Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.43K

Unrealized P&L

-$8.50K

Hit rate

91.9%

Resolved

106

Trades

1,027

lifetime

Volume

$854.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$832

Open exposure

$9.68K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-21 20:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Other

76% 80% -$2,060

Politics

15% 81% +$6,026

Crypto

9% 80% +$450

Sports

0% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	-10,000	-$9,462	94¢	$-9350	+$112	07-25 08:50
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+200	$162	86¢	$171	+$9	08-11 17:56
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	-100	-$90	94¢	$-94	-$4	07-11 11:38
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	-81	-$60	86¢	$-70	-$10	07-10 13:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+0	$8,603	12¢	$0	-$8,603	08-21 09:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?	7	$89.6K	89,823	0	+89,823	No	+$180	01-11 17:08
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	141	$54.7K	57,384	0	+57,384	No	+$2,690	08-27 06:15
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	23	$52.4K	43,199	11,199	+32,000	No	+$1,209	04-11 22:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	54	$52.3K	38,373	38,373	+0	open	—	08-21 09:22
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	41	$50.0K	50,000	0	+50,000	Yes	+$50	01-31 17:17
cricipl che kol 2026 04 14	4	$41.4K	41,491	0	+41,491	Chennai Super Kings	+$93	04-14 17:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	18	$39.9K	20,000	20,000	+0	No	+$80	06-01 16:25
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 400 419	47	$32.8K	32,866	0	+32,866	No	+$33	01-30 20:55
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	59	$31.2K	40,142	184	+39,958	Yes	-$9,636	02-10 15:55
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	59	$21.3K	7,000	17,000	-10,000	open	—	07-25 08:50
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$19.9K	22,930	0	+22,930	No	+$2,981	01-26 20:05
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$19.9K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$80	04-30 20:15
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	2	$19.9K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$120	01-03 21:25
cricipl pun sun 2026 04 11	15	$18.8K	15,000	3,918	+11,082	Punjab Kings	+$111	04-11 13:36
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	4	$16.1K	15,280	2,580	+12,700	Yes	+$814	08-02 02:06
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	6	$14.7K	15,046	0	+15,046	No	+$336	06-07 21:00
will solana dip to 100 in january 2026	19	$13.5K	13,562	0	+13,562	Yes	+$44	01-31 18:56
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 140 164	16	$13.0K	13,000	0	+13,000	No	+$13	02-09 19:52
us strikes iran by february 8 2026	6	$12.5K	12,625	0	+12,625	No	+$111	02-08 23:11
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	10	$10.9K	11,228	338	+10,889	No	+$651	03-25 00:53
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	2	$10.6K	6,000	6,000	+0	No	+$60	02-20 00:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	12	$10.4K	15,000	5,000	+10,000	No	+$270	07-18 04:11
will the state of the union be 100 minutes or longer	3	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	+$10	02-25 03:55
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	17	$10.0K	5,000	4,994	+6	No	+$0	02-08 15:24
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	7	$9.8K	6,000	5,995	+5	Yes	-$30	04-07 01:34
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$9.8K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$200	05-11 10:13
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	2	$9.7K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	+$190	08-12 11:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	45	$9.2K	6,000	5,884	+116	No	-$180	04-20 14:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	2	$9.2K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$845	08-27 09:59
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	16	$8.3K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$150	08-17 12:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 20:20:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	82¢	$820	0x6805d3…
10-16 02:41:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	Yes	BUY	500	81¢	$405	0x1eb5f9…
10-15 22:14:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	Yes	BUY	195	82¢	$160	0xec0509…
10-15 22:00:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	Yes	BUY	305	82¢	$250	0x5acff8…
09-30 09:36:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	SELL	1,000	11¢	$110	0x7980ff…
08-30 19:39:16	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x0f72a3…
08-29 00:25:31	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x6cae02…
08-29 00:16:10	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0x75f536…
08-29 00:16:06	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf39758…
08-29 00:10:57	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	19	10¢	$2	0xfb346d…
08-29 00:08:22	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x4543c9…
08-29 00:06:37	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	300	91¢	$273	0x5ad167…
08-29 00:06:16	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	574	91¢	$522	0xca9d48…
08-29 00:01:58	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	159	9¢	$14	0xb3bf45…
08-28 23:45:52	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	1,000	91¢	$910	0xae5adb…
08-28 08:41:22	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	54¢	$1,080	0x000702…
08-27 09:59:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	No	BUY	5,000	98¢	$4,905	0x3a7a87…
08-27 06:15:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x350889…
08-27 05:56:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2f4a9c…
08-27 05:56:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x4594ea…
08-27 05:56:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x444677…
08-27 05:56:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xff2a2f…
