Splendid-Rainstorm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

79.2%

Resolved

Trades

172

lifetime

Volume

$1.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-04-17

last 06-05 05:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 41% +$23

Politics

10% 0% $-5

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No		+34	$10	32¢	$11	+$1	06-05 00:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	9	$136	97	93	+4	Down	+$2	05-08 09:35
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$123	74	74	+0	open	—	06-01 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	11	$96	110	110	+0	Down	+$10	05-08 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	4	$95	73	73	+0	open	—	05-15 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	5	$95	288	85	+203	open	—	05-15 02:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	4	$93	110	110	+0	open	—	05-15 02:24
btc updown 5m 1776891900	2	$77	48	47	+1	open	—	04-22 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	5	$69	265	43	+222	open	—	05-15 02:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	6	$63	335	123	+213	open	—	05-15 02:29
btc updown 5m 1780637700	3	$55	237	37	+200	open	—	06-05 05:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	4	$51	128	38	+90	open	—	04-30 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$50	71	0	+71	Up	+$21	05-07 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$48	28	28	+0	open	—	04-30 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$46	91	0	+91	open	—	05-15 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$39	22	22	+0	open	—	04-30 23:42
btc updown 5m 1780637400	3	$30	49	4	+45	open	—	06-05 05:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$27	23	23	+0	Down	+$18	05-07 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	8	$27	49	25	+24	Down	$-9	05-08 20:09
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	2	$25	169	161	+8	open	—	04-21 07:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$25	49	0	+49	open	—	05-14 08:12
btc updown 5m 1776891600	2	$25	2,167	0	+2,167	open	—	04-22 21:04
btc updown 5m 1776922800	3	$24	20	12	+8	open	—	04-23 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	4	$23	39	15	+24	Down	$-9	05-08 09:37
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	2	$22	359	0	+359	open	—	04-21 11:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$21	17	17	+0	open	—	04-30 23:30
btc updown 5m 1776892800	1	$20	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	04-22 21:25
btc updown 5m 1776899400	1	$20	53	0	+53	open	—	04-22 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$20	37	0	+37	open	—	04-30 22:30
btc updown 5m 1776892500	1	$20	30	0	+30	open	—	04-22 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$20	64	0	+64	open	—	04-30 23:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 05:38:57	btc updown 5m 1780637700	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xc221c5…
06-05 05:36:57	btc updown 5m 1780637700	Down	SELL	37	75¢	$28	0xf856f7…
06-05 05:35:43	btc updown 5m 1780637700	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xc6de0c…
06-05 05:31:58	btc updown 5m 1780637400	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xc0c86e…
06-05 05:30:52	btc updown 5m 1780637400	Up	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0xa85a77…
06-05 05:30:28	btc updown 5m 1780637400	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1a5c2a…
06-05 00:53:24	btc updown 5m 1780620600	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xde2aac…
06-05 00:26:58	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 7 2026	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x04e542…
06-05 00:26:24	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 6 2026	No	BUY	227	4¢	$10	0x5a961b…
06-05 00:25:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xea480b…
06-05 00:21:28	btc updown 5m 1780618500	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xa42337…
06-05 00:18:31	btc updown 5m 1780618500	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x60ebde…
06-05 00:17:21	btc updown 5m 1780618500	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xcb2f07…
06-05 00:16:36	btc updown 5m 1780618500	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x792af5…
06-05 00:16:12	btc updown 5m 1780618500	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x700c3f…
06-01 09:29:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	74	100¢	$73	0xce85f6…
05-21 23:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x99be02…
05-21 23:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0xa5b2b2…
05-21 23:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x35b702…
05-15 02:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	91	51¢	$46	0x748e96…
05-15 02:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x30d210…
05-15 02:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x8c160c…
05-15 02:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x855cb6…
05-15 02:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xeb3c3c…
05-15 02:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x764ebf…
05-15 02:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	114	26¢	$30	0x03b869…
05-15 02:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0xb329b8…
05-15 02:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	29¢	$3	0xf02f6f…
05-15 02:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x4e6bd8…
05-15 02:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x587dba…
05-15 02:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x634001…
05-15 02:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	60	85¢	$51	0x7eaca2…
05-15 02:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xc020f2…
05-15 02:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xd4084a…
05-15 02:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x8d32c2…
05-15 02:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	203	12¢	$25	0x0dc888…
05-15 02:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x59d73e…
05-15 02:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xa74922…
05-15 02:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	35	88¢	$31	0x213e30…
05-15 02:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x9f6c9c…
05-15 02:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xfe600c…
05-15 02:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x015fa2…
05-15 02:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	43	68¢	$29	0xd0f262…
05-15 02:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x904d1f…
05-15 02:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xb5f302…
05-15 02:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xaf9400…
05-15 02:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xbac282…
05-15 02:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	61	88¢	$54	0x6d729b…
05-15 02:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x17f182…
05-14 08:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x153b02…
05-08 21:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x9d162b…
05-08 20:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	44¢	$4	0x66633c…
05-08 20:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x35d362…
05-08 20:18:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x1ee32b…
05-08 20:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7117d6…
05-08 20:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xf1f079…
05-08 20:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2f03b8…
05-08 20:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	42¢	$1	0x4aa975…
05-08 20:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x19ecc5…
05-08 20:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x4b3e0a…
05-08 20:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xd99559…
05-08 20:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	16	38¢	$6	0x814b74…
05-08 20:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xd84ec5…
05-08 20:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0x64ee15…
05-08 20:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x63f874…
05-08 20:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc2b9fd…
05-08 09:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x236633…
05-08 09:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xff88b5…
05-08 09:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe49535…
05-08 09:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0xf90e85…
05-08 09:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x950901…
05-08 09:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x5f3955…
05-08 09:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0xe1e823…
05-08 09:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x1c769a…
05-08 09:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x0b2fb1…
05-08 09:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xbc0021…
05-08 09:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	81	51¢	$41	0xae8aee…
05-08 09:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0x1a4c43…
05-08 09:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x7cacd8…
05-08 09:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf41207…
05-08 09:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x3eaab4…
05-08 09:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x27c502…
05-08 09:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	15	45¢	$7	0xd4b66a…
05-08 09:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x3d5510…
05-08 09:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	27	85¢	$23	0x36b49b…
05-08 09:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x5f9101…
05-08 09:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	34	88¢	$30	0x1e1252…
05-08 09:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0xa667dd…
05-08 09:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x2bcad7…
05-08 09:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	16	38¢	$6	0x7fb875…
05-08 09:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	16	65¢	$10	0x275620…
05-08 09:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x55d9d6…
05-08 09:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x4f2c67…
05-08 09:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xf57b6e…
05-08 09:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xbe42e3…
05-08 09:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x99a409…
05-07 23:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9db688…
05-07 23:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0xcf041d…
05-07 23:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x24d0c6…
05-07 23:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xe567a8…