Early-Brow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.9%

Resolved

Trades

131

lifetime

Volume

$152

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 08-09 07:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

69% 19% -$21

Politics

19% 50% -$2

Sports

12% 0% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$26	192	111	+81	No	+$6	05-24 03:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$20	50	24	+26	No	+$0	05-24 03:24
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8?	8	$11	200	100	+100	No	+$7	08-08 04:13
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$10	85	85	+0	open	—	05-07 01:23
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	1	$10	14	0	+14	Yes	+$4	05-18 02:38
Ducks vs. Oilers	2	$9	56	56	+0	Oilers	-$1	04-29 03:36
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$6	625	625	+0	open	—	08-03 02:22
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	1	$5	1,000	0	+1,000	Timberwolves	-$5	05-01 04:14
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	1	$5	263	0	+263	Spurs	-$5	04-29 02:47
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	1	$5	152	0	+152	No	-$5	05-18 02:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	1	$5	278	0	+278	No	-$5	05-18 02:00
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	17	0	+17	No	-$5	05-18 02:39
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	1	$3	28	0	+28	No	-$3	05-18 02:39
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?	2	$2	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 02:22
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 8?	3	$2	400	0	+400	No	-$2	08-08 09:02
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 8?	1	$2	500	0	+500	No	-$2	08-08 10:25
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 8?	30	$2	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$2	08-08 16:41
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on May 12?	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	-$2	05-12 01:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$2	154	0	+154	No	-$2	05-27 03:15
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 38°C on August 8?	2	$2	100	100	+0	No	$0	08-08 06:47
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 8?	9	$1	1,100	0	+1,100	No	-$1	08-08 04:31
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 39°C on August 8?	4	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	08-08 05:40
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 6?	1	$1	167	0	+167	No	-$1	05-06 07:19
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 14?	1	$1	500	0	+500	No	-$1	05-15 02:17
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on May 7?	1	$1	29	0	+29	No	-$1	05-07 07:48
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 9?	2	$1	100	0	+100	No	-$1	08-08 17:06
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 8?	1	$1	100	0	+100	No	-$1	08-08 21:56
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 7?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	05-07 07:39
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 8?	1	$1	100	0	+100	No	-$1	08-08 03:55
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 38°C on August 9?	1	$1	100	0	+100	No	-$1	08-09 07:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 07:53:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 38°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4d6a31…
08-08 21:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 8?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9c7ccb…
08-08 17:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0x80e5be…
08-08 17:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x92324a…
08-08 17:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	88	1¢	$1	0x0aa8ab…
08-08 17:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0x860c78…
08-08 17:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	170	0¢	$0	0x20158d…
08-08 17:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x26f398…
08-08 17:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0x682365…
08-08 17:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9394ef…
08-08 17:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x28819a…
08-08 17:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xca5313…
08-08 16:59:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0xbc1983…
08-08 16:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x7fab41…
08-08 16:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0x391f2f…
08-08 16:41:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	697	0¢	$1	0x7643f6…
08-08 16:38:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x47fb60…
08-08 16:38:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xdcedd9…
08-08 16:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xf28fe8…
08-08 16:33:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x3814da…
08-08 16:33:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x28a17a…
08-08 16:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xb9983e…
08-08 16:10:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb697ae…
08-08 16:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	312	0¢	$0	0x4452bf…
08-08 16:07:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xa3ccca…
08-08 16:07:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xb19c77…
08-08 16:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd8a79b…
08-08 16:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xc52222…
08-08 16:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3c9323…
08-08 16:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xc6c1a6…
08-08 15:47:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb7c66b…
08-08 15:47:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x376989…
08-08 15:47:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xf6cfb3…
08-08 15:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x1d9eaa…
08-08 15:46:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0xa227bb…
08-08 15:46:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x86a594…
08-08 15:46:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x02cab7…
08-08 15:46:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0xa95f6b…
08-08 15:46:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x4d108a…
08-08 15:46:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x1c867a…
08-08 15:46:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xe4b35a…
08-08 15:46:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x7a18d5…
08-08 15:46:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xefcd28…
08-08 15:46:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xa9d7ea…
08-08 15:46:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x17dfd5…
08-08 15:46:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x15af12…
08-08 10:25:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x2c9bde…
08-08 10:23:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x644107…
08-08 09:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 8?	Yes	BUY	111	0¢	$1	0x48d201…
08-08 08:51:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 8?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x4f0aad…
08-08 08:25:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 8?	Yes	BUY	286	0¢	$1	0xd48867…
08-08 07:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	43	0¢	$0	0x4de18d…
08-08 07:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x6f7d7b…
08-08 07:44:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xdc5901…
08-08 07:44:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x2020fa…
08-08 07:38:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	120	0¢	$0	0xfed0cb…
08-08 07:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0x9aaf79…
08-08 07:35:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x1a0825…
08-08 07:35:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x0b4582…
08-08 07:34:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd219f8…
08-08 07:34:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb8d4b1…
08-08 07:34:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x8a0214…
08-08 07:22:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	92	0¢	$0	0x151c40…
08-08 07:21:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x062c2a…
08-08 07:19:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xe9b6f8…
08-08 07:19:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc5c052…
08-08 07:19:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xa53673…
08-08 07:19:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa2a328…
08-08 07:19:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x461c29…
08-08 06:47:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 38°C on August 8?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xb31629…
08-08 06:28:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 38°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb7d595…
08-08 05:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 39°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	716	0¢	$1	0x5d9aed…
08-08 05:37:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 39°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xaceee6…
08-08 05:37:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 39°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x12a34c…
08-08 05:34:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 39°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	280	0¢	$0	0x72d4d7…
08-08 04:31:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	756	0¢	$1	0x180173…
08-08 04:30:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	159	0¢	$0	0xe5781d…
08-08 04:24:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	59	0¢	$0	0x6d5f4a…
08-08 04:13:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x17cced…
08-08 04:11:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x4c11d0…
08-08 04:11:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x0344ab…
08-08 04:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x5e2bf9…
08-08 04:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x0b72fc…
08-08 04:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x97154e…
08-08 04:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	61	1¢	$1	0x2df2c0…
08-08 04:05:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xdb71bf…
08-08 03:55:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9bc03c…
08-08 03:39:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x9bc93b…
08-08 03:39:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0xedf389…
08-08 03:39:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0x57461c…
08-08 03:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0xa823b9…
08-08 03:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xe5f2f8…
08-08 02:52:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xad604b…
08-07 08:57:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xaf4183…
08-07 08:31:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x91b52e…
08-07 08:27:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x20442d…
08-07 08:27:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	65	0¢	$0	0xb02b9c…
08-07 08:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 7?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x16c5d5…
08-07 07:49:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xab4775…
08-03 02:22:57	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	625	0¢	$1	0x8331ce…