08-27 05:56:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xb2f3fe…
08-27 05:56:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x9da875…
08-27 05:56:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x597cc7…
08-27 05:56:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x22a218…
08-27 04:06:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe4ca34…
08-27 04:06:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xf4dade…
08-27 04:06:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa753af…
08-27 04:05:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xfde4e8…
08-27 04:05:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xb2ce8d…
08-27 04:05:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x8b6631…
08-27 04:05:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x7c679c…
08-27 04:05:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x44e735…
08-27 03:43:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf429d9…
08-27 03:43:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1b650b…
08-27 03:42:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x4439ef…
08-27 02:49:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x319099…
08-27 02:49:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x902f24…
08-27 02:49:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xc5854b…
08-27 02:49:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x9582a8…
08-27 02:49:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x779f39…
08-27 02:49:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5a967d…
08-27 02:49:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	15,032	99¢	$14,957	0x557f6d…
08-27 02:49:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x382f72…
08-27 02:49:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x0fca29…
08-27 01:27:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xf0cb6a…
08-27 01:27:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xa59e9d…
08-27 01:27:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x38c9ed…
08-27 01:27:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x028333…
08-27 01:17:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	228	100¢	$227	0x3a6a04…
08-27 00:23:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe43657…
08-26 23:53:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x94c521…
08-26 23:53:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x6489cc…
08-26 23:53:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x5f4b14…
08-26 23:53:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x18ec67…
08-26 21:51:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x4fd964…
08-26 21:34:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x20cee9…
08-26 21:29:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6a3740…
08-26 20:49:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$995	0x22d624…
08-26 20:18:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$995	0x92b343…
08-26 19:49:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$298	0xf12eea…
08-26 19:15:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xd40441…
08-26 19:15:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x6b84e3…
08-26 19:15:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x25e0f8…
08-26 19:15:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x20bf0e…
08-26 19:13:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xcb5818…
08-26 19:08:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x357895…
08-26 19:07:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	413	100¢	$411	0xdefc5d…
08-26 19:07:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xd09b46…
08-26 19:07:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xb84ea5…
08-26 19:07:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x9962d6…
08-26 18:59:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x7d06c3…
08-26 18:59:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x5f9d8c…
08-26 18:59:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xf4bdbb…
08-26 18:59:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xa94702…
08-26 18:59:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x5a7dad…
08-26 18:59:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x117f79…
08-26 18:58:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	413	100¢	$411	0x5849ae…
08-26 18:57:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x91dedb…
08-26 18:57:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xe0bd47…
08-26 18:57:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xc5c271…
08-26 18:53:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xd97c2b…
08-26 18:53:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xada3d2…
08-26 18:53:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x701c1b…
08-26 18:53:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x397eac…
08-26 18:41:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7a6d79…
08-26 18:40:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xa2c25d…
08-26 18:40:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x84f4d3…
08-26 18:40:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x6bf8db…
08-26 18:40:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x697275…
08-26 18:40:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x634b4e…
08-26 18:40:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x4f6de1…
08-26 18:40:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x17d671…
08-26 18:30:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	1,233	100¢	$1,227	0x2aae6b…
08-26 03:47:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	27¢	$270	0x7ef452…
08-24 13:33:01	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	BUY	500	81¢	$405	0x2f4a0a…
08-23 04:44:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696	No	BUY	1,588	54¢	$857	0x39636e…
08-21 09:22:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,119	31¢	$347	0x7dedbc…
08-21 04:29:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	32	31¢	$10	0x99e092…