Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
44
lifetime
Volume
$179
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$45
10 positions
First seen
2026-03-18
last 07-16 11:19
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
69%
Politics
27%
Crypto
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? Yes -31 $-25 88¢ $-28 $-2 06-22 07:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +5 $3 99¢ $5 +$2 06-22 07:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +7 $1 48¢ $3 +$2 06-22 07:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +14 $2 22¢ $3 +$1 06-22 07:15
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +6 $3 30¢ $2 $-1 06-22 07:17
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +22 $2 $1 $-1 06-22 07:16
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +10 $1 $1 $-0 06-22 07:21
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +5 $1 15¢ $1 $-0 06-22 07:21
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +5 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 06-22 07:16
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +3 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 06-22 07:21