Electric-Congo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$581

Unrealized P&L

+$105

Hit rate

77.5%

Resolved

Trades

109

lifetime

Volume

$10.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$100

Open exposure

$318

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 11-04 03:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

44% 81% +$265

Crypto

25% 87% +$208

Tech

17% 83% +$76

Politics

15% 78% +$32

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	-111	-$92	84¢	$-93	-$1	05-25 00:27
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+105	$70	69¢	$73	+$3	10-28 23:21
US recession by end of 2026?	No	-76	-$95	96¢	$-72	+$23	11-04 03:02
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	+77	$50	68¢	$52	+$2	11-02 01:14
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	-20	-$19	98¢	$-20	-$1	05-30 03:04
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	-289	-$87	3¢	$-8	+$78	05-14 03:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	6	$918	551	551	+0	Yes	-$37	07-27 03:10
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	4	$737	378	378	+0	No	+$14	03-24 02:19
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	6	$730	486	381	+105	open	—	10-28 23:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	6	$595	712	0	+712	Yes	+$117	10-27 07:36
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$342	369	0	+369	Yes	+$27	04-04 14:11
US recession by end of 2026?	3	$295	133	209	-76	open	—	11-04 03:02
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$288	342	0	+342	No	+$54	03-30 00:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$273	249	122	+127	Yes	$0	09-12 05:06
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$250	131	131	+0	No	+$12	03-06 13:09
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	3	$247	288	0	+288	Yes	+$41	06-11 02:51
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$245	299	0	+299	No	+$54	03-05 23:32
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$236	245	0	+245	Yes	+$10	01-30 02:30
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$234	132	132	+0	Yes	+$4	03-03 16:17
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$230	249	0	+249	Yes	+$19	03-01 10:56
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$228	119	119	+0	Yes	+$4	03-01 00:45
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	2	$228	115	115	+0	Yes	+$2	02-13 04:53
military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	2	$227	138	138	+0	Yes	-$4	03-24 22:09
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?	2	$213	122	122	+0	open	—	10-09 04:21
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$206	107	107	+0	Yes	+$6	06-27 00:56
Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 31?	2	$206	109	109	+0	No	+$6	10-16 06:11
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$205	105	105	+0	No	+$5	06-01 00:23
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$202	118	118	+0	No	+$2	04-30 03:08
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$200	211	0	+211	Yes	+$11	11-02 01:18
Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$194	109	109	+0	No	-$6	03-11 23:15
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?	2	$188	96	96	+0	No	+$3	06-11 02:50
will elon musks net worth be less than 640b on march 31	2	$187	118	118	+0	No	-$13	03-19 23:50
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	3	$171	177	177	+0	open	—	06-26 01:19
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	2	$165	93	93	+0	open	—	10-26 01:03
amzn above 190 on march 13 2026	1	$150	153	0	+153	Yes	+$3	03-11 23:31
khamenei seen in public by march 1 655 132 582	1	$116	119	0	+119	No	+$3	03-01 00:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 03:02:48	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	155	94¢	$145	0xc4ac33…
11-04 02:37:10	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	111	5¢	$6	0xb03690…
11-04 02:00:52	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x88ff94…
11-02 01:18:21	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x8a1faa…
11-02 01:14:37	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xd08e15…
11-01 00:53:27	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xf14a5c…
10-28 23:21:08	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xf5b853…
10-27 07:36:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xc8b70c…
10-27 07:36:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0xb5b879…
10-26 15:48:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	237	93¢	$220	0x1aa048…
10-26 15:47:45	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	236	94¢	$222	0x9ca6f7…
10-26 01:03:54	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	108	83¢	$90	0xdcaae0…
10-26 01:03:18	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	No	SELL	93	92¢	$85	0x984fdf…
10-21 07:00:45	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x5c1baf…
10-16 06:12:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x9008ad…
10-16 06:11:45	Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 31?	No	SELL	109	97¢	$106	0x19ce9c…
10-14 13:06:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xad3331…
10-14 13:05:02	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	54	92¢	$50	0x4bc53b…
10-09 04:22:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xb4d88d…
10-09 04:21:06	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?	No	SELL	122	93¢	$113	0x8edab4…
10-02 00:32:09	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	No	BUY	93	86¢	$80	0x6c09f9…
09-22 04:09:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xc12ab4…
09-17 08:24:27	will the senate pass the clarity act by october 31	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x17fe57…
09-17 03:28:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0xad8304…
09-12 05:06:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x648b95…
09-04 03:34:09	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xa2c8ec…
08-21 03:24:33	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x9cee79…
08-13 00:52:24	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x19434d…
07-28 00:44:33	GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xefbb19…
07-27 03:10:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	551	80¢	$441	0x983f46…
