Specific-Godmother — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$232

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

17.3%

Resolved

Trades

581

lifetime

Volume

$92.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$160

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 04-30 11:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

56% 100% +$3

Other

37% 0% $-235

Crypto

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	39	$9.6K	5,956	5,956	+0	open	—	04-12 13:22
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	22	$6.1K	3,725	3,612	+112	open	—	04-07 22:10
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	11	$5.9K	3,100	3,100	+0	open	—	04-13 04:06
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	24	$5.5K	4,376	4,376	+0	open	—	04-06 05:23
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	12	$4.6K	2,985	2,985	+0	open	—	04-07 22:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	19	$3.7K	2,000	1,992	+8	open	—	04-10 12:37
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	14	$3.3K	1,788	1,787	+0	open	—	04-12 18:30
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	8	$3.2K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	04-12 12:20
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$3.0K	2,087	1,087	+1,000	open	—	03-31 18:32
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$2.9K	1,484	1,484	+0	open	—	04-12 19:24
us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	4	$2.6K	1,350	1,350	+0	open	—	04-11 08:25
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	10	$2.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	04-11 22:35
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	2	$2.0K	1,050	1,050	+0	open	—	04-02 11:56
us x iran meeting by april 12 2026 558	9	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	04-11 09:18
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-12 13:07
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	12	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-13 14:34
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	5	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-12 18:33
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	17	$1.7K	999	999	+0	open	—	04-12 14:35
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	16	$1.6K	1,347	1,347	+0	open	—	04-27 16:22
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-03 18:36
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	17	$1.5K	1,700	1,641	+59	open	—	04-13 04:51
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	7	$1.4K	1,000	692	+308	open	—	04-30 11:26
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	6	$1.3K	666	666	+0	Yes	$-1	04-02 06:23
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	4	$1.2K	1,067	1,067	+0	open	—	04-02 08:20
will uae strike iran by march 31	1	$1000	1,023	0	+1,023	open	—	03-30 05:43
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$983	500	500	+0	No	$-1	04-02 06:24
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	8	$950	552	552	+0	open	—	04-12 14:24
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	3	$935	500	500	+0	open	—	04-14 14:37
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	4	$910	500	500	+0	open	—	04-13 09:10
bitcoin above 70k on april 12	4	$877	500	494	+6	open	—	04-10 19:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-30 11:27:14	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	SELL	300	32¢	$96	0x5ad4cf…
04-30 11:26:16	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	301	50¢	$150	0x732eb6…
04-30 11:11:40	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xcd46c0…
04-30 11:10:56	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xb5cd6f…
04-30 11:10:12	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xe512b6…
04-30 11:10:10	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0x4b9861…
04-27 16:22:00	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	300	97¢	$291	0x114972…
04-23 17:25:22	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	111	45¢	$50	0x8617f2…
04-23 09:28:06	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	368	14¢	$51	0xb1bf91…
04-23 09:27:12	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	300	86¢	$258	0xb3d031…
04-22 12:56:58	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	13	85¢	$11	0x1837a5…
04-22 12:21:20	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xa9d136…
04-22 12:13:44	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x23a05f…
04-19 19:00:04	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	158	38¢	$60	0xc8d886…
04-19 18:49:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xdf3a9d…
04-19 18:46:46	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	38¢	$26	0xb8e1a4…
04-19 18:40:24	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0xe001c7…
04-19 18:39:02	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x758344…
04-19 18:37:38	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x0ddd9a…
04-19 18:37:28	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	38¢	$9	0x69cf6d…
04-19 13:14:32	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	200	80¢	$160	0x8e7442…
04-19 13:09:30	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	147	79¢	$116	0x929af9…
04-19 13:04:56	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xf51763…
04-19 13:04:56	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x0b7abf…
04-19 13:04:44	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	42	79¢	$33	0x07379f…
04-17 23:39:44	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	83	51¢	$42	0xf15bc1…
04-17 23:39:26	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xc8a4b8…
04-17 23:24:06	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	406	51¢	$207	0x640bbb…
04-17 22:24:18	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	123	50¢	$61	0x814ef6…
04-17 21:53:14	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	1	51¢	$0	0x91d83a…
04-17 21:50:54	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	41	51¢	$21	0x301704…
04-17 21:35:18	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	25	51¢	$13	0x7fa3a5…
