Sweaty-Yard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$876

Unrealized P&L

-$288

Hit rate

52.9%

Resolved

Trades

252

lifetime

Volume

$17.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

$687

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-09 14:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Other

37% 52% -$716

Politics

36% 71% +$289

Crypto

17% 40% -$365

Sports

8% 44% -$58

Pop-Culture

2% 0% -$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+583	$400	53¢	$307	-$93	08-23 09:56
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	+548	$290	44¢	$241	-$49	10-09 22:14
Jumper listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	+500	$135	16¢	$82	-$52	11-09 14:56
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+1,859	$50	2¢	$33	-$17	08-23 09:57
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+2,273	$50	1¢	$17	-$33	08-23 09:57
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+1,380	$50	0¢	$6	-$44	08-23 09:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol fox1 dk 2026 02 28	2	$1.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	BNK FEARX	-$20	02-28 07:53
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	8	$1.1K	1,272	1,272	+0	No	+$139	03-03 10:53
lol wb blg 2026 02 27	10	$945	3,326	601	+2,725	Bilibili Gaming	-$621	02-27 09:34
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	3	$659	704	0	+704	No	+$45	03-08 14:45
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	13	$657	3,300	3,300	+0	No	-$261	02-04 18:10
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	11	$650	500	500	+0	No	+$10	03-05 08:29
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	4	$613	1,066	0	+1,066	No	+$453	03-01 10:25
houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	4	$588	700	700	+0	Yes	+$224	04-02 16:48
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	12	$570	1,500	1,500	+0	No	-$33	07-11 19:53
trump on 250 bill this year	4	$567	300	300	+0	open	—	07-13 08:17
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	8	$559	500	500	+0	No	+$189	03-02 08:01
will bitcoin reach 85k in september 2026 from september 25	3	$493	300	292	+8	Yes	+$69	09-27 09:48
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	2	$438	250	250	+0	Yes	+$38	09-21 08:32
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	3	$423	495	0	+495	No	+$72	03-01 09:45
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$400	583	0	+583	open	—	08-23 09:56
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	4	$397	420	0	+420	Yes	-$397	04-01 12:38
lol sen dsg 2026 02 14	2	$360	800	0	+800	Sentinels	-$360	02-14 11:10
will kanye release bully by april 3	9	$311	202	202	+0	Yes	-$27	03-27 17:40
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	3	$293	550	2	+548	open	—	10-09 22:14
Will NVIDIA dip to $160 in April?	5	$272	500	161	+339	No	-$108	04-02 11:53
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	2	$263	221	221	+0	No	+$2	05-23 10:03
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-17?	1	$252	400	0	+400	Yes	+$148	05-16 15:29
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$218	260	0	+260	Yes	+$42	06-02 11:29
will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	2	$213	1,968	1,968	+0	No	-$51	02-07 10:32
will mrbeasts latest video get between 39 and 41 million views on week 1	6	$205	139	139	+0	No	$0	02-25 09:34
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 4 2026	3	$205	120	120	+0	No	+$4	03-04 09:34
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	3	$197	1,595	1,595	+0	Yes	+$26	03-03 19:17
Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$191	121	121	+0	No	+$39	05-06 08:28
bitcoin above 66k on march 31	7	$190	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$190	03-30 12:06
lol vit mkoi 2026 02 16	1	$185	462	0	+462	Movistar KOI	-$185	02-16 10:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 14:56:16	Jumper listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	BUY	180	27¢	$49	0xec85f0…
11-07 13:47:24	Jumper listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	BUY	16	27¢	$4	0x16dba4…
11-07 01:47:30	Jumper listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xf24ead…
11-06 17:09:48	Jumper listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x62422a…
11-06 15:14:10	Jumper listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xd2a661…
11-06 13:47:18	Jumper listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	BUY	60	27¢	$16	0x5f9331…
11-06 13:47:15	Jumper listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	BUY	24	27¢	$6	0xfdf18c…
11-06 13:47:15	Jumper listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xede423…
11-06 13:47:15	Jumper listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xdd3aaf…
11-06 13:47:15	Jumper listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xb420a9…
11-06 13:47:15	Jumper listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x53a8cd…
10-29 21:31:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	28	1¢	$0	0x5875be…
10-29 21:31:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5,470	2¢	$120	0x453b5f…
10-29 21:30:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	124	2¢	$3	0x1d9ca7…
10-29 21:30:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	156	2¢	$3	0x8f0e95…
10-29 21:30:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x734cac…
10-29 21:30:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1,116	2¢	$25	0x423986…
10-29 21:30:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	290	2¢	$6	0x1748e6…
10-29 21:29:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xfaaa3e…
10-29 21:29:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb9bb19…
10-29 21:25:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd5d97b…
10-29 21:13:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	362	9¢	$33	0x18f342…
10-29 21:13:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	138	9¢	$12	0x4bdf9b…
10-29 21:13:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	300	9¢	$27	0x060220…
10-29 21:12:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xfb482d…
10-29 21:12:01	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,000	15¢	$146	0x372acf…
10-21 12:40:17	Jumper listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	BUY	82	27¢	$22	0x08507e…
10-09 22:14:52	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xea1d68…
09-27 09:48:42	will bitcoin reach 85k in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	SELL	292	95¢	$277	0xd20a51…
09-26 17:15:06	will bitcoin reach 85k in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xfd6deb…
09-26 16:27:50	will bitcoin reach 85k in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	292	72¢	$210	0x49b055…
