Aching-Thermals — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$206

Unrealized P&L

-$34

Hit rate

25.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,421

lifetime

Volume

$217.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$153

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-22 00:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

92% 33% $-206

Other

6% — —

Politics

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes		+500	$40	1¢	$6	$-34	07-10 23:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
mlb sf cin 2026 04 16	27	$3.5K	3,755	0	+3,755	open	—	04-16 18:44
mlb cle sea 2026 03 28	31	$3.4K	3,205	1,829	+1,376	open	—	03-29 04:56
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins	21	$3.2K	1,711	1,711	+0	open	—	04-19 21:49
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros	7	$3.2K	3,393	0	+3,393	open	—	04-19 21:04
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals	6	$2.9K	1,563	1,563	+0	open	—	04-19 21:20
mlb chc phi 2026 04 14	1	$2.7K	2,988	0	+2,988	open	—	04-15 00:32
mlb mil bos 2026 04 08	9	$2.7K	2,616	469	+2,147	open	—	04-08 18:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$2.6K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	05-27 17:12
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals	9	$2.5K	2,810	793	+2,017	open	—	04-25 21:25
nfl ne den 2026 01 25	6	$2.4K	2,531	0	+2,531	open	—	01-25 23:01
Knicks vs. 76ers	24	$2.4K	3,482	1,499	+1,983	Knicks	$-6	05-08 22:09
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants	12	$2.3K	2,550	0	+2,550	open	—	04-23 20:52
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants	7	$2.3K	2,400	0	+2,400	open	—	04-22 04:14
mlb wsh phi 2026 03 31	2	$2.2K	2,000	400	+1,600	open	—	04-01 02:12
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels	5	$2.2K	2,501	0	+2,501	open	—	04-21 04:04
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	9	$2.2K	2,300	0	+2,300	open	—	07-18 22:11
nfl gb chi 2026 01 10	13	$2.1K	2,371	0	+2,371	open	—	01-11 03:21
mlb wsh pit 2026 04 13	1	$2.1K	2,299	0	+2,299	open	—	04-13 23:34
nba phi ind 2026 04 10	8	$2.1K	2,083	1,127	+955	open	—	04-11 03:17
mlb sea sd 2026 04 16	1	$2.1K	2,331	0	+2,331	open	—	04-17 01:18
nfl hou ne 2026 01 18	24	$2.0K	1,718	1,588	+130	open	—	01-18 22:29
nhl utah nj 2026 01 03	2	$2.0K	2,060	0	+2,060	open	—	01-03 21:38
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians	3	$1.9K	2,238	0	+2,238	open	—	04-20 23:24
mlb sd pit 2026 04 08	2	$1.9K	1,000	997	+3	open	—	04-08 19:58
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants	8	$1.9K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	04-25 03:12
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians	11	$1.9K	2,047	1,048	+999	open	—	04-22 00:13
mlb tex oak 2026 04 16	3	$1.9K	2,004	996	+1,008	open	—	04-16 22:05
mlb kc det 2026 04 14	2	$1.9K	1,000	996	+4	open	—	04-15 01:05
mlb chc phi 2026 04 15	1	$1.8K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	04-15 23:58
mlb oak atl 2026 03 31	3	$1.8K	1,030	1,024	+7	open	—	04-01 03:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 00:35:46	mlb min cle 2026 07 21	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	400	86¢	$344	0xd5275a…
07-19 20:05:12	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	32	69¢	$22	0x07db15…
07-19 19:57:39	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	33	69¢	$23	0x1df9d9…
07-19 19:43:27	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x8e0833…
07-19 19:41:37	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0xace534…
07-18 23:01:18	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 penalty shootout	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x103953…
07-18 22:57:54	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 penalty shootout	No	BUY	900	99¢	$891	0x661e61…
07-18 22:11:55	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	300	90¢	$271	0xda5fab…
07-18 22:11:39	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	300	91¢	$273	0x5fd545…
07-18 22:10:34	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	300	93¢	$278	0x464534…
07-18 22:10:21	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	91	96¢	$87	0xbe5a12…
07-18 22:10:19	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0xdcf2f3…
07-18 22:10:10	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	161	96¢	$155	0x88e7f0…
07-18 22:10:06	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	300	96¢	$288	0xd13ee5…
07-15 18:55:10	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 penalty shootout	No	SELL	983	81¢	$796	0x521b80…
07-15 18:54:14	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 penalty shootout	No	SELL	17	81¢	$14	0x742ce5…
07-15 18:43:04	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 penalty shootout	No	BUY	1,000	80¢	$800	0xb965d0…
07-10 23:56:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0x9b01e0…
07-09 21:55:31	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 btts	No	BUY	105	91¢	$96	0xab9f64…
07-09 21:55:31	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 btts	No	BUY	95	91¢	$86	0x87f4f3…
07-09 00:19:01	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	SELL	342	0¢	$2	0x16435d…
07-09 00:18:55	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x544064…
07-09 00:18:53	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x6d39c1…
07-09 00:14:49	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	No	SELL	337	0¢	$1	0x9172e2…
07-09 00:11:37	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	BUY	58	16¢	$9	0x606fb1…
07-09 00:11:28	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	BUY	42	16¢	$7	0xdeb8f9…
07-09 00:11:10	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xe8241c…
07-09 00:11:10	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	BUY	45	39¢	$18	0xd7d485…
07-09 00:11:10	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x7a3342…
07-09 00:06:44	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xc1f895…
