(anonymous) 0xa96077…8faef8
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Realized P&L
-$88
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
32.8%
Resolved
165
Trades
534
lifetime
Volume
$1.32K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$70
26 positions
First seen
2026-06-14
last 10-26 22:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 49 days
Categories
Other
82% 40% -$87
Politics
13% 43% -$2
Tech
4% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +49 $23 48¢ $23 +$0 10-23 15:24
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +24 $9 36¢ $8 -$1 10-15 07:15
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? No +7 $7 97¢ $7 +$0 10-21 01:07
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +22 $4 18¢ $4 $0 10-25 17:03
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +3 $3 88¢ $3 +$0 10-13 07:52
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? Yes +10 $3 24¢ $2 -$1 10-10 10:01
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? No +5 $2 50¢ $2 +$0 10-24 23:07
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +3 $1 56¢ $2 +$1 10-26 09:31
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +3 $1 40¢ $1 +$1 10-26 09:31
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +2 $1 55¢ $1 +$0 10-22 06:03
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +3 $1 36¢ $1 +$0 10-26 02:33
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +5 $1 22¢ $1 +$0 10-25 19:37
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 10-26 21:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 10-21 05:10
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 10-21 07:24
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +2 $1 54¢ $1 +$0 10-24 18:19
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +2 $1 44¢ $1 $0 10-22 06:04
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? Yes +5 $4 18¢ $1 -$3 10-20 09:47
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +7 $1 14¢ $1 $0 10-21 07:23
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +2 $1 60¢ $1 $0 10-25 21:48
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +2 $1 55¢ $1 $0 10-24 18:17
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes — +10 $1 9¢ $1 $0 10-25 12:25
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +5 $1 18¢ $1 $0 10-26 06:04
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +3 $1 29¢ $1 $0 10-24 18:12
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +9 $3 8¢ $1 -$2 10-25 23:08
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? No +3 $2 20¢ $1 -$1 10-20 09:47