Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.40K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.3%

Resolved

219

Trades

2,650

lifetime

Volume

$5.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-01

last 09-06 04:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 14% -$858

Other

24% 45% -$301

Sports

11% 31% -$133

Politics

6% 12% -$106

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 8?	15	$342	1,007	819	+189	No	-$300	07-07 15:54
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	6	$340	496	496	+0	Max Holloway	-$9	07-11 01:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 20:45 UTC	154	$272	563	0	+563	Up	-$5	07-01 20:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 20:40 UTC	109	$223	466	0	+466	Up	-$52	07-01 20:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 20:35 UTC	103	$199	395	0	+395	Up	+$22	07-01 20:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 20:25 UTC	113	$198	425	0	+425	Down	+$20	07-01 20:29
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?	6	$189	111	111	+0	Yes	+$30	07-06 06:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 20:55 UTC	106	$166	350	0	+350	Up	+$25	07-01 20:58
will trump say whale in july 20260702143051782	14	$139	202	191	+11	No	-$53	07-30 11:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 04:40 UTC	21	$122	12,224	0	+12,224	Down	-$122	07-15 04:45
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 7?	218	$116	279	113	+166	No	-$44	07-07 17:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 04:20 UTC	21	$109	10,621	0	+10,621	Down	-$109	07-15 04:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 21:00 UTC	69	$105	265	0	+265	Up	-$27	07-01 21:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 20:50 UTC	58	$103	202	0	+202	Down	-$21	07-01 20:53
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	07-06 06:23
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$98	118	0	+118	Yes	-$98	07-06 22:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 21:05 UTC	39	$94	479	0	+479	Up	+$9	07-01 21:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 20:40 UTC	72	$82	2,164	0	+2,164	Down	-$12	07-01 20:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 20:05 UTC	23	$81	278	0	+278	Up	-$81	07-01 20:06
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?	3	$80	40	40	+0	No	+$0	07-06 06:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 21:40 UTC	38	$70	417	0	+417	Up	-$4	07-01 21:43
bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 4pm et	58	$69	248	0	+248	Up	+$1	07-01 20:56
will trump say tiger in july 20260702143051774	10	$68	72	72	+0	Yes	-$5	07-06 21:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 21:50 UTC	8	$68	167	167	-0	Up	+$58	07-10 21:54
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 20:55 UTC	66	$65	872	0	+872	Up	-$17	07-01 21:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	9	$61	65	65	-0	open	—	07-20 14:03
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$59	60	0	+60	No	+$1	07-07 00:11
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	1	$59	94	0	+94	Yes	+$35	07-07 00:20
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 21:05 UTC	49	$57	151	0	+151	Up	-$8	07-01 21:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 20:45 UTC	41	$56	156	0	+156	Up	-$6	07-01 20:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-06 04:18:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0xb35235…
09-06 04:18:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	73¢	$19	0xd6775e…
09-06 04:17:34	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?	No	SELL	28	75¢	$21	0x976cb8…
09-05 22:02:25	val nrg loud 2026 09 05	NRG	BUY	27	47¢	$12	0x106846…
09-05 21:59:49	val nrg loud 2026 09 05	NRG	BUY	23	54¢	$12	0x3900c7…
09-05 19:13:27	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?	No	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x43087e…
09-04 21:36:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	59¢	$7	0xe862de…
09-04 21:36:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x272c95…
09-04 02:36:48	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xa109ed…
08-18 22:59:12	mlb ari bos 2026 08 18	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	28	39¢	$11	0x97d109…
08-16 00:22:57	val nv2 sen 2026 08 15	Sentinels	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0xfcf970…
08-15 21:47:28	mlb tex oak 2026 08 15	Athletics	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x7a6737…
08-15 19:46:21	atp djokovi tirante 2026 08 15	Novak Djokovic	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x271796…
08-15 19:44:00	atp djokovi tirante 2026 08 15	Novak Djokovic	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0xe8b685…
08-15 19:21:04	mlb sea hou 2026 08 15 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xaf0a26…
08-14 23:36:39	Will "The Odyssey" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 21m?	No	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0x8d3514…
08-14 23:00:34	mlb nyy tor 2026 08 14 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xda3711…
08-14 18:40:55	val jl fnc1 2026 08 14	Fnatic	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0x2e2c44…
08-14 00:51:09	Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x66464f…
08-14 00:51:03	Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0xb39bb5…
08-14 00:50:00	Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x43ba9f…
08-13 23:49:31	Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xe82a31…
08-13 22:24:19	Will "The Odyssey" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 21m?	No	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x2f73c7…
08-13 15:27:09	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	1	62¢	$0	0x229123…
08-13 15:26:57	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xe16ccb…
08-13 15:26:55	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xa71beb…
08-13 15:26:43	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x440ec2…
08-13 12:12:27	Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$8	0xecf993…
08-13 12:12:25	Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?	No	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0x8c937e…
08-13 04:57:58	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 72m?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc8d080…
08-13 04:24:21	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 72m?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x77bb5a…
08-13 04:18:55	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x01ad18…
08-13 04:18:54	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	19	38¢	$7	0xba0a13…
08-13 04:18:54	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x05e001…
08-13 04:18:52	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x62de16…
08-12 21:23:43	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	Yes	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xac46af…
08-12 20:04:10	mlb mil sd 2026 08 12	San Diego Padres	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x8c714b…
