Insidious-Season — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$64

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.0%

Resolved

2,680

Trades

27,316

lifetime

Volume

$83.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 09-14 22:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 86% -$64

Politics

0% — —

Other

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 18:00 UTC	50	$146	293	0	+293	Up	+$2	03-18 18:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 12:30 UTC	45	$133	256	0	+256	Down	+$2	03-24 12:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 16:15 UTC	45	$132	255	0	+255	Down	+$2	03-23 16:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 17:00 UTC	40	$125	248	0	+248	Down	+$2	03-24 17:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 22:15 UTC	25	$121	73	58	+15	Down	$0	03-17 22:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 22:45 UTC	44	$116	229	0	+229	Up	+$2	03-20 22:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 12:30 UTC	40	$115	236	0	+236	Down	+$1	03-18 12:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 18:15 UTC	42	$112	210	0	+210	Down	+$2	03-18 18:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 21:00 UTC	42	$112	231	0	+231	Down	+$1	03-22 21:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 12:15 UTC	41	$109	233	0	+233	Up	+$1	03-22 12:24
bitcoin up or down march 6 12pm et	36	$109	226	0	+226	Down	+$1	03-06 17:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 11:15 UTC	37	$108	219	0	+219	Down	+$1	03-09 11:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 00:30 UTC	34	$107	203	0	+203	Down	+$1	03-19 00:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 15:15 UTC	41	$106	215	0	+215	Down	+$1	03-23 15:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 13:15 UTC	32	$105	197	7	+190	Up	-$1	03-08 13:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 17:15 UTC	38	$105	196	0	+196	Up	+$1	03-18 17:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 04:00 UTC	39	$102	211	0	+211	Up	+$1	03-21 04:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 03:15 UTC	31	$102	195	0	+195	Up	+$1	03-19 03:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 21:00 UTC	38	$102	204	0	+204	Up	+$1	03-18 21:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 18:00 UTC	35	$101	205	0	+205	Up	+$1	03-25 18:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 16:00 UTC	34	$101	205	0	+205	Up	+$1	03-23 16:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 19:30 UTC	35	$100	200	0	+200	Down	+$2	03-24 19:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 07:15 UTC	38	$100	197	0	+197	Down	+$1	03-18 07:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 11:15 UTC	33	$99	192	0	+192	Down	+$1	03-24 11:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 01:15 UTC	31	$99	169	6	+163	Up	+$0	03-23 01:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 12:30 UTC	36	$97	160	13	+147	Down	-$2	03-21 12:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 23:15 UTC	34	$97	188	0	+188	Down	+$1	03-22 23:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 09:00 UTC	30	$96	168	13	+154	Up	-$5	03-19 09:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 09:00 UTC	36	$96	178	0	+178	Down	+$2	03-20 09:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 20:30 UTC	32	$95	194	0	+194	Up	+$1	03-18 20:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-14 22:08:58	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xb82d60…
09-04 18:09:33	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xf3b1a6…
09-01 10:55:42	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xb86eee…
08-22 15:08:28	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xd3fd9d…
08-02 22:27:56	Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x3d4743…
07-27 08:16:31	Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xc04898…
07-21 15:36:34	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x430646…
07-18 20:28:52	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x5443e7…
07-18 20:23:40	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x3fcb39…
07-07 14:38:01	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x789dd9…
07-04 05:07:04	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x0f7eed…
06-27 22:35:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x706821…
06-19 23:18:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8f06b0…
06-16 01:24:27	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x9ff1f9…
06-08 20:06:04	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0x97f492…
06-01 09:48:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xbc7b9f…
05-31 06:05:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x297db0…
05-30 03:19:57	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x8533e1…
05-29 21:00:43	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0x537d14…
05-26 11:22:54	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xe8cb5b…
05-26 00:29:42	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xdabd53…
05-22 23:06:49	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0xc04209…
05-21 21:11:24	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0xca7cc7…
03-27 21:12:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x69567d…
03-27 21:12:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x6dbd8f…
03-27 21:11:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x72d744…
03-27 21:11:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x95e02b…
03-27 21:11:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x066e67…
03-27 21:11:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x9d4cd9…
03-27 21:10:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xd6900f…
03-27 21:10:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x8fcd94…
03-27 21:09:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x0f177b…
03-27 21:09:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0x0d6c13…
03-27 21:08:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0xf9abed…
03-27 21:08:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x99e346…
03-27 21:08:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xe727c6…
03-27 21:08:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x731793…
03-27 21:07:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x9da05d…
03-27 20:55:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x7da781…
03-27 20:53:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x4febf0…
03-27 20:53:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xed3946…
03-27 20:53:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd503a7…
03-27 20:52:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x333a0f…
03-27 20:52:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0xc806c4…
03-27 20:52:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	91¢	$7	0x550ceb…
03-27 20:49:03	bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 4pm et	Down	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0x2f2453…
03-27 20:45:39	bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0x9663b6…
03-27 20:45:37	bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0xa8adb0…
03-27 20:37:23	bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	4	91¢	$3	0xfbdb37…
03-27 20:37:21	bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	4	91¢	$3	0xd37182…
03-27 20:28:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xde8c0a…
03-27 20:28:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x1c577a…
03-27 20:27:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	7¢	$1	0xd2ee67…
03-27 20:27:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd63501…
03-27 20:27:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x433927…
03-27 19:58:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x7ea7ec…
03-27 19:57:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x82b9ec…
03-27 19:57:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x633547…
03-27 19:57:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xe43eb7…
03-27 19:57:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xbffe31…
03-27 19:57:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xe91fc4…
03-27 19:56:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xea696f…
03-27 19:56:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x70e61c…
03-27 19:56:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xea8e1e…
03-27 19:56:07	bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xd83283…
03-27 19:56:01	bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xce0b83…
03-27 19:56:01	bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3ffcbe…
03-27 19:55:55	bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xe381cf…
03-27 19:55:53	bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x21a5f6…
03-27 19:55:17	bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xb788e4…
03-27 19:55:11	bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x7ceede…
03-27 19:28:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xe0bb75…
03-27 19:27:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x51d7ba…
03-27 19:27:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x17f485…
03-27 19:25:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x116308…
03-27 19:25:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x01e624…
03-27 19:25:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x69bbbe…
03-27 19:25:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xd02508…
03-27 19:25:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xefdbfa…
03-27 19:25:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x47b8bd…
03-27 19:25:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x41c9ba…
03-27 19:23:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xe9920f…
03-27 19:23:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x674ee3…
03-27 19:23:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x24d261…
03-27 19:23:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x92ba0a…
03-27 19:23:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xe10615…
03-27 19:23:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x18f5d0…
03-27 19:13:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xff542b…
03-27 19:12:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xdcb490…
03-27 19:12:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x1234a6…
03-27 19:11:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x8c0db9…
03-27 19:11:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	7¢	$1	0x1a8092…
03-27 19:09:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0x5b7fab…
03-27 18:50:09	bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x87df58…
03-27 18:49:15	bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x480755…
03-27 18:48:53	bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xb92bc7…
03-27 18:48:19	bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x6508e4…
03-27 18:48:05	bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xd04b44…
03-27 18:47:53	bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xc847cf…
03-27 18:47:27	bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x2fa84e…