Realized P&L (30d)
-$661
Unrealized P&L
-$126
Hit rate
83.0%
Resolved (30d)
369
Trades (30d)
1,314
6,117 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$47.9K
$107.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$1.11K
17 positions
First seen
2026-03-29
last 11-14 20:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 149 days
Categories
Other
86% 71% -$1,185
Crypto
10% 82% -$210
Tech
2% 73% +$37
Politics
1% 57% -$87
Sports
1% 30% -$418
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 114 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in November? No +428 $366 74¢ $315 -$51 11-14 15:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November? No +246 $214 84¢ $207 -$7 11-14 16:54
Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026? No +229 $197 86¢ $198 +$1 11-12 13:58
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +202 $163 77¢ $155 -$8 11-13 16:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November? No +205 $154 57¢ $118 -$36 11-14 03:46
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No +49 $13 93¢ $46 +$32 10-01 03:04
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2027? Yes +62 $44 43¢ $26 -$18 11-04 15:25
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026? No +20 -$77 90¢ $18 +$95 11-08 22:06
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +6 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-04 20:49
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by March 31, 2027? No +6 $3 67¢ $4 +$2 11-08 12:45
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +12 $9 29¢ $3 -$5 08-03 13:32
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? Yes +49 $135 7¢ $3 -$132 10-21 05:26
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes -12 -$3 27¢ $-3 $0 09-01 04:32
Hotstuff FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +2 $3 88¢ $2 -$1 11-12 05:07
Hotstuff FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +2 $0 12¢ $0 +$0 10-26 01:18
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +6 $0 3¢ $0 $0 09-10 07:05
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +0 -$2 18¢ $0 +$2 08-06 10:19