Curvy-Cello — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$27

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

40.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

$66

1 position

First seen

2026-01-13

last 08-06 09:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

86% 89% +$26

Crypto

9% 100% +$1

Sports

5% 0% —

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-06).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+67	$66	100¢	$66	+$0	06-03 06:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx opens up or down on march 6 2026	9	$922	677	677	+0	Down	-$1	03-06 18:20
nflx up or down on march 6 2026	2	$519	285	285	+0	Down	+$46	03-06 21:14
spx up or down on march 6 2026	3	$117	107	107	+0	Down	-$19	03-06 10:34
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$97	48,440	48,440	+0	No	+$0	06-16 12:02
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$66	67	0	+67	open	—	06-03 06:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	05-06 07:30
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-06 07:31
will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	01-13 08:07
will solana dip to 40 in january 2026	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	01-13 08:07
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 100 119	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	02-04 07:42
Fogo FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	01-13 08:07
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	01-13 08:08
will solana dip to 30 in january 2026	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	01-13 08:07
Fogo FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	01-13 08:07
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	1	$7	8	0	+8	Yes	+$1	01-13 08:08
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 80 99	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	02-04 07:41
Will XRP reach $1.50 on May 3?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-03 12:33
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 60 79	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	02-04 07:41
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on May 3?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	05-03 12:33
will xrp dip to 0pt4 in january 2026	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	01-13 08:08
will google gemini be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	02-04 07:42
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	1	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	02-04 07:42
will the great divide noah kahan be the 1 song on us spotify this week	1	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	02-04 07:42
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 4?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	05-03 12:34
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 3?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	05-03 12:34
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 3?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-03 12:34
will upscrolled be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	02-04 07:42
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 4?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-03 12:35
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 4?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-03 12:35
will artemis ii launch by february 7	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	02-04 07:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 09:25:51	will xauusd dip to 3600 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd64926…
07-07 06:06:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc2ff29…
06-16 12:02:15	Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	48,440	0¢	$48	0x83da47…
06-16 11:15:09	Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	48,440	0¢	$48	0x370b44…
06-03 06:30:23	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x0d4775…
05-06 07:31:16	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xfb3cc1…
05-06 07:30:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x60d8f3…
05-03 12:35:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on May 4?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1604e3…
05-03 12:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 4?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x807845…
05-03 12:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 4?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x984d03…
05-03 12:34:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 4?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x787d15…
05-03 12:34:18	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 3?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6768d5…
05-03 12:34:06	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 3?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x56fdec…
05-03 12:34:00	Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on May 3?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x7b128f…
05-03 12:33:54	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on May 3?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe5bdbf…
05-03 12:33:42	Will XRP reach $1.50 on May 3?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x52bdf0…
05-03 12:33:32	Will XRP reach $1.55 on May 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8e8033…
05-03 12:33:26	Will XRP reach $1.60 on May 3?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x507cbd…
05-03 12:33:18	Will XRP dip to $1.30 on May 3?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5610d4…
05-03 12:33:12	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on May 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x40f2fa…
05-03 12:33:04	Will XRP dip to $1.20 on May 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb503e7…
03-06 21:14:19	nflx up or down on march 6 2026	Down	SELL	285	99¢	$282	0x502803…
03-06 18:21:13	nflx up or down on march 6 2026	Down	BUY	285	83¢	$237	0xff16ae…
03-06 18:20:19	spx opens up or down on march 6 2026	Down	SELL	237	100¢	$237	0xb54d2d…
03-06 11:15:01	spx opens up or down on march 6 2026	Down	BUY	87	81¢	$71	0x8edc9b…
03-06 10:56:09	spx opens up or down on march 6 2026	Down	BUY	150	73¢	$109	0x0d07a7…
03-06 10:34:35	spx up or down on march 6 2026	Up	SELL	107	46¢	$49	0xa81691…
03-06 10:32:57	spx opens up or down on march 6 2026	Up	SELL	105	31¢	$33	0x185369…
03-06 09:20:31	spx opens up or down on march 6 2026	Up	SELL	23	44¢	$10	0x21c7b5…
03-06 09:20:17	spx opens up or down on march 6 2026	Up	SELL	92	44¢	$41	0xb85385…
03-06 08:04:09	spx opens up or down on march 6 2026	Up	BUY	220	64¢	$141	0xc11914…
03-06 07:22:25	spx opens up or down on march 6 2026	Up	SELL	220	64¢	$141	0x1c3876…
03-06 07:09:15	spx opens up or down on march 6 2026	Up	BUY	220	64¢	$141	0xedc9e8…
03-06 07:03:55	spx up or down on march 6 2026	Up	BUY	83	64¢	$53	0x16d498…
03-06 07:01:27	spx up or down on march 6 2026	Up	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x304c1f…
02-04 07:43:06	will artemis ii launch by february 28	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc8e053…
02-04 07:42:48	will artemis ii launch by february 7	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb557d8…
02-04 07:42:40	will upscrolled be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x05839e…
02-04 07:42:32	will google gemini be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb24484…
02-04 07:42:26	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xfdea94…
02-04 07:42:08	will the great divide noah kahan be the 1 song on us spotify this week	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x1dc795…
02-04 07:42:00	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 100 119	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x31a409…
02-04 07:41:54	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 80 99	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x634878…
02-04 07:41:48	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 60 79	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdaa538…
01-13 08:08:27	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x27611c…
01-13 08:08:15	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x2d13c1…
01-13 08:08:03	will xrp dip to 0pt4 in january 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6311ca…
01-13 08:07:53	will solana dip to 40 in january 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x82a7cd…
01-13 08:07:47	will solana dip to 30 in january 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x58ba12…
01-13 08:07:35	Fogo FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x1038f7…
01-13 08:07:31	Fogo FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa86606…
01-13 08:07:19	will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x59ed13…