07-09 00:06:17	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	SELL	37	65¢	$24	0x4e4644…
07-09 00:04:28	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	SELL	13	65¢	$8	0x46c7b9…
07-09 00:02:50	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	No	BUY	41	3¢	$1	0x8adafe…
07-08 23:56:55	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	SELL	60	59¢	$35	0xe9a875…
07-08 23:50:13	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xbaf21a…
07-08 23:50:01	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x912b8a…
07-08 23:50:01	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x3bd788…
07-08 23:43:22	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0x08d1da…
07-08 23:43:16	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xd132a2…
07-08 23:43:16	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xbc00d0…
07-08 23:43:16	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xb4be86…
07-08 23:43:16	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x9ad400…
07-08 23:43:16	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x92bb11…
07-08 23:43:16	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x7748cb…
07-08 23:43:16	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x3f0188…
07-08 23:43:16	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x386c6b…
07-08 23:43:16	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x1b0ba8…
07-08 23:43:14	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xbf29ce…
07-08 23:20:49	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x51de9b…
07-08 23:19:40	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0x8911c1…
07-08 23:19:29	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0xaca56e…
07-08 23:19:11	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0x61504c…
07-08 23:18:47	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	SELL	84	53¢	$45	0x43bf93…
07-08 23:14:49	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xee92d2…
07-08 23:14:26	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	SELL	95	33¢	$31	0x5f80cc…
07-08 23:10:34	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	BUY	60	53¢	$32	0x72b83d…
07-08 22:58:01	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x63b805…
07-08 22:52:23	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	BUY	95	32¢	$30	0xaa8339…
07-08 22:52:23	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xa0bb50…
07-08 22:42:25	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x339471…
07-08 22:28:17	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x30ac6d…
07-08 22:28:16	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xf4da59…
07-08 22:28:16	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	BUY	91	45¢	$41	0xe2cabb…
07-08 22:27:47	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xefdde9…
07-08 22:27:22	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x8fcf98…
07-08 22:25:47	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x04ba4e…
07-08 22:24:05	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x5d77db…
07-08 22:20:47	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x9fd09f…
07-08 22:16:58	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0xed1701…
07-08 22:15:35	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0x8fd574…
07-08 22:12:10	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	No	BUY	237	5¢	$13	0x9918f5…
07-08 21:35:37	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0x907804…
07-08 21:12:01	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x79f007…
07-08 21:04:56	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	BUY	187	55¢	$103	0x42d8aa…
07-08 21:02:58	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	BUY	407	38¢	$155	0xf9ef22…
06-21 19:43:55	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	No	BUY	265	96¢	$255	0xb8aad7…
06-20 18:14:47	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 btts	No	BUY	500	49¢	$245	0x306dc5…
06-19 21:38:16	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	373	96¢	$358	0x1f34e4…
06-17 16:21:16	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	SELL	250	16¢	$40	0xa74a13…
06-17 00:00:26	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	127	94¢	$119	0x4006ae…
06-16 23:11:19	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	BUY	229	16¢	$37	0x099e5e…
06-16 23:01:16	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x88208a…
06-16 23:01:14	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x3ac5ba…
06-16 22:47:05	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	No	SELL	250	2¢	$4	0xffb41a…
06-16 22:45:02	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x09edc8…
06-16 22:43:55	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0xdd0ccc…
06-16 22:43:55	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	373	94¢	$350	0x80a1c0…
06-16 22:43:55	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x153fbf…
06-16 22:41:52	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x385298…
06-16 22:34:28	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$13	0x1c49e6…
06-16 22:31:14	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	No	BUY	933	2¢	$20	0xec6004…
06-16 22:30:07	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	No	BUY	67	2¢	$1	0xdb185c…
06-16 22:26:59	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x496920…
06-15 04:47:27	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	300	30¢	$90	0x87287f…
06-12 17:14:10	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	No	BUY	902	99¢	$893	0xd1b20b…
06-12 17:12:01	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x3644af…
06-12 17:11:28	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x6d4db3…
06-12 17:11:16	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	No	BUY	29	99¢	$28	0x99b54c…
06-12 17:10:57	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x9280bd…
06-03 20:57:04	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	Yes	SELL	104	8¢	$8	0x5ded34…