Realized P&L
-$869
Unrealized P&L
+$185
Hit rate
76.8%
Resolved
1,058
Trades
5,390
lifetime
Volume
$74.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$2.01K
23 positions
First seen
2026-03-29
last 10-27 11:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 132 days
Categories
Other
87% 70% -$507
Crypto
8% 84% +$107
Tech
2% 73% +$37
Politics
1% 57% -$88
Sports
1% 30% -$418
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,960 $1,198 76¢ $1.5K +$289 10-22 06:11
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage Aurora Gaming +191 $175 73¢ $139 -$36 10-27 12:54
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? $60 +220 $59 40¢ $88 +$29 10-21 03:01
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +130 $81 64¢ $84 +$2 10-27 02:19
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +39 $28 94¢ $37 +$9 10-15 08:36
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No +49 $13 76¢ $37 +$24 10-01 03:04
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes -39 -$29 94¢ $-37 -$8 10-22 08:39
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +43 $34 73¢ $31 -$3 10-15 18:09
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +20 $8 98¢ $20 +$12 09-01 05:18
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? Yes +49 $135 24¢ $12 -$124 10-21 05:26
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group A FaZe +9 $6 100¢ $9 +$3 10-27 04:27
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage TheMongolz +14 $6 52¢ $7 +$1 10-27 00:31
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +6 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-04 20:49
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +12 $9 42¢ $5 -$4 08-03 13:32
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes -12 -$3 42¢ $-5 -$2 09-01 04:32
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? No +5 $4 90¢ $4 +$1 10-08 18:22
Counter-Strike: magic vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs BIG +5 $3 58¢ $3 $0 10-27 04:26
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? No +20 $11 2¢ $0 -$11 09-01 04:51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes -39 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 10-17 14:59
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +6 $0 2¢ $0 $0 09-10 07:05
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes -39 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 10-17 14:59
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes -12 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 09-01 04:32
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +0 -$2 54¢ $0 +$2 08-06 10:19