Scented-Impairment — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$21

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

21 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$182

$182 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$30

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-13 22:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Sports

81% 47% +$11

Crypto

11% — —

Other

8% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+47	$20	48¢	$22	+$2	05-06 17:09
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	No		+14	$8	54¢	$7	$-1	05-13 21:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ducks vs. Golden Knights	1	$20	32	0	+32	Golden Knights	+$12	05-05 00:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$20	47	0	+47	open	—	05-06 17:09
Knicks vs. 76ers	2	$16	20	14	+7	Knicks	+$2	05-08 22:51
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	1	$15	27	0	+27	New York Yankees	+$12	05-07 16:39
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	1	$15	25	0	+25	Yes	+$10	05-07 23:06
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)	1	$11	0	12	-12	Cleveland Guardians	$-1	05-11 23:37
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5	1	$10	19	0	+19	Over	+$9	05-07 16:39
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	1	$8	14	0	+14	open	—	05-13 21:38
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays	1	$8	0	8	-8	Toronto Blue Jays	$-0	05-09 21:42
UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)	1	$7	11	0	+11	Jose Ochoa	+$4	05-09 14:02
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5	1	$7	14	0	+14	Over	$-7	05-10 20:11
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$7	29	0	+29	Thunder	$-7	05-09 18:46
Hurricanes vs. Flyers	1	$5	8	0	+8	Hurricanes	+$3	05-09 19:17
Avalanche vs. Wild	1	$5	9	0	+9	Wild	$-5	05-09 19:17
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox	1	$5	9	0	+9	Boston Red Sox	+$4	05-13 21:40
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5	1	$5	10	0	+10	Over	+$5	05-13 22:13
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)	1	$5	9	0	+9	Lakers	$-5	05-11 23:38
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$5	8	0	+8	Cavaliers	$-5	05-13 22:14
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	1	$5	9	0	+9	Houston Astros	$-5	05-13 21:43
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	1	$3	0	8	-8	Sean Brady	$-5	05-09 18:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 22:14:05	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x8f9e3c…
05-13 22:13:28	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5	Over	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa3dec1…
05-13 21:43:22	Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	Seattle Mariners	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xbf2ac0…
05-13 21:40:13	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x458807…
05-13 21:38:16	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	No	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0xb27f20…
05-11 23:38:50	Spread: Thunder (-10.5)	Thunder	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xf22108…
05-11 23:37:28	Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0x8a329e…
05-10 20:11:46	Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x2646cb…
05-09 21:42:24	Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd8dada…
05-09 19:17:39	Avalanche vs. Wild	Avalanche	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xb46482…
05-09 19:17:27	Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Hurricanes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xaf03f8…
05-09 18:49:37	UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	Sean Brady	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0xeeb797…
05-09 18:46:32	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	29	24¢	$7	0x3a1e6d…
05-09 14:02:44	UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)	Jose Ochoa	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xddaad0…
05-08 22:51:13	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	SELL	14	42¢	$6	0x23c701…
05-08 12:09:30	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x93366e…
05-07 23:06:25	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x940c36…
05-07 16:39:43	Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xb53b13…
05-07 16:39:27	Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x48dc6d…
05-06 17:09:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xace72d…
05-05 00:39:38	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xe3ba2f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63	15	$194.5K	1,890	05-14 03:16
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	15	$46.6K	152	05-14 03:16
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	13	$12.1K	93	05-14 03:13
Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7	12	$9.28K	184	05-14 03:34
Powerless-Savannah 0x5268…135d	10	$11.4K	25	05-14 03:21
Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea	9	$15.8K	20	05-14 01:07
Cuddly-Will 0x7fea…8f74	9	$12.0K	74	05-14 03:33
Bumpy-Accessory 0x32cc…68b3	9	$10.5K	36	05-14 02:45