politics

11% 100% +$12

Tech

1% 100% +$2

Sports

0% 100% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No		+483	$454	94¢	$456	+$2	09-17 06:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 13	2	$1.7K	862	862	+0	No	+$3	03-13 12:44
bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	3	$1.7K	862	862	+0	No	+$2	03-07 14:07
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$1.7K	850	850	+0	No	+$4	03-02 02:22
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$1.6K	818	818	+0	No	+$2	01-18 07:39
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	2	$1.5K	749	749	+0	No	+$6	07-17 17:11
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	2	$1.5K	738	738	+0	No	+$0	03-04 13:47
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$1.3K	660	660	+0	No	-$1	03-12 13:59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	4	$1.2K	620	620	+0	No	+$8	06-15 16:44
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	2	$1.2K	619	619	+0	No	+$6	05-28 15:06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$1.2K	604	604	+0	Yes	+$4	04-27 03:29
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	2	$1.2K	601	601	+0	No	+$3	04-16 15:18
will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	11	$1.2K	598	598	+0	No	+$4	02-14 05:31
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	7	$940	564	414	+150	No	+$22	07-31 21:00
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	5	$908	503	409	+94	No	+$3	03-23 05:06
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	16	$763	390	390	+0	Yes	+$15	01-28 17:28
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$725	364	364	+0	No	+$2	03-23 09:00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	2	$698	350	350	+0	No	+$1	06-26 08:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	1	$603	604	0	+604	No	+$1	04-27 05:08
will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	1	$596	597	0	+597	No	+$1	03-27 13:23
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$590	307	307	+0	open	—	09-16 15:10
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$572	287	287	+0	No	+$1	07-29 18:00
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$548	275	275	+0	No	+$1	06-27 09:05
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?	3	$542	275	275	+0	No	+$3	06-13 01:31
will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of february 542 564 882 215 825 637 559 654 593 764 923	5	$500	251	251	+0	No	+$1	02-26 18:59
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$496	253	253	+0	No	+$3	02-22 10:26
will ethereum reach 4400 in february 2026	2	$493	247	247	+0	No	+$0	02-11 20:03
will nvda dip to 144 in january	3	$487	244	244	+0	No	+$1	01-31 03:04
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	1	$454	483	0	+483	open	—	09-17 06:48
will nvda dip to 156 in january	14	$402	204	204	+0	No	+$6	01-28 15:40
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$402	203	203	+0	Yes	+$2	03-12 13:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 06:48:24	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	483	94¢	$454	0x22d7bd…
09-16 15:10:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	124	99¢	$123	0xcec250…
09-16 15:10:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	183	99¢	$181	0x09a298…
08-04 00:25:38	Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?	No	BUY	133	90¢	$119	0x76369b…
07-31 21:00:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	122	98¢	$120	0x40f1a3…
07-31 01:11:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	307	93¢	$286	0x6be2c0…
07-29 18:00:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	287	100¢	$287	0xb1392c…
07-23 11:29:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	287	99¢	$285	0x1966cf…
07-21 14:29:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	101	98¢	$99	0xf7152b…
07-21 13:40:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x23d1ea…
07-21 13:38:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	61	98¢	$59	0x1cf8bc…
07-21 13:35:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	122	98¢	$119	0xf78b9d…
07-18 05:20:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	395	96¢	$381	0x579998…
07-17 17:11:04	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	749	100¢	$747	0x7f0e56…
06-28 12:39:49	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	749	99¢	$741	0x113b41…
06-27 09:05:23	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	275	100¢	$275	0xb07ef7…
06-26 08:07:47	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	SELL	350	100¢	$350	0xa306f8…
06-23 15:46:28	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	118	100¢	$117	0xba0072…
06-17 12:48:08	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	BUY	350	100¢	$348	0x7c5373…
06-15 16:44:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	349	100¢	$348	0xc43454…
06-15 14:01:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	169	90¢	$153	0xe57079…
06-13 17:03:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	155	100¢	$154	0xda863a…
06-13 11:31:25	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	275	99¢	$273	0x3bcd99…
06-13 01:31:01	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?	No	SELL	67	99¢	$66	0x615915…
06-09 13:39:39	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?	No	SELL	208	99¢	$207	0x4cef30…
06-09 13:14:54	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	118	98¢	$115	0x6f558c…
06-07 16:53:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 8?	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x8b01f8…
06-07 12:46:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 8?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x6fff2d…
06-05 13:27:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x2c2631…
06-03 01:06:50	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x719541…
05-31 00:04:38	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0x7d9a81…
05-28 15:07:35	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	BUY	620	98¢	$609	0x28a66d…
05-28 15:06:37	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	619	98¢	$609	0xe7fc1d…
05-10 14:52:55	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?	No	BUY	275	98¢	$269	0xefbf52…
05-06 22:15:30	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	300	90¢	$270	0x3f61be…
05-06 13:01:50	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	619	98¢	$604	0x72c3b4…
