Aching-Thermals — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$206

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

25.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,887

lifetime

Volume

$254.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$135

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 23:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

82% 33% $-206

Politics

13% — —

Other

5% — —

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 115 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	64	$6.8K	6,400	3,250	+3,150	open	—	07-30 04:28
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	79	$4.9K	6,062	2,636	+3,426	open	—	08-03 22:57
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	49	$3.5K	6,726	300	+6,426	open	—	07-27 21:17
mlb sf cin 2026 04 16	27	$3.5K	3,755	0	+3,755	open	—	04-16 18:44
mlb cle sea 2026 03 28	31	$3.4K	3,205	1,829	+1,376	open	—	03-29 04:56
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins	21	$3.2K	1,711	1,711	+0	open	—	04-19 21:49
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros	7	$3.2K	3,393	0	+3,393	open	—	04-19 21:04
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals	6	$2.9K	1,563	1,563	+0	open	—	04-19 21:20
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	33	$2.8K	2,758	2,358	+400	open	—	08-03 23:53
mlb chc phi 2026 04 14	1	$2.7K	2,988	0	+2,988	open	—	04-15 00:32
mlb mil bos 2026 04 08	9	$2.7K	2,616	469	+2,147	open	—	04-08 18:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$2.6K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	05-27 17:12
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals	9	$2.5K	2,810	793	+2,017	open	—	04-25 21:25
nfl ne den 2026 01 25	6	$2.4K	2,531	0	+2,531	open	—	01-25 23:01
Knicks vs. 76ers	24	$2.4K	3,482	1,499	+1,983	Knicks	$-6	05-08 22:09
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants	12	$2.3K	2,550	0	+2,550	open	—	04-23 20:52
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants	7	$2.3K	2,400	0	+2,400	open	—	04-22 04:14
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	22	$2.2K	3,622	672	+2,950	open	—	08-01 07:15
mlb wsh phi 2026 03 31	2	$2.2K	2,000	400	+1,600	open	—	04-01 02:12
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels	5	$2.2K	2,501	0	+2,501	open	—	04-21 04:04
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	9	$2.2K	2,300	0	+2,300	open	—	07-18 22:11
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	57	$2.1K	5,226	1,325	+3,900	open	—	08-10 23:59
nfl gb chi 2026 01 10	13	$2.1K	2,371	0	+2,371	open	—	01-11 03:21
mlb wsh pit 2026 04 13	1	$2.1K	2,299	0	+2,299	open	—	04-13 23:34
nba phi ind 2026 04 10	8	$2.1K	2,083	1,127	+955	open	—	04-11 03:17
mlb sea sd 2026 04 16	1	$2.1K	2,331	0	+2,331	open	—	04-17 01:18
nfl hou ne 2026 01 18	24	$2.0K	1,718	1,588	+130	open	—	01-18 22:29
nhl utah nj 2026 01 03	2	$2.0K	2,060	0	+2,060	open	—	01-03 21:38
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians	3	$1.9K	2,238	0	+2,238	open	—	04-20 23:24
mlb sd pit 2026 04 08	2	$1.9K	1,000	997	+3	open	—	04-08 19:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 23:59:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1,000	8¢	$80	0xa7a853…
08-06 18:23:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	198	26¢	$51	0xbd834b…
08-06 18:22:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0x9edf32…
08-06 18:21:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0x9f9944…
08-06 18:17:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	225	27¢	$61	0xcae2de…
08-06 15:52:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	250	16¢	$40	0x67794f…
08-06 12:52:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	400	14¢	$56	0xc57842…
08-06 05:55:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	250	15¢	$37	0x1ea490…
08-06 05:43:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	236	15¢	$35	0xe0a0fc…
08-06 05:42:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xc98285…
08-06 05:42:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	559	15¢	$84	0x38c525…
08-06 05:29:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	118	15¢	$18	0xce42c0…
08-06 05:23:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0xea0b52…
08-06 05:22:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	83	15¢	$12	0x1b261f…
08-03 23:53:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	328	12¢	$39	0x38842f…
08-03 23:46:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0xaec9d9…
08-03 23:46:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xa414b1…
08-03 23:00:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x6a8281…
08-03 23:00:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x4c0c51…
08-03 22:57:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0xe74ade…
08-03 22:57:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	400	21¢	$84	0xe74ade…
08-03 22:55:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x83e539…
08-03 22:54:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x442c32…
08-03 22:33:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	80	9¢	$7	0xc096ae…
08-03 22:32:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x5b2a0e…
08-03 22:32:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	202	9¢	$18	0x3771b2…
08-03 22:28:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	287	80¢	$230	0x8d5299…
08-03 22:27:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	113	80¢	$90	0x3b053f…
08-03 19:36:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$3	0x986acc…
08-03 19:36:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xece879…
08-03 19:34:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xae8ae1…
08-03 19:34:08	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x80bdb6…
