Realized P&L
-$118
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
48.1%
Resolved
1,391
Trades
1,497
lifetime
Volume
$5.99K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$98
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-09 14:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 253 days
Categories
Sports
53% 45% +$145
Other
45% 49% -$245
Politics
1% 46% -$16
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$6
Tech
0% — —
Crypto
0% 33% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will SIENNA SPIRO win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? Yes +58 $15 26¢ $15 $0 10-01 08:50
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No -14 -$13 96¢ $-14 -$1 08-28 10:02
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? Yes +27 $2 32¢ $9 +$7 10-22 07:51
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +6 $3 90¢ $5 +$3 05-27 03:05
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$1 10-13 07:59
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31? No +5 $2 88¢ $5 +$3 10-09 06:02
Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No +9 $3 48¢ $4 +$1 10-12 08:35
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +31 $5 13¢ $4 -$1 05-23 04:33
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by November 30? No +4 $3 88¢ $4 +$1 11-01 04:52
Will Brighton & Hove Albion win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship? Yes +10 $3 36¢ $4 +$1 09-22 16:52
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? Yes +52 $5 6¢ $3 -$2 09-26 07:00
Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026? Yes +16 $5 18¢ $3 -$2 09-10 17:19
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by December 31? No +3 $2 74¢ $3 +$1 10-26 05:01
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -2 -$2 94¢ $-2 $0 09-14 17:06
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +3 $2 78¢ $2 +$0 09-10 17:07
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? Yes +3 $2 85¢ $2 +$0 10-09 08:01
Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026? Yes +36 $4 6¢ $2 -$2 09-10 17:08
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31? No +2 $1 92¢ $2 +$1 10-08 04:53
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting? No +3 $2 55¢ $2 $0 10-28 08:05
Will Lux (Rosalía) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? Yes +10 $2 15¢ $2 $0 09-17 08:00
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by November 15? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 10-24 05:11
Lakers vs. Hawks Hawks +2 $1 54¢ $1 +$0 11-09 13:51
Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-5.5) Indiana Hoosiers +2 $1 52¢ $1 +$0 11-09 14:42
Spread: Bills (-3.5) Vikings +2 $1 52¢ $1 $0 11-09 13:48
Bills vs. Vikings: O/U 44.5 Under +2 $1 48¢ $1 $0 11-09 13:49
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31? Yes +8 $3 12¢ $1 -$2 10-10 05:00
Will another artist be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? Yes +10 $5 6¢ $1 -$5 06-08 23:11
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes +19 $10 3¢ $1 -$9 05-16 05:38
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 65m? Yes +6 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 10-28 08:07
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? Yes +15 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 05-27 07:24