Ultimate-Rumor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.20K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.9%

Resolved

2,018

Trades

10,832

lifetime

Volume

$246.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 10-26 19:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 130 days

Categories

Other

85% 47% -$6,546

Sports

8% 37% +$1,980

Crypto

6% 51% +$2,488

Politics

0% 22% -$127

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 648 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	200	$11.9K	30,894	30,894	+0	No	+$2,051	06-26 06:59
lol t1a ktc 2026 06 19	300	$9.2K	11,662	9,895	+1,768	T1 Academy	-$450	06-19 13:03
lol dnsc nsea 2026 08 18 game1	82	$5.7K	3,813	3,813	+0	DN SOOPers Challengers	+$537	08-18 08:39
lol dkc t1a 2026 07 30	91	$4.2K	3,116	3,116	+0	Dplus KIA Challengers	+$269	07-30 07:28
lol dnsc nsea 2026 08 18	55	$4.1K	3,608	3,608	+0	DN SOOPers Challengers	-$474	08-18 10:03
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?	237	$3.4K	125,471	66,262	+59,210	No	-$509	06-25 21:37
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	140	$3.3K	14,833	15,039	-205	Yes	+$1,891	01-29 19:33
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	69	$3.2K	14,579	7,371	+7,208	HANJIN BRION	-$88	05-15 11:35
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	187	$3.2K	153,043	153,043	+0	No	-$96	07-12 05:42
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?	48	$3.0K	10,793	4,584	+6,209	open	—	10-16 01:16
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	85	$3.0K	41,391	15,235	+26,155	Yes	-$580	09-21 07:10
lol kc tl2 2026 06 30	23	$3.0K	2,592	2,592	+0	Team Liquid	+$314	06-30 10:15
lol hle1 ly 2026 07 11 game3	24	$2.9K	3,151	3,151	+0	LYON	-$221	07-11 10:31
lol sly gal 2026 06 15	174	$2.7K	12,969	5,827	+7,143	Galions	+$89	06-15 17:25
lol dkc ktc 2026 08 17 game2	89	$2.6K	4,195	4,195	+0	KT Rolster Challengers	+$5	08-17 09:26
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	27	$2.6K	2,573	700	+1,873	Yes	+$181	06-24 03:52
lol ktc dnsc 2026 07 31	121	$2.5K	2,483	2,483	+0	KT Rolster Challengers	+$17	07-31 07:34
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner	19	$2.5K	3,102	2,546	+555	Gen.G	-$588	09-05 09:50
lol dkc ktc 2026 08 17 game1	56	$2.4K	1,597	1,597	+0	KT Rolster Challengers	+$78	08-17 08:42
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	121	$2.3K	21,549	10,093	+11,456	T1	+$1,269	05-16 10:43
lol blg lgd 2026 07 29	17	$2.3K	1,282	1,282	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$82	07-29 14:02
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	117	$2.2K	6,115	3,450	+2,665	KT Rolster	+$83	05-17 10:17
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	12	$2.2K	1,242	1,242	+0	Yes	+$317	06-24 20:59
lol khk es1 2026 06 30	48	$2.1K	11,515	1,524	+9,991	Kaufland Hangry Knights	-$161	06-30 19:01
lol mkoi shft 2026 07 31 game1	24	$2.1K	1,448	1,448	+0	Shifters	+$130	07-31 17:40
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	71	$2.0K	8,570	4,250	+4,320	Hanwha Life Esports	+$10	05-15 09:31
lol dnf bro2 2026 08 02 game1	14	$1.9K	1,328	1,028	+300	DN SOOPers	-$15	08-02 08:38
lol ns fox1 2026 08 01 game1	21	$1.9K	1,433	1,433	+0	Nongshim Red Force	+$176	08-01 08:35
lol bro2 ns 2026 08 05 game1	15	$1.9K	1,326	1,326	+0	HANJIN BRION	+$130	08-05 09:15
lol nsea t1a 2026 06 17	87	$1.9K	4,745	2,852	+1,893	T1 Academy	-$255	06-17 13:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 19:14:33	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Secret Whales	BUY	36	78¢	$28	0xc6731b…
10-26 19:12:18	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x6ba569…
10-26 18:13:18	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	28	78¢	$22	0xf1ad8f…
10-25 23:14:36	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x0c90e3…
10-25 23:05:35	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	22	59¢	$13	0x040352…
10-25 22:57:53	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc9202d…
10-25 22:57:11	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 2 Winner	Gen.G	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x9e0e76…
10-25 21:59:41	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 2 Winner	Gen.G	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x093a6e…
10-23 19:11:47	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x8b6141…
10-23 19:11:27	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	222	82¢	$182	0x33e2bb…
10-23 19:09:30	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	SELL	184	100¢	$184	0x1d5540…
10-23 18:45:20	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x730506…
10-23 18:25:59	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	182	77¢	$140	0x8fcc57…
10-23 18:24:12	Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?	No	SELL	167	85¢	$142	0x4f0f1c…
10-18 17:19:53	LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	Karmine Corp	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xdce484…
10-16 01:18:06	Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?	No	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x24add4…
10-16 01:16:22	Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?	No	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0xc2ccac…
10-16 01:14:27	Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?	No	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x6470b9…
10-16 01:14:18	Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?	No	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xd681b4…
10-16 01:14:10	Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?	No	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x9d3a8f…
10-16 01:13:49	Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?	No	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0xa2e3d1…
10-15 23:58:00	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by december 31 20260728195714929	Yes	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0x3501c7…
10-15 23:40:42	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by december 31 20260728195714929	Yes	SELL	57	27¢	$15	0x5cbf2f…
10-15 23:40:36	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by december 31 20260728195714929	Yes	SELL	157	28¢	$44	0xdd86b7…
10-13 00:23:21	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0x70c6a7…
10-12 22:37:42	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0xb06a0a…
10-12 04:49:05	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x3fb623…
10-12 04:49:03	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x980da7…
10-11 13:22:01	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x083e87…
10-10 07:01:28	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x466073…