08-03 19:33:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xb7a6ea…
08-03 19:33:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xc7f388…
08-03 19:32:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x1f9525…
08-03 19:32:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf8eb9d…
08-03 19:30:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	238	79¢	$188	0x2d6f86…
08-03 19:20:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x17e2c0…
08-03 19:17:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x56790b…
08-03 19:17:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x52df99…
08-03 19:17:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x5c5f3c…
08-03 19:15:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xdd5f85…
08-03 19:13:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x522c07…
08-03 19:12:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	48	79¢	$38	0xf50174…
08-03 19:04:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	400	20¢	$80	0xd61d06…
08-03 02:17:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	101	79¢	$80	0xfa5534…
08-03 02:11:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0xf347ee…
08-03 00:21:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	493	79¢	$389	0x417fd7…
08-02 22:46:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	47	78¢	$37	0x7c3e9b…
08-02 22:46:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	553	78¢	$431	0x597f26…
08-02 22:04:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	300	9¢	$27	0x397e78…
08-02 21:58:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	300	92¢	$276	0xbddd88…
08-02 21:53:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	231	9¢	$21	0xa8e1ad…
08-02 21:53:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	300	90¢	$270	0x4e5713…
08-02 20:50:17	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	95	86¢	$81	0x1f9abd…
08-02 20:41:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	600	12¢	$72	0xa8f58e…
08-02 20:24:38	mlb tex hou 2026 08 02	Houston Astros	BUY	393	74¢	$291	0x52c28f…
08-02 20:24:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	505	86¢	$435	0x91ba66…
08-02 20:23:56	mlb tex hou 2026 08 02	Houston Astros	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x7c34fd…
08-02 20:23:56	mlb tex hou 2026 08 02	Houston Astros	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x2296ea…
08-01 08:11:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	185	67¢	$124	0x75afd8…
08-01 08:06:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	58	56¢	$33	0x47318c…
08-01 07:52:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	179	56¢	$100	0x859eb6…
08-01 07:47:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	52	56¢	$29	0x559f12…
08-01 07:45:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	24	67¢	$16	0xa18494…
08-01 07:15:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	31	44¢	$14	0xbd3031…
08-01 07:15:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x8902b0…
08-01 07:15:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0xcdfa68…
08-01 07:15:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	16	67¢	$11	0x9b3324…
08-01 07:08:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	30	44¢	$13	0xf7abe4…
08-01 07:08:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	75	44¢	$33	0x9a0bc8…
08-01 07:08:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x5d81d7…
08-01 06:58:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	112	44¢	$49	0x0f934a…
07-31 20:53:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	400	58¢	$232	0x69d8da…
07-31 20:52:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	600	75¢	$450	0x9ca87c…
07-31 20:50:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	400	85¢	$340	0xc75575…
07-31 02:45:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x08d1b2…
07-31 02:45:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	44	92¢	$40	0x08d1b2…
07-31 00:55:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0xabf875…
07-31 00:43:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x893878…
07-31 00:20:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	210	26¢	$55	0x3745c9…
07-31 00:20:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0xc19f9b…
07-30 23:27:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x109d5e…
07-30 23:24:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x481326…
07-30 23:24:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xa05d84…
07-30 21:54:08	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	575	80¢	$460	0xe38afc…
07-30 21:53:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	89	41¢	$37	0xfb3864…
07-30 21:42:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	95	73¢	$69	0x6ffa02…
07-30 21:25:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x1963ec…
07-30 21:25:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	29	79¢	$23	0x6215b3…
07-30 21:06:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x625e2c…
07-30 20:58:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x5d061e…
07-30 20:55:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0xb4120c…
07-30 20:45:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x926a9e…
07-30 20:31:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x22b22c…
07-30 20:31:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	400	58¢	$232	0xe97c41…
07-30 20:27:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0x201c35…
07-30 20:15:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	164	79¢	$130	0xa114f8…
07-30 20:09:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	296	41¢	$122	0x38bd66…
07-30 20:07:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	178	91¢	$162	0x8edf24…