Eminent-Innervation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

-$709

Hit rate

57.7%

Resolved

394

Trades

1,024

lifetime

Volume

$111.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

$2.44K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-15

last 11-04 19:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Politics

52% 55% +$949

Other

35% 52% -$955

Sports

13% 56% +$34

Crypto

0% 51% -$44

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes		+5,357	$3,147	46¢	$2.4K	-$709	11-05 00:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	21	$17.2K	8,945	8,945	+0	No	+$201	04-04 14:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	48	$5.6K	7,836	7,836	+0	No	-$117	04-21 14:26
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	3	$4.6K	16,273	16,273	+0	No	-$292	04-07 21:26
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	5	$4.2K	4,200	0	+4,200	Yes	+$38	04-06 00:44
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	9	$3.9K	2,003	2,003	+0	Yes	+$1	04-11 03:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	4	$3.8K	2,961	2,961	+0	No	+$30	04-07 19:20
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	18	$3.8K	2,278	2,278	-0	Yes	-$16	05-14 03:03
italy nordio reform referendum passes	6	$3.7K	4,045	2,772	+1,273	No	-$69	03-23 16:07
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	13	$3.1K	5,357	0	+5,357	open	—	11-05 00:08
nba min den 2026 04 20	8	$3.1K	5,575	5,575	+0	Timberwolves	-$3	04-20 14:47
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$3.1K	1,544	1,544	+0	No	+$12	04-01 11:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	21	$3.0K	2,743	2,743	+0	No	+$19	05-29 03:31
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$3.0K	1,506	1,506	+0	Yes	+$5	04-09 22:55
Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?	22	$2.8K	2,048	2,039	+9	Yes	-$89	04-27 11:48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	5	$2.6K	1,800	1,800	+0	No	-$335	04-21 16:02
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	2	$2.3K	1,177	1,177	+0	Yes	-$5	03-29 16:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$2.3K	2,900	2,900	+0	No	-$174	04-28 13:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	11	$1.9K	1,234	1,234	+0	No	+$47	05-02 18:53
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	7	$1.9K	3,054	3,054	+0	No	-$481	04-21 14:36
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	6	$1.8K	2,355	263	+2,091	Yes	+$519	04-07 22:33
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	3	$1.6K	2,301	0	+2,301	No	+$709	11-01 16:56
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	5	$1.2K	1,523	352	+1,171	Yes	+$375	10-29 03:34
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	22	$1.2K	1,474	1,474	+0	Yes	-$149	03-29 12:14
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 10 million	13	$1.1K	723	853	-130	Yes	+$50	02-16 04:12
Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?	3	$967	2,525	2,525	+0	No	-$144	04-22 12:26
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	8	$963	1,340	0	+1,340	No	+$376	11-02 21:02
cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06 spread home 7pt5	26	$962	1,010	997	+13	Connecticut Huskies	-$170	04-07 02:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	7	$949	651	650	+0	Yes	+$81	06-16 15:01
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?	7	$814	480	480	+0	Yes	+$4	04-17 21:37
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	4	$788	488	488	+0	No	-$12	02-18 15:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 00:08:34	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	253	45¢	$114	0x5f915d…
11-04 19:39:55	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x86162c…
11-04 19:39:31	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	182	45¢	$82	0x451dfd…
11-04 18:32:16	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	250	41¢	$102	0xc1613c…
11-04 18:32:03	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	27	41¢	$11	0x5283fb…
11-04 18:31:58	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xdb1a1f…
11-04 18:31:58	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4a4bca…
11-04 18:31:57	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	21	41¢	$9	0xfd5f6c…
11-04 18:22:37	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	284	58¢	$165	0x086724…
11-04 18:22:37	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	898	58¢	$521	0x0150d8…
11-04 18:22:36	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	418	58¢	$243	0x9a5ecc…
11-04 17:43:00	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,990	63¢	$1,884	0x7ea184…
11-04 17:43:00	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x4c21b1…
11-02 21:02:16	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	62	78¢	$49	0xa25085…
11-02 21:01:33	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	144	34¢	$49	0x8891f0…
11-02 20:59:18	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	144	35¢	$50	0x2a430b…
11-02 20:20:36	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	143	36¢	$51	0x6203b5…
11-02 15:31:33	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	335	73¢	$245	0x80677b…
11-02 15:16:33	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	339	73¢	$248	0xdc4ed3…
11-01 16:56:48	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,130	70¢	$791	0xd74675…
10-31 16:20:55	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	368	71¢	$261	0xa31fdc…
10-31 15:35:03	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	841	31¢	$261	0xb4720d…
10-31 11:16:12	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	42	70¢	$29	0x0e3626…
10-31 00:32:30	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x528949…
10-31 00:28:03	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0x5831ae…
10-31 00:27:52	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x857ad1…
10-31 00:27:42	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	37¢	$6	0x0375ca…
10-31 00:26:28	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0xc3e2c2…
10-31 00:26:16	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x50cff7…
10-31 00:22:33	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	37¢	$6	0xfa40ad…