10-10 00:39:29	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?	Yes	BUY	45	5¢	$2	0x7d5d94…
10-09 20:42:32	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?	Yes	BUY	449	6¢	$27	0xffbb1f…
10-09 20:42:16	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	30	39¢	$12	0xa1961d…
10-09 20:42:08	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	55	39¢	$21	0xdcc26f…
10-09 20:06:50	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?	Yes	BUY	240	5¢	$12	0xd2b7a0…
10-09 20:06:38	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	51	41¢	$21	0x6c4fa8…
10-09 15:42:48	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?	Yes	BUY	49	7¢	$3	0xb9e19c…
10-09 15:30:33	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x79ca1a…
10-09 15:08:31	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0xcd94d3…
10-09 09:24:19	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0x9a167d…
10-09 09:19:54	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x69e57f…
10-09 00:33:15	Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?	No	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0xd3b0ae…
10-09 00:05:09	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x9c4a45…
10-09 00:04:27	Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?	No	SELL	17	21¢	$3	0xc689f2…
10-08 23:59:21	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x0c7785…
10-08 23:58:15	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	35	47¢	$16	0xb77913…
10-08 20:23:18	Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?	No	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x2cb464…
10-08 03:34:04	Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?	No	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0xd5d9d7…
10-08 03:17:17	Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?	No	BUY	60	49¢	$29	0xdb332f…
10-07 21:59:04	Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?	No	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xc74e2d…
10-07 19:46:52	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	64¢	$7	0xa070a7…
10-07 19:46:52	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	64¢	$7	0x040970…
10-07 19:46:50	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	64¢	$7	0x4cd64c…
10-07 19:45:34	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	64¢	$7	0xfbdb8d…
10-07 19:36:21	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0xe81285…
10-07 19:34:39	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x627434…
10-07 19:32:52	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	64¢	$7	0xc4934f…
10-07 19:32:51	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	64¢	$7	0xd8e9be…
10-07 19:29:04	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	15	64¢	$9	0xb56a21…
10-07 17:47:58	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xcdace0…
10-07 13:20:40	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	133	69¢	$92	0x53b6d5…
10-07 13:19:02	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xe511db…
10-07 13:19:02	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xb7dd1c…
10-07 13:19:02	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0xb1ccd2…
10-07 13:19:02	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x25667d…
10-07 12:30:22	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x95c9c5…
10-07 12:22:16	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x397c92…
10-07 12:22:13	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x54e54e…
10-07 11:16:30	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	328	66¢	$217	0xcf6750…
10-07 10:44:50	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	102	65¢	$66	0x680f60…
10-07 10:44:15	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	27	65¢	$17	0x92e0af…
10-07 10:44:15	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x611704…
10-07 10:17:06	Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb7c755…
10-07 08:14:59	Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7e33aa…
10-07 07:21:09	Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?	No	SELL	186	55¢	$102	0xbcf27d…
10-06 21:19:51	Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?	No	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x0cf13a…
10-06 20:41:11	Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?	No	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0xb55ee8…
10-06 20:19:06	Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?	No	SELL	18	56¢	$10	0x01eca9…
10-06 19:41:12	Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?	No	BUY	89	55¢	$49	0xea9751…
10-06 13:46:13	Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?	No	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0xb3f76e…
10-06 11:52:09	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$21	0xa1ee5b…
10-06 08:00:43	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0xacd81a…
10-06 06:00:45	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0xf0f820…
10-06 03:02:31	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	90¢	$56	0x7346b1…
10-06 02:00:41	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x84ceee…
10-06 01:24:47	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x293591…
10-06 01:00:19	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	88¢	$23	0x766d84…
10-06 01:00:04	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	87¢	$37	0xdbd5d0…
10-06 00:48:38	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0xbecfce…
10-03 09:52:03	LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs KT Rolster (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	KT Rolster	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x1cebe4…
10-02 13:22:11	Valorant: T1 vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A	T1	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x0befd5…
10-02 11:37:53	LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy - Game 4 Winner	Solary	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x9a283b…
09-28 16:52:03	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xe16265…
09-28 16:37:56	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x409624…
09-28 16:28:51	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x1dc312…
09-28 16:28:35	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xfbbced…
09-28 16:28:29	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	61	73¢	$44	0xcb2698…
09-28 16:19:39	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	41	72¢	$30	0xcabd1b…
09-27 03:37:35	will bitget resume withdrawals by september 27 2026	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe96a61…
09-26 15:39:03	will bitget resume withdrawals by september 27 2026	No	BUY	87	98¢	$85	0x20e1ac…