04-27 05:08:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	604	100¢	$603	0xa72e8e…
04-27 03:29:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	604	100¢	$603	0x639001…
04-17 13:27:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	604	99¢	$600	0xd4dc8f…
04-16 15:18:34	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	No	SELL	601	100¢	$600	0xd212d4…
04-03 15:35:07	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	No	BUY	601	99¢	$597	0xac940a…
03-27 13:23:31	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	597	100¢	$596	0x3abe16…
03-23 09:00:31	Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	364	100¢	$363	0x200624…
03-23 05:06:57	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x678494…
03-23 05:06:03	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	129	100¢	$128	0x235201…
03-23 05:05:23	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x4cda26…
03-23 05:04:29	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$59	0x99eac4…
03-14 12:05:01	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	503	99¢	$499	0xf7b344…
03-14 12:04:31	Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	364	99¢	$361	0x5d4c30…
03-13 12:44:25	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 13	No	SELL	862	100¢	$861	0xeb88f2…
03-12 14:01:45	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 13	No	BUY	862	100¢	$858	0x89a27d…
03-12 13:59:13	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	660	100¢	$657	0xd12d5f…
03-12 13:58:05	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	203	99¢	$202	0x388677…
03-07 14:08:15	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	203	99¢	$200	0x09cff9…
03-07 14:07:41	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	660	100¢	$657	0x54d79f…
03-07 14:07:31	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	862	100¢	$857	0xc5b0b5…
03-04 13:47:27	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	739	99¢	$734	0x65c29b…
03-04 13:47:13	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	SELL	738	99¢	$734	0x91aa84…
03-04 12:09:29	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0xdf9eae…
03-02 02:25:03	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	738	99¢	$734	0x82d717…
03-02 02:23:53	nba okc dal 2026 03 01	Thunder	BUY	122	94¢	$115	0x64cd88…
03-02 02:22:23	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	602	99¢	$598	0x2ce1d3…
02-26 18:59:20	will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of february 542 564 882 215 825 637 559 654 593 764 923	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x9413bf…
02-26 18:56:06	will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of february 542 564 882 215 825 637 559 654 593 764 923	No	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0x97f811…
02-26 18:52:06	will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of february 542 564 882 215 825 637 559 654 593 764 923	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x7c0403…
02-26 18:51:44	will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of february 542 564 882 215 825 637 559 654 593 764 923	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0xb7fa7c…
02-23 03:38:30	will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of february 542 564 882 215 825 637 559 654 593 764 923	No	BUY	251	99¢	$249	0xcb7dff…
02-22 10:26:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	72	99¢	$71	0x6dcda3…
02-22 10:23:50	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	161	99¢	$159	0xdd56fe…
02-22 10:20:20	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xce0740…
02-15 07:55:11	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	602	99¢	$596	0xc464d0…
02-14 05:31:31	will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x464186…
02-14 05:30:51	will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	No	SELL	87	100¢	$86	0x6640a4…
02-14 05:25:21	will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	No	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0x774481…
02-14 05:25:07	will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	No	SELL	93	100¢	$92	0xc0506f…
02-14 05:24:55	will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	No	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0x467e13…
02-14 05:19:03	will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	No	SELL	82	100¢	$81	0xf8c4bd…
02-14 05:14:05	will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x01f8b3…
02-14 05:09:19	will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	No	SELL	53	100¢	$52	0x7b0a10…
02-13 14:50:53	will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd5acc4…
02-13 14:08:37	will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xda658f…
02-13 12:33:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	253	98¢	$247	0x717f00…
02-11 20:03:25	will ethereum reach 4400 in february 2026	No	SELL	247	100¢	$247	0xde52c5…
02-05 00:57:47	will ethereum reach 4400 in february 2026	No	BUY	247	100¢	$246	0xb8721c…
02-03 16:33:18	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	248	99¢	$246	0x0cb770…
02-01 08:02:18	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	248	98¢	$244	0x647559…
01-31 03:04:36	will nvda dip to 144 in january	No	SELL	241	100¢	$241	0x3e8fe7…
01-31 02:30:12	will nvda dip to 144 in january	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x74d483…
01-29 11:57:26	will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	No	BUY	598	99¢	$593	0x0481a7…
01-28 17:28:48	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	370	100¢	$369	0xff9402…
01-28 17:28:12	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe0597a…
01-28 17:28:04	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x65fadc…
01-28 17:27:50	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb66ec1…
01-28 17:27:50	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8cc910…
01-28 17:27:48	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x15271d…
01-28 17:27:46	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbe06e0…
01-28 17:27:46	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x044b63…
01-28 17:27:36	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf4c4ba…
01-28 17:27:36	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1be714…
01-28 17:27:32	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9eba85…