Stupendous-Bonus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$482

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 09-01 09:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

76% 97% -$518

Sports

21% 50% +$83

Crypto

2% 50% -$47

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$976	493	493	+0	Yes	+$2	04-27 09:35
Thunder vs. Spurs	11	$550	1,100	0	+1,100	Thunder	$0	05-22 20:41
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	1	$520	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$520	06-26 06:07
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	13	$256	200	200	+0	No	-$1	03-12 11:09
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$83	0	498	-498	No	+$83	05-06 01:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 03:30 UTC	5	$47	100	0	+100	Down	-$47	03-03 03:30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 17?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-16 07:49
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 9?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-09 08:53
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 28?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-27 06:53
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 17?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-16 03:56
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 17?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-16 03:58
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 16?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-16 07:41
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 24?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 08:43
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on June 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-22 02:20
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on June 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 08:47
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 21?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-20 08:15
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C or higher on June 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 08:44
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 16?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	06-16 07:45
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C or below on May 28?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-27 06:50
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C or below on June 10?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-09 08:51
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 9?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-09 08:57
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C or below on June 17?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-16 07:47
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on June 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 08:41
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on June 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-22 02:22
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 16?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-16 07:42
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-13 03:17
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 36°C or higher on June 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-22 02:18
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 08:49
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or below on June 25?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 08:46
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C or below on July 14?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-13 03:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 09:46:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 1?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb622eb…
09-01 08:20:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on September 2?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6381cd…
09-01 08:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 106°F or higher on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe1663f…
07-16 03:58:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x58664a…
07-16 03:56:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x51ef3c…
07-13 03:17:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe0ed03…
07-13 03:15:01	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C or below on July 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x287e91…
06-26 06:07:41	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	52¢	$520	0x929f10…
06-24 08:50:47	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C or below on June 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9a886e…
06-24 08:49:14	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaff423…
06-24 08:47:53	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x959930…
06-24 08:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or below on June 25?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0x62403b…
06-24 08:44:53	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C or higher on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcca11c…
06-24 08:43:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf5f5a6…
06-24 08:41:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x430e98…
06-24 08:39:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x39a134…
06-22 02:30:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x16eac4…
06-22 02:29:19	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 75°F or below on June 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x616c6c…
06-22 02:27:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfc8a18…
06-22 02:25:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf18964…
06-22 02:24:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C or below on June 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x189cab…
06-22 02:22:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on June 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbae997…
06-22 02:20:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on June 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x93605c…
06-22 02:18:58	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 36°C or higher on June 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x030aaa…
06-16 07:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on June 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcd356c…
06-16 07:49:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf24360…
06-16 07:47:25	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C or below on June 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3fb8c1…
06-16 07:45:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x922e0b…
06-16 07:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb908e0…
06-16 07:42:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x998b05…
06-16 07:41:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa3953e…
06-16 07:39:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on June 16?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1de086…
06-09 08:57:24	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x44b34d…
06-09 08:55:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xed74e7…
06-09 08:53:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfdb1c5…
06-09 08:51:07	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C or below on June 10?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf450d8…
05-29 08:28:41	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 29?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x186d04…
05-29 08:27:28	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8aeebc…
05-29 08:26:28	Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8871bc…
05-29 08:25:27	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xb25eb1…
05-29 08:24:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on May 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd6e8b3…
05-29 08:22:49	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on May 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa2956b…
05-29 08:20:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa04007…
05-27 07:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x915b67…
05-27 07:00:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C or higher on May 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc39f81…
05-27 06:58:26	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on May 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb4d985…
05-27 06:53:13	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf8afbb…
05-27 06:52:05	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x345f10…
05-27 06:50:50	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C or below on May 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa0a9c1…
05-22 20:41:27	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	550	54¢	$297	0xda76b1…
05-22 14:07:44	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	97	46¢	$45	0xb19335…
05-22 14:07:34	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	36	46¢	$17	0xef8121…
05-22 14:07:28	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x3887b1…
05-22 14:07:25	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xe5ee88…
05-22 14:07:21	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x051f68…
05-22 14:06:59	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	188	46¢	$86	0x527e1f…
05-22 14:06:43	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9b4bc1…
05-22 14:06:32	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	101	46¢	$46	0x7af54c…
05-22 14:06:31	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0x21feac…
05-22 14:06:29	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	86	46¢	$40	0x3dd6b4…
05-20 08:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xed050c…
05-20 08:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd48533…
05-20 08:14:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or below on May 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1b2564…
05-20 08:12:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on May 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x631b62…
05-14 07:02:44	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa2135e…
05-14 07:00:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x11ab03…
05-14 06:59:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa33978…
05-14 06:57:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 10°C on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5ededf…
05-09 03:56:41	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C or below on May 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6f4d14…
05-09 03:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf89c6d…
05-09 03:54:49	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 49°F or below on May 10?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9efd49…
05-09 03:52:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd70948…
05-06 01:54:28	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	498	17¢	$83	0xa902ff…
04-27 09:35:24	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	493	99¢	$489	0xdd61de…
04-24 02:34:14	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	236	99¢	$234	0xd204ad…
04-24 02:32:38	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	257	99¢	$253	0x468645…
04-23 09:42:22	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 320 339	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x396b48…
04-23 09:41:18	highest temperature in paris on april 24 2026 17c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x13c56f…
04-23 09:40:04	highest temperature in jeddah on april 24 2026 26corbelow	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x292a73…
04-23 09:38:52	donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 160 179	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x538f79…
03-12 11:09:59	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	18	64¢	$11	0x2ab5d1…
03-12 10:53:27	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0x7d4b2c…
03-12 10:37:25	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	59	64¢	$38	0x2bc290…
03-12 10:32:13	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	25	64¢	$16	0xc57406…
03-12 09:27:31	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	28	64¢	$18	0x630fed…
03-12 02:23:17	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x8cc273…
03-12 02:23:17	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x054e15…
03-09 08:16:41	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	85	64¢	$55	0x6e9f33…
03-09 08:12:07	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0xcc4d71…
03-09 08:06:17	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	42	64¢	$27	0x6e1736…
03-09 08:00:31	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xceb3e3…
03-09 07:55:01	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0xb264b3…
03-09 07:43:15	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0xbfeac8…
03-03 03:30:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	47¢	$6	0xfb7b40…
03-03 03:30:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xfb9cdc…
03-03 03:30:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x9b5ab1…
03-03 03:30:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	29	47¢	$14	0x1dcc67…
03-03 03:30:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	46	47¢	$22	0x087eb1…