10-31 00:21:37	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0x05ff7e…
10-31 00:21:13	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x4781c2…
10-31 00:07:06	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x614e90…
10-30 23:44:21	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0xcb7241…
10-30 23:28:31	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	85	70¢	$59	0x4e68a6…
10-30 23:13:21	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	37¢	$5	0x426a85…
10-30 22:02:34	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xeb3901…
10-30 21:21:36	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xef7edf…
10-30 21:04:48	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x22da56…
10-30 21:01:15	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	38¢	$30	0xe20435…
10-30 21:01:15	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	38¢	$30	0x639c20…
10-29 03:34:47	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	432	69¢	$298	0x0e8b47…
10-29 03:34:20	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	435	69¢	$300	0xd699b8…
10-28 21:10:19	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	66	67¢	$44	0x6e0431…
10-28 21:09:47	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	179	25¢	$44	0xa0b87d…
10-28 19:33:20	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	42	67¢	$28	0x3bf687…
10-28 19:31:49	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	107	27¢	$29	0xfb2f30…
10-28 19:09:22	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	176	67¢	$118	0xd5864e…
10-28 19:08:05	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	395	38¢	$150	0x2c1e51…
10-28 19:01:38	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	684	37¢	$253	0xaeb928…
10-28 19:00:47	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0xf73a60…
10-28 19:00:13	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0x4d9427…
10-28 02:02:50	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	416	66¢	$275	0xc81d6e…
10-28 01:03:57	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0x7f31cf…
10-27 16:17:59	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	432	68¢	$294	0xfe2ee0…
10-27 16:17:02	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	735	68¢	$500	0xd0d4af…
10-26 22:51:45	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	307	65¢	$199	0x5921b0…
10-26 22:49:02	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	301	67¢	$203	0x9c8901…
10-26 17:59:15	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	301	73¢	$220	0xfdf45f…
10-26 17:54:27	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	352	64¢	$224	0x04143b…
10-26 13:44:39	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	352	65¢	$229	0x53b823…
10-05 03:27:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	32	83¢	$26	0x2100ef…
10-04 18:23:37	Patriots vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x97d231…
10-04 18:23:04	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x5f95ed…
08-28 02:09:36	Steelers vs. Bills	Bills	SELL	273	100¢	$273	0x23857d…
08-27 22:05:37	Steelers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	273	60¢	$164	0x13bd5f…
08-22 20:57:12	nfl buf cle 2026 08 22	Bills	SELL	318	100¢	$318	0x85b88b…
08-22 16:45:31	nfl buf cle 2026 08 22	Bills	BUY	318	44¢	$140	0x5b6ad2…
07-03 06:21:46	Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	417	7¢	$30	0xeef46b…
07-01 22:36:05	Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	417	1¢	$5	0x977eef…
06-16 15:01:11	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	423	99¢	$420	0x643662…
06-15 03:51:51	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14 pereira win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	49	44¢	$22	0xf322ab…
06-15 03:51:28	ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14	Sean O'Malley	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x41eb9e…
06-14 23:39:27	UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Sean O'Malley	BUY	22	79¢	$17	0x1fafff…
06-14 23:38:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	18	94¢	$17	0x2f6dff…
06-14 21:45:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	307	78¢	$239	0x7221b4…
06-14 21:44:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	281	85¢	$239	0x8afde1…
06-14 21:39:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	65¢	$75	0x7457fa…
06-14 21:39:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	76	99¢	$76	0x33d1ad…
06-14 21:36:42	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	76	99¢	$76	0x9f60c8…
06-14 21:34:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	120	63¢	$75	0xb242eb…
06-14 21:34:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	120	67¢	$80	0x510108…
06-14 21:22:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	219	76¢	$166	0xadff55…
06-14 16:54:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x402ba5…
06-14 16:53:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xe5e7cc…
06-14 01:18:28	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	128	23¢	$30	0x647ed6…
06-14 00:25:33	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x03adf7…
06-14 00:24:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	29	68¢	$20	0x243672…
06-14 00:24:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	48¢	$36	0xc7b43c…
06-11 21:10:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xdedcff…
06-11 21:10:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	31	66¢	$20	0xb8f11e…
06-09 03:33:42	Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	Yes	SELL	532	41¢	$219	0x36f8c0…
06-08 04:10:36	Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	316	46¢	$146	0x26c59c…
06-08 02:14:58	Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	216	46¢	$100	0x8e60ad…
06-05 04:39:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	25¢	$4	0xa9304e…
06-05 04:39:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0x43a6c3…
06-05 04:38:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x3f0b85…
06-05 04:38:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xeddbe1…
06-04 07:17:37	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	49	54¢	$26	0xf23716…
06-04 07:16:58	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x609c94…