07-22 02:09:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x3be0ec…
07-12 01:16:22	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x5e5681…
07-07 09:23:46	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x8cca81…
07-06 07:38:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x3b811e…
07-06 07:37:40	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	SELL	145	75¢	$109	0xfa44e8…
07-06 07:21:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	84	90¢	$76	0x53e2c1…
07-04 10:52:23	GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x585d82…
07-04 10:48:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0xe54136…
06-27 00:56:29	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	107	99¢	$106	0xe0dab1…
06-26 01:19:28	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	177	30¢	$53	0x42ca92…
06-25 10:27:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	129	76¢	$98	0xe5e15c…
06-23 00:08:53	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xb29f05…
06-23 00:06:20	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0xf3d9b5…
06-23 00:05:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	122	60¢	$73	0x092027…
06-17 08:41:13	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x8e619b…
06-16 01:26:00	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x4eae46…
06-15 10:29:42	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x7adcd8…
06-15 10:27:12	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x831d2a…
06-11 02:51:30	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	BUY	106	91¢	$96	0xce521d…
06-11 02:50:51	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x1a1b2f…
06-10 07:08:22	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	BUY	17	91¢	$15	0x17c729…
06-08 08:01:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x46561f…
06-08 08:01:24	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	SELL	116	96¢	$112	0x6771c5…
06-01 00:24:04	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xfd4faa…
06-01 00:23:19	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x805004…
06-01 00:08:21	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	67¢	$19	0x2acb67…
05-30 03:04:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xbfb61a…
05-25 00:28:07	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	108	85¢	$91	0xa25f9f…
05-25 00:27:00	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	83¢	$92	0x6a6947…
05-17 01:42:14	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?	No	BUY	96	96¢	$92	0x706837…
05-14 03:37:03	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	289	30¢	$87	0x273bc9…
05-13 23:41:21	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xa17376…
05-04 00:55:32	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x5a1813…
05-01 11:05:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xcfc485…
04-30 15:25:04	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xd2b17d…
04-30 03:08:08	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	118	87¢	$102	0xc69545…
04-30 00:20:24	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	BUY	166	82¢	$136	0xedd2d0…
04-30 00:06:10	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xd9095e…
04-30 00:03:46	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xea1ee9…
04-04 14:11:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	144	98¢	$142	0x649506…
03-30 00:35:32	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	95	93¢	$88	0xbd8c79…
03-25 06:50:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xc471ea…
03-24 22:09:43	military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	138	81¢	$112	0x76d128…
03-24 02:33:47	military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	138	84¢	$116	0xd177d6…
03-24 02:20:43	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	247	81¢	$200	0x762205…
03-24 02:19:13	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	SELL	378	100¢	$376	0x22c16b…
03-20 06:54:53	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	177	97¢	$172	0x5f48de…
03-19 23:53:23	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xb1055b…
03-19 23:50:57	will elon musks net worth be less than 640b on march 31	No	SELL	118	74¢	$87	0x3950f3…
03-17 08:46:37	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	96	93¢	$89	0xa1ad57…
03-17 08:46:13	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xffb1a9…
03-13 01:52:01	will elon musks net worth be less than 640b on march 31	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x974421…
03-11 23:31:31	amzn above 190 on march 13 2026	Yes	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0x9a7ba7…
03-11 23:15:59	Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	109	86¢	$94	0xa79c04…
03-10 01:10:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 01:05 UTC	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x84428f…
03-10 01:08:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8f640f…
03-10 00:51:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 00:45 UTC	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x385ff5…
03-10 00:49:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x55cda4…
03-09 07:21:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xfa513a…
03-07 02:23:25	Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x5ec94d…
03-06 13:12:41	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xa2cd07…
03-06 13:09:41	Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	131	100¢	$131	0x4ac980…
03-05 23:32:37	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	299	82¢	$245	0x3dec94…
03-04 01:40:33	Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	131	91¢	$119	0x6286fd…
03-03 16:17:49	USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	132	90¢	$119	0xc5cbc7…
03-01 10:56:25	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0xf16ec9…
03-01 00:47:11	khamenei seen in public by march 1 655 132 582	No	BUY	119	98¢	$116	0xda8982…
03-01 00:45:31	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	119	97¢	$116	0x5cf3fd…
02-28 21:01:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	119	94¢	$112	0x3249d7…
02-28 21:00:03	Fabric FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0xa1c6dd…