Actual-Recipe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$27

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-08 17:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 100% +$0

Other

31% — —

Politics

4% — —

Tech

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nicki Minaj advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No		+27	$27	100¢	$27	+$0	05-31 02:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in mexico city on april 15 2026 18c	1	$55	55	0	+55	open	—	04-15 06:55
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	3	$52	53	0	+53	open	—	05-13 10:54
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	2	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	04-04 14:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	2	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-27 04:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	05-20 15:16
bitcoin above 66k on april 23	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	04-21 03:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?	1	$33	33	0	+33	Yes	+$0	05-09 15:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	1	$33	33	0	+33	open	—	05-26 06:38
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	04-04 14:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 11-17?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-15 10:37
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-26 06:49
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	04-29 01:23
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 3?	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	05-03 13:05
Will Nikolai Denkov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	04-16 16:47
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	05-12 08:17
ethereum above 2600 on april 16	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-16 03:42
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	01-26 01:05
bitcoin above 82k on april 22	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-21 20:21
bitcoin above 70k on april 5	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-05 09:59
Will Nicki Minaj advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	05-31 02:16
bitcoin above 84k on april 23	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-22 22:11
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-02 18:59
will solana reach 170 in february 2026	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	02-13 00:21
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	05-28 22:14
will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	02-10 23:20
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 340 359	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-11 23:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	05-29 07:46
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	05-10 06:13
ethereum above 2100 on april 20	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-19 16:54
bitcoin above 64k on april 7	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-07 09:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 17:44:58	bitcoin above 68k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x6d8702…
06-03 10:19:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 5?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xdbda93…
06-02 19:45:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xfa18b3…
06-02 06:00:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x361ff7…
05-31 02:16:17	Will Nicki Minaj advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x7e407f…
05-29 07:46:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xdc0dc1…
05-28 22:14:28	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xa62b1f…
05-27 21:58:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb98ac7…
05-27 04:29:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9c5411…
05-26 21:10:58	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xfd48c9…
05-26 06:38:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x4a372a…
05-25 14:58:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xaec98c…
05-25 06:47:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x979f41…
05-24 17:42:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf1b3cc…
05-24 12:31:59	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe6d09f…
05-22 21:48:17	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1508d5…
05-22 15:23:01	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x94b778…
05-22 07:10:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x8201fd…
05-21 06:52:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2aab7b…
05-20 23:41:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa11886…
05-20 15:16:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x55f3a5…
05-20 06:38:09	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x471b96…
05-19 10:39:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x1f2c86…
05-15 10:37:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xf3eadc…
05-13 10:54:58	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x351a6f…
05-12 08:17:11	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x47c904…
05-12 03:58:45	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x943d88…
05-11 16:44:39	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x36b171…
05-10 19:46:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd4e37a…
05-10 16:44:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7e4cc7…
05-10 06:13:49	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x9d740e…
05-09 15:40:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x942a70…
05-09 03:19:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xa388be…
05-07 13:45:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x68065b…
05-05 18:27:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x8ef855…
05-04 01:52:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xab8251…
05-03 13:05:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 3?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x33b866…
05-01 09:46:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbd3abf…
04-30 03:46:26	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.20 in April?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x6e7120…
04-29 01:23:22	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x7e353b…
04-28 17:48:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x0cb167…
04-27 14:56:02	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2acafc…
04-26 18:17:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xfc4c69…
04-26 09:20:16	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 April 20-26?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0b3883…
04-26 06:49:42	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc75859…
04-25 17:40:28	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 April 20-26?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x7619d9…
04-24 15:58:24	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xaf47cd…
04-24 04:14:58	bitcoin above 72k on april 24	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x0fa749…
04-23 22:48:14	bitcoin above 74k on april 24	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x790335…
04-22 22:53:50	bitcoin above 68k on april 24	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x11b9e9…
04-22 22:11:00	bitcoin above 84k on april 23	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x72b67f…
04-22 01:22:58	ethereum above 2100 on april 22	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xddea2f…
04-21 20:21:08	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xdb2ad9…
04-21 03:45:20	bitcoin above 66k on april 23	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x08c0d0…
04-19 16:54:58	ethereum above 2100 on april 20	Yes	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x9b0372…
04-19 02:58:30	will bitcoin dip to 68k april 13 19	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc8388d…
04-18 06:10:38	will ethereum reach 2900 april 13 19	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x56ae54…
04-17 12:00:24	bitcoin above 68k on april 18	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6c639f…
04-16 19:51:16	bitcoin above 70k on april 17	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa7c923…
04-16 16:47:34	Will Nikolai Denkov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb9029a…
04-16 03:42:54	ethereum above 2600 on april 16	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x7f4b1e…
04-15 17:41:42	bitcoin above 82k on april 17	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x899f9f…
04-15 12:17:26	solana above 80 on april 15	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x981599…
04-15 06:55:32	highest temperature in mexico city on april 15 2026 18c	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xa8a8e0…
04-13 23:33:07	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 400 419	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x484d98…
04-13 09:05:17	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x0c7bf4…
04-13 06:14:55	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 215 239	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xfac8ed…
04-12 09:51:19	will jake knapp win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa5b4bb…
04-11 23:54:15	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 340 359	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x5b54ca…
04-07 09:40:59	bitcoin above 64k on april 7	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf465c8…
04-05 09:59:19	bitcoin above 70k on april 5	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x77306e…
04-04 14:28:25	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x20bc1f…
04-04 14:27:51	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xac4df4…
04-01 02:27:47	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 115 139	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xeb2393…
03-19 20:47:19	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x03e9fc…
03-18 05:47:39	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x31aba3…
03-08 22:44:11	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x99f4c6…
03-04 20:16:25	will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xdacdaf…
03-02 18:59:21	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x65c5f2…
02-21 02:01:24	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb83dec…
02-15 18:32:19	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa75db1…
02-13 00:21:15	will solana reach 170 in february 2026	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xa4c580…
02-10 23:20:19	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x3d0388…
01-26 01:05:38	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x906c45…
01-25 12:35:00	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xc2a10c…
01-19 14:36:48	will ethereum dip to 2200 in january 2026 518	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x55ea68…
01-17 02:19:06	will solana dip to 40 in january 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x61e8d7…
01-09 19:18:38	will felix auger aliassime win the 2026 australian open	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xc6ba0d…
01-06 18:11:49	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x342ff4…