Key-Finding 0xa9f2d6…056c8e
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$1.18K
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
3,214
lifetime
Volume
$504.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$157
Open exposure
$13.6K
20 positions
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-05 18:49
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
77% — —
Other
11% — —
Tech
7% — —
Crypto
5% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 409 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +5,903 $4,411 84¢ $5.0K +$577 07-04 08:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5,073 $4,278 88¢ $4.5K +$211 07-03 23:25
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +1,209 $1,000 84¢ $1.0K +$10 07-03 23:46
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No -403 $-531 100¢ $-403 +$128 06-14 22:27
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +498 $379 78¢ $391 +$12 07-05 19:30
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +441 $300 86¢ $377 +$77 06-08 04:37
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +431 $250 68¢ $291 +$41 07-01 18:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -1,843 $-295 16¢ $-286 +$9 07-01 03:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -270 $-294 100¢ $-270 +$24 06-27 05:06
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +357 $250 69¢ $246 $-4 07-03 20:39
Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +178 $150 100¢ $177 +$27 07-02 22:18
Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +266 $180 56¢ $149 $-31 07-04 17:59
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No -126 $-231 100¢ $-126 +$105 07-03 16:28
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +192 $123 66¢ $125 +$3 07-05 22:19
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +625 $100 15¢ $91 $-9 07-01 14:08
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +71 $53 76¢ $54 +$1 07-05 21:52
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +91 $40 44¢ $40 $-0 07-05 19:01
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +34 $25 74¢ $25 +$0 07-03 20:55
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +42 $11 36¢ $15 +$4 07-02 10:27
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +55 $9 0¢ $0 $-9 06-28 10:54