08-12 17:44:27	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xefa969…
08-12 16:28:33	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x99a4b1…
08-12 16:26:07	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xd0caf9…
07-30 11:26:59	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	Yes	SELL	11	77¢	$9	0xb35a44…
07-30 11:25:47	will trump say whale in july 20260702143051782	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x366720…
07-30 11:24:57	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	Yes	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xeb16e3…
07-30 11:23:00	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0x8b4b39…
07-30 11:22:03	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x4011bf…
07-30 01:53:48	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0xe640dc…
07-30 00:55:14	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0x43f063…
07-29 22:49:42	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x7ac25d…
07-29 22:49:36	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xdee13f…
07-29 21:09:23	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x45e82c…
07-29 17:18:35	will warsh say oil during july press conference 20260720204109045	Yes	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xc5f805…
07-29 10:16:20	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0x7b7778…
07-29 06:47:41	Will Aaron Donald sign his next NFL contract by July 29, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xac2795…
07-29 03:52:33	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	Yes	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x49a503…
07-28 21:22:13	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	Yes	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xa7bbd2…
07-28 17:12:34	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	Yes	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x2ddcf7…
07-28 16:44:43	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xf90d44…
07-28 15:31:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x95a0cc…
07-25 20:29:39	Will "Minions & Monsters" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8726b3…
07-25 20:29:37	Will "Minions & Monsters" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9da5e4…
07-22 04:28:09	mlb oak ari 2026 07 21	Athletics	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x0c66b2…
07-22 04:26:07	mlb oak ari 2026 07 21	Athletics	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0xa20720…
07-22 03:00:42	mlb wsh col 2026 07 21	Washington Nationals	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x4d0af0…
07-20 22:41:22	will trump speak to andy burnham in july 20260720151658724	No	BUY	81	5¢	$4	0xc3a398…
07-20 22:41:06	will trump speak to andy burnham in july 20260720151658724	No	BUY	69	5¢	$3	0x06d2c9…
07-20 22:39:13	will trump speak to andy burnham in july 20260720151658724	No	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x37beef…
07-20 22:35:07	will trump speak to andy burnham in july 20260720151658724	No	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x19a093…
07-20 19:23:13	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 130m and 135m?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x35ca35…
07-20 15:58:04	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	60	43¢	$26	0xa9c4ea…
07-20 14:03:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	65	45¢	$29	0x909d8d…
07-20 14:00:49	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x7078ce…
07-20 11:51:21	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x32dbb3…
07-20 07:21:46	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x8c1208…
07-20 04:09:21	will aaron donald sign his next nfl contract on july 29 20260715184747646	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xffb9a1…
07-20 04:04:37	Will "Moana" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 17.5m and 19m?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x1691c6…
07-20 02:52:03	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on july 22 20260717153521447	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x2c9d93…
07-20 02:34:48	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on july 24 20260717153521449	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x1aa090…
07-20 02:34:04	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on july 24 20260717153521449	No	SELL	4	84¢	$4	0x9b1b17…
07-19 22:31:03	Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x263aed…
07-19 21:17:15	Will Donald Trump be shown 0-2 times at the World Cup Final?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x247554…
07-19 20:45:52	Will Donald Trump be shown 0-2 times at the World Cup Final?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xcaf537…
07-19 19:01:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x015547…
07-19 18:15:00	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 130m and 135m?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdda63a…
07-19 18:11:03	will anyone say sword during house of the dragon e5 s3 20260714143303786	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xed56d2…
07-19 17:22:45	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 130m and 135m?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc19092…
07-19 16:04:45	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xddc708…
07-19 16:04:45	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xa4463c…
07-19 14:55:19	will anyone say prayer during house of the dragon e5 s3 20260714143303783	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x893d6e…
07-19 14:49:01	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on july 24 20260717153521449	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xe7ee7a…
07-19 14:46:31	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on july 24 20260717153521449	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x17267c…
07-19 14:42:03	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on july 24 20260717153521449	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xb5b1af…
07-19 14:41:51	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on july 24 20260717153521449	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x83c6b0…
07-19 14:12:19	Will "Moana" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 17.5m and 19m?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xfa4678…
07-19 10:59:22	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x9f6e5b…
07-19 10:59:03	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x9ccb89…
07-19 10:58:54	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x7725a8…
07-19 09:12:22	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0x22aee8…
07-19 07:45:07	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xc08ba1…
07-19 07:45:07	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x6b25a9…
07-19 07:45:07	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x5ba1df…