Understated-Liability — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

76.2%

Resolved

491

Trades

746

lifetime

Volume

$952

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 10-22 09:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Other

98% 64% +$15

Crypto

2% 60% -$4

Politics

1% 67% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-2	-$2	98¢	$-2	$0	09-01 20:39
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	-1	-$1	98¢	$-1	$0	06-05 12:57
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	-1	-$1	99¢	$-1	$0	06-05 10:36
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	-1	-$1	100¢	$-1	$0	06-01 13:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the match end in a draw?	7	$11	13	6	+7	No	-$3	08-27 16:25
Will the match end in a draw?	4	$11	12	3	+9	No	-$2	08-31 20:35
Will the match end in a draw?	10	$11	12	0	+12	No	+$1	06-09 13:18
Will the match end in a draw?	9	$11	12	0	+12	No	+$1	06-09 16:10
Will the match end in a draw?	4	$8	4	4	+0	No	+$0	06-13 21:53
uel not fen1 2026 02 26 fen1	2	$8	7	7	+0	Yes	+$6	02-26 22:14
Will the match end in a draw?	5	$7	8	0	+8	No	+$1	06-17 15:15
lal vil rso 2026 03 20 vil	2	$7	14	14	+0	Yes	+$5	03-08 16:54
Will the match end in a draw?	3	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	08-30 17:41
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 psg1	2	$6	4	4	+0	Yes	+$2	03-11 22:03
lal osa rea 2026 02 21 osa	3	$6	4	4	+0	Yes	+$2	02-21 20:47
Will the match end in a draw?	4	$6	7	3	+3	No	-$3	08-25 18:15
Will the match end in a draw?	6	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	06-01 10:09
fl1 olm lyo 2026 03 01 olm	2	$6	4	4	+0	Yes	+$2	03-01 22:26
sea gen rom 2026 03 08 gen	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	03-08 20:20
col rij str 2026 03 12 str	2	$6	4	4	+0	Yes	+$2	03-12 20:33
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	2	$6	4	4	+0	Yes	+$2	04-09 08:22
col fio rak 2026 03 12 fio	2	$6	4	4	+0	Yes	+$2	03-12 22:06
ucl atm1 tot 2026 03 10 atm1	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	03-10 22:47
ucl ata1 bay1 2026 03 10 bay1	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	03-10 22:47
cde str rei 2026 03 03 str	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	03-03 21:54
ucl gal liv1 2026 03 10 gal	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$3	03-10 19:51
Will the match end in a draw?	3	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	09-22 12:30
Will the match end in a draw?	4	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	06-15 11:22
Will the match end in a draw?	4	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	06-19 18:43
Will the match end in a draw?	5	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	06-05 12:59
Will the match end in a draw?	5	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-31 18:49
Will the match end in a draw?	5	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	06-15 08:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 09:40 UTC	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	03-25 09:40
ucl rma1 mnc1 2026 03 11 rma1	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$3	03-11 22:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 09:25:35	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9ca493…
10-16 12:54:54	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb2d329…
10-05 12:28:19	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xccd936…
09-27 12:18:57	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xf17736…
09-22 12:30:21	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x89993f…
09-22 09:06:28	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x92573a…
09-22 08:30:58	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xd8426a…
09-22 08:18:49	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x00e67c…
09-22 08:18:01	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfcacd4…
09-22 08:17:40	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf3230e…
09-22 08:17:21	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7ba615…
09-22 08:16:36	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x267f50…
09-22 06:46:55	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x10c07d…
09-15 05:24:31	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb48e6e…
09-14 20:46:25	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa006db…
09-14 14:43:22	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf57cce…
09-14 14:04:33	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7f3839…
09-14 14:01:04	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x10f7e2…
09-14 13:37:21	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x14e891…
09-14 13:36:52	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x5b0202…
09-13 17:09:54	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x8a62f7…
09-13 16:27:27	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x81fe08…
09-13 16:02:36	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6b10e0…
09-13 15:08:03	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xbaa1dd…
09-13 15:07:27	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x99c412…
09-13 15:06:43	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x507eaa…
09-13 15:06:07	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x023170…
09-13 13:26:30	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf4abcb…
09-13 13:26:22	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe139e4…
09-13 13:24:21	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xdcfbc8…
09-13 13:23:45	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x6efc8b…
09-13 13:23:19	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x2d3b39…
09-13 13:22:58	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x0c075d…
09-13 10:49:36	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xdb6355…
09-13 10:49:27	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x12d067…
09-06 09:54:07	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x9ad849…
09-03 12:57:54	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1615a9…
09-01 20:43:49	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9c7362…
09-01 20:39:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x52c548…
09-01 20:39:37	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1293ab…
09-01 20:39:24	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x54688c…
08-31 20:35:42	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x53d2fc…
08-31 20:35:18	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x11e86d…
08-31 20:35:13	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x03bf6c…
08-31 20:35:04	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb9b085…
08-31 20:34:54	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xff1bd6…
08-30 17:41:43	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x1ca90b…
08-30 17:39:21	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xb64243…
08-30 17:19:37	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe74676…
08-27 16:25:54	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x60cb2e…
08-27 16:23:52	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0176aa…
08-27 07:20:13	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xb8c02a…
08-27 07:10:58	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb8769d…
08-27 07:10:37	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x0fc435…
08-25 18:15:18	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3444b4…
08-25 18:15:04	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe0fa51…
08-24 15:12:49	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x5228a6…
08-24 15:09:43	Will the match end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0xf5432c…
08-24 15:09:18	Will the match end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xcc91e0…
08-24 15:08:57	Will the match end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0xcd1f70…
08-24 15:08:13	Will the match end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xb6507e…
08-24 15:07:34	Will the match end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xf3b882…
08-24 15:07:28	Will the match end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x66d3fb…
08-24 15:07:19	Will the match end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xa9d64f…
08-24 15:07:09	Will the match end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf0994d…
06-22 08:59:56	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2dfa50…
06-21 08:59:43	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x945216…
06-19 18:43:16	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd5bc68…
06-19 18:42:50	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xec2d57…
06-17 15:15:22	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7b51f1…
06-17 08:45:25	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x247b40…
06-17 08:44:34	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6e1e51…
06-15 11:23:36	Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x41b87c…
06-15 11:22:37	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6df326…
06-15 11:22:31	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5ab66d…
06-15 11:22:22	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x07e2bb…
06-15 11:22:01	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x99c38a…
06-15 08:50:04	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb9c677…
06-15 08:49:54	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xf40586…
06-15 08:49:42	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9b3646…
06-14 09:34:45	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0d978b…
06-14 09:34:39	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0e5ff2…
06-14 07:52:28	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8976db…
06-14 07:52:12	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x036346…
06-14 07:50:10	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xf2a237…
06-14 07:49:03	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x3e10db…
06-13 21:53:22	Will the match end in a draw?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x81b929…
06-13 11:51:31	Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1d4523…
06-12 07:47:48	Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x8cb406…
06-10 15:58:15	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xceec1a…
06-10 15:50:48	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x75e4b5…
06-09 16:10:31	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x7745da…
06-09 16:09:51	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xed6a0d…
06-09 16:09:24	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x74a208…
06-09 16:08:51	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x7b5ef1…
06-09 16:08:37	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x4b075a…
06-09 16:08:28	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x1b1753…
06-09 13:18:54	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x1f1b03…
06-09 13:16:40	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x77f37c…
06-09 13:14:46	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf0bfd0…