(anonymous) 0xaadee6…3a8615
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
40
lifetime
Volume
$121
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$41
11 positions
First seen
2026-03-18
last 06-23 09:48
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
54% — —
Politics
40% — —
Crypto
6% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? Yes -31 $-25 89¢ $-28 $-3 06-22 07:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +5 $3 52¢ $3 $-0 06-22 07:15
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +6 $3 36¢ $2 $-1 06-22 07:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +14 $2 12¢ $2 $-0 06-22 07:15
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +22 $2 8¢ $2 $-0 06-22 07:16
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +10 $1 11¢ $1 +$0 06-22 07:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +7 $1 14¢ $1 $-0 06-22 07:14
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +3 $1 26¢ $1 $-0 06-22 07:21
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +5 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 06-22 07:16
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +5 $1 18¢ $1 $-0 06-22 07:21
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Yes +111 $1 0¢ $0 $-1 06-22 07:18