09-25 10:18:12	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	500	52¢	$260	0x748d40…
09-21 08:32:26	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	Yes	SELL	250	95¢	$238	0x99bc61…
09-20 20:40:46	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x3508dc…
09-20 19:52:08	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0xc8eb08…
09-19 09:21:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 21?	No	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0xfc51ea…
09-19 09:21:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 21?	No	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0xd88c7f…
09-19 09:21:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 21?	No	BUY	75	21¢	$16	0xaae710…
09-19 09:14:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 21?	No	BUY	45	21¢	$10	0x7d4509…
09-19 09:10:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	171	14¢	$24	0xcf5c29…
09-19 09:10:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xfd0ba9…
09-19 09:10:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	28	14¢	$4	0x0519f8…
09-18 15:07:51	Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.10 by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	161	6¢	$10	0xf2060f…
09-18 14:14:08	Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.10 by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	318	6¢	$19	0x37e0ea…
09-18 11:30:25	Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.10 by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x1429e9…
09-18 07:25:58	Will fomo fees hit $75M in 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	84¢	$114	0x93b2b1…
08-23 09:57:31	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,273	2¢	$50	0xb19025…
08-23 09:57:19	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,859	3¢	$50	0x249d17…
08-23 09:57:03	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,380	4¢	$50	0xfbb620…
08-23 09:56:46	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	583	69¢	$400	0x9e4642…
07-13 08:17:22	trump on 250 bill this year	No	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0x68da0f…
07-13 08:14:14	trump on 250 bill this year	No	SELL	113	97¢	$109	0x744971…
07-12 06:17:49	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0xcda377…
07-11 19:53:53	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	49	18¢	$9	0x9505be…
07-11 19:25:44	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	545	18¢	$98	0x38d6fc…
07-11 19:24:16	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x59c000…
07-11 19:23:47	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x35c0eb…
07-11 19:21:11	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0x766f17…
07-11 19:17:44	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	700	18¢	$125	0x0e41c3…
07-11 19:14:35	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	28	18¢	$5	0x6a70b9…
07-11 19:12:19	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	56	18¢	$10	0xe94243…
07-11 19:10:41	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	28	18¢	$5	0xa2f93b…
07-11 19:09:52	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	17	18¢	$3	0x8ea74f…
07-11 19:09:34	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	59	18¢	$11	0x8d2464…
07-11 09:58:46	trump on 250 bill this year	No	SELL	150	97¢	$146	0x375a4c…
07-11 09:02:41	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x3e768d…
07-09 11:48:43	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,500	20¢	$302	0xe48521…
07-09 06:11:22	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3,000	2¢	$72	0x274dd9…
07-05 22:45:04	will the powerball jackpot hit 1 billion by july 31	No	SELL	52	95¢	$49	0x716d00…
06-30 11:11:01	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	80	77¢	$62	0xd80b5b…
06-16 14:01:02	Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0xab44d0…
06-02 11:29:44	Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	260	84¢	$218	0x5fbdbd…
05-31 12:37:32	Trump on $250 bill this year?	No	BUY	300	92¢	$276	0xd02e49…
05-31 07:55:30	Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x9b036a…
05-27 11:04:52	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	100	61¢	$61	0x7f4ed1…
05-27 07:21:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0x8e84ee…
05-27 07:17:01	Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by July 31?	No	BUY	52	85¢	$44	0x190395…
05-27 07:15:44	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	60	59¢	$35	0xcbf7a0…
05-26 16:34:48	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 26?	No	SELL	40	30¢	$12	0x06c594…
05-26 16:34:25	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 26?	No	SELL	40	30¢	$12	0x8d4f67…
05-26 15:52:20	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 26?	No	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xb6445d…
05-26 15:51:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 26?	No	SELL	40	30¢	$12	0xb3e5d7…
05-26 15:50:05	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 26?	No	SELL	40	30¢	$12	0x052f95…
05-26 14:55:33	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 26?	No	BUY	160	32¢	$51	0xf51ac1…
05-26 14:53:29	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 26?	No	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0x7f274c…
05-26 14:48:24	Morocco vs. Burundi: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xef8518…
05-26 14:48:12	Morocco vs. Burundi: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xe3d173…
05-26 14:45:38	Exact Score: Morocco 2 - 0 Burundi?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x066a0f…
05-26 13:00:34	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	23	16¢	$4	0xc3828b…
05-26 12:56:05	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	23	11¢	$2	0x7f9456…
05-23 10:03:43	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	SELL	221	60¢	$132	0xdbe30e…
05-23 10:00:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	BUY	221	59¢	$130	0xe53bc1…
05-20 13:35:49	Will Trump say "Jesus" or "Christ" this week?	Yes	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0x0c0714…
05-20 13:35:41	Will Trump say "Jesus" or "Christ" this week?	Yes	SELL	12	70¢	$8	0xda1e68…
05-19 08:48:40	Will Trump say "Jesus" or "Christ" this week?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xf528d5…
05-17 20:50:06	Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?	Yes	BUY	98	82¢	$81	0x846dc2…
05-16 15:29:15	Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	400	63¢	$252	0x640002…
05-08 18:49:03	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs	Tundra Esports	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xf3d1a8…
05-08 16:57:01	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xf30f67…
05-08 16:46:29	Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$16	0x99624c…