04-17 16:35:46	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	341	67¢	$228	0x888a74…
04-17 16:33:52	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	49	64¢	$31	0x64472e…
04-17 16:32:48	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	1,000	91¢	$910	0xe8b9e5…
04-17 16:32:18	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	269	65¢	$175	0xbe020f…
04-17 16:32:18	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	78	84¢	$66	0x5cf77c…
04-17 16:32:08	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x5dbf14…
04-17 16:32:02	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	27	84¢	$22	0x5f5c6a…
04-17 16:31:38	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	182	64¢	$116	0xebb1db…
04-17 16:30:58	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xc51732…
04-17 16:30:20	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	202	63¢	$127	0xda950c…
04-17 15:43:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xd88434…
04-17 15:14:42	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	31¢	$31	0xdb6763…
04-16 20:59:54	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	425	5¢	$21	0x480845…
04-16 20:37:34	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0x95ab6f…
04-16 20:18:52	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x5663c6…
04-16 20:18:44	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	440	5¢	$22	0x37d111…
04-16 07:06:20	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0x851c62…
04-14 20:19:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	300	91¢	$273	0x263aaa…
04-14 14:37:01	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	No	SELL	500	95¢	$475	0xc2af87…
04-14 13:00:29	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	No	BUY	162	98¢	$159	0xef335b…
04-14 12:58:35	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	No	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x72573c…
04-14 12:55:37	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xc41c79…
04-14 12:54:31	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	No	BUY	86	98¢	$84	0xdd719a…
04-14 11:02:37	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xaa4030…
04-13 19:38:39	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x0e99ee…
04-13 19:36:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 13, 2026?	No	SELL	400	98¢	$394	0x7b4af7…
04-13 19:27:49	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	17¢	$5	0x520003…
04-13 19:27:23	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	17¢	$10	0x52b6db…
04-13 19:07:47	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	17¢	$2	0xb836ff…
04-13 18:31:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	SELL	70	40¢	$28	0x1f65bf…
04-13 18:28:59	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	No	BUY	178	92¢	$164	0xe44a67…
04-13 18:27:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xa3bf2d…
04-13 18:26:45	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xf07e9d…
04-13 18:25:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	No	BUY	322	92¢	$296	0x5a6d59…
04-13 18:24:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x6d1d47…
04-13 18:22:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	SELL	43	42¢	$18	0x09f99f…
04-13 18:20:39	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	SELL	24	42¢	$10	0xa56959…
04-13 18:20:23	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 13, 2026?	No	BUY	400	98¢	$392	0x6f1209…
04-13 18:18:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	SELL	169	42¢	$71	0x89cedf…
04-13 18:00:45	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	SELL	320	45¢	$144	0x611a5a…
04-13 14:34:13	Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	Yes	SELL	1,000	88¢	$880	0x775127…
04-13 12:43:49	Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	364	98¢	$357	0x46534b…
04-13 12:32:19	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x12e5c5…
04-13 12:25:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x9e550b…
04-13 11:44:39	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0x644d00…
04-13 11:26:53	Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x2d5d7c…
04-13 11:24:09	Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	120	99¢	$118	0xeb7ab5…
04-13 11:14:57	Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	91	99¢	$89	0xb0585b…
04-13 11:10:35	Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0xa71c50…
04-13 11:03:23	Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x0f2626…
04-13 10:56:11	Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xe24c71…
04-13 10:55:27	Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xd38372…
04-13 10:55:17	Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeb551d…
04-13 10:55:17	Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xe5b500…
04-13 10:54:51	Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	106	98¢	$104	0xf9a6c8…
04-13 10:53:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	BUY	150	83¢	$124	0x15fea4…
04-13 10:43:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	BUY	300	83¢	$249	0xc80167…
04-13 09:35:17	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	No	SELL	200	93¢	$185	0xeed305…
04-13 09:10:55	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	318	90¢	$286	0x3226e7…
04-13 09:09:17	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	106	90¢	$95	0x336253…
04-13 05:58:07	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	57	81¢	$46	0xe9759e…
04-13 05:13:51	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	142	81¢	$115	0x41fa6d…
04-13 04:51:11	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xd59f44…
04-13 04:51:11	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xb811df…
04-13 04:51:11	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x9ef586…
04-13 04:51:11	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	255	86¢	$219	0x831595…
04-13 04:51:09	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	32	86¢	$27	0xf5500d…
04-13 04:06:59	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	3,100	99¢	$3,081	0x41770e…