Harmless-Fascia — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$191

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

77.7%

Resolved

3,112

Trades

5,266

lifetime

Volume

$33.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-28 21:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 231 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 68% -$247

Other

7% 79% +$72

Sports

1% 70% -$21

Politics

0% 67% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes		-15	-$1	4¢	$-1	+$1	06-20 14:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 00:30 UTC	5	$55	66	41	+24	Down	-$10	02-08 00:41
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 12:25 UTC	3	$43	25	25	+0	Up	+$7	04-17 12:30
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 15:30 UTC	2	$42	25	25	+0	Up	+$7	04-17 15:34
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 16:35 UTC	2	$42	24	24	+0	Down	+$6	04-17 16:40
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 16:05 UTC	2	$42	26	25	+1	Down	+$8	04-17 16:10
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 13:15 UTC	2	$42	24	24	+0	Down	+$5	04-17 13:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 15:15 UTC	9	$41	45	32	+12	Down	-$5	02-23 15:25
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 11:10 UTC	2	$41	24	24	+0	Down	+$7	04-17 11:15
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 15:25 UTC	2	$41	24	24	+0	Down	+$7	04-17 15:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 15:45 UTC	9	$41	49	32	+16	Up	-$25	02-10 15:56
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 10:35 UTC	2	$41	23	23	+0	Down	+$4	04-17 10:40
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 14:40 UTC	2	$40	23	23	+0	Up	+$6	04-17 14:45
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 10:20 UTC	2	$40	23	22	+0	Down	+$5	04-17 10:25
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 08:10 UTC	2	$39	23	23	+0	Down	+$6	04-17 08:15
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 08:50 UTC	2	$38	22	21	+0	Up	+$4	04-17 08:54
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:55 UTC	2	$38	23	22	+0	Up	+$7	04-17 08:00
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 15:10 UTC	2	$37	22	22	+0	Up	+$6	04-16 15:15
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:45 UTC	2	$36	22	21	+1	Down	+$7	04-17 05:50
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 08:40 UTC	2	$36	21	21	+0	Up	+$5	04-17 08:45
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 09:05 UTC	3	$35	20	20	+0	Up	+$4	04-17 09:10
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 21:20 UTC	2	$35	21	21	+0	Down	+$6	04-17 21:25
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 09:55 UTC	4	$35	20	20	+0	Down	+$5	04-17 10:00
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 16:25 UTC	2	$35	21	20	+0	Up	+$6	04-15 16:30
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 15:55 UTC	2	$34	20	20	+0	Down	+$5	04-15 16:00
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 13:40 UTC	2	$34	20	19	+0	Up	+$5	04-16 13:45
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 14:50 UTC	2	$34	20	20	+0	Up	+$5	04-16 14:55
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 21:55 UTC	2	$34	20	20	+0	Down	+$6	04-17 22:00
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 15:20 UTC	2	$34	22	21	+1	Down	+$9	04-17 15:25
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 21:45 UTC	2	$33	19	19	+0	Down	+$5	04-16 21:50
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 17:25 UTC	2	$32	18	18	+0	Down	+$4	04-16 17:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 21:30:04	Spread: Clippers (-10.5)	Lakers	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xb14aa0…
10-28 19:31:04	Spread: Clippers (-6.5)	Lakers	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xe7f4e9…
10-28 18:52:31	Spread: Kraken (-1.5)	Maple Leafs	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x9195c8…
10-28 18:50:46	Spread: Raptors (-11.5)	Magic	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x517dab…
10-28 18:16:23	Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)	Thunder	BUY	0	74¢	$0	0x17eea2…
10-28 18:15:53	Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)	Thunder	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa57b13…
10-28 15:37:11	Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)	Bologna FC 1909	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x7bb9bb…
10-27 21:48:36	Spread: Kings (-1.5)	Blackhawks	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x0630f7…
10-27 15:55:18	Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)	Cagliari Calcio	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x2b5fce…
10-26 19:44:59	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x98185f…
10-26 03:25:05	Spread: Cowboys (-10.5)	Eagles	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x87ce9a…
10-25 21:27:09	Spread: Grizzlies (-9.5)	Kings	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xe6186e…
10-25 19:59:54	Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)	Seahawks	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xcbe520…
10-25 14:03:35	Spread: Texans (-17.5)	Giants	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xe3ba13…
10-25 10:39:18	Spread: Panthers (-9.5)	Buccaneers	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x16d4e9…
10-25 03:51:48	Spread: Panthers (-7.5)	Buccaneers	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x3306b7…
10-25 03:42:57	Spread: Raiders (-3.5)	Rams	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x0033d5…
10-25 01:39:57	Spread: Lions (-10.5)	Packers	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x6888d6…
10-25 00:49:20	Spread: Ravens (-3.5)	Bengals	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xb6cd7a…
10-24 18:50:02	Spread: Vikings (-14.5)	Colts	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x0ef287…
10-24 14:22:24	Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)	Chiefs	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x3a976a…
10-24 12:14:35	Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)	Tottenham Hotspur FC	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xfa0ccd…
10-24 08:35:18	Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)	Chiefs	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x00457d…
10-24 04:01:23	Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)	Chiefs	BUY	6	76¢	$4	0xfc085d…
10-24 02:27:42	Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xeb8506…
10-23 23:00:42	Spread: Lakers (-18.5)	Clippers	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x6f9fb2…
10-23 18:03:47	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x0a1f61…
10-22 17:01:47	Spread: Ravens (-7.5)	Bengals	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xa9b1ba…
10-22 16:54:20	Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)	AC Milan	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x99d1b0…
10-22 16:32:14	Will KAA Gent win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x7ad919…
10-22 09:25:12	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x17f9ce…
10-22 07:24:39	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xed098a…
10-21 16:46:03	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-3.5)	RB Leipzig	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x088ed5…
10-21 15:44:54	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x24b7f4…
10-21 09:43:08	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x7eb634…
10-20 20:36:14	Will Club León FC win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x6ac535…
10-20 20:08:09	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x160362…
10-20 16:37:23	Spread: Manchester City FC (-3.5)	AEK	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x29a335…
10-20 14:46:38	Spread: Devils (-1.5)	Avalanche	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xaa3177…
10-20 09:31:14	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x89888b…
10-19 20:18:36	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x30c1fe…
10-19 13:59:23	Spread: 49ers (-14.5)	Commanders	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xa77cf9…
10-19 07:52:11	Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-10-19?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x63d4f0…
10-19 05:54:47	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xdfe695…
10-18 20:18:21	Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-09-05?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x0d33bb…
10-18 13:29:45	Spread: Bears (-6.5)	Falcons	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x794400…
10-18 12:41:03	Spread: Colts (-14.5)	Titans	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x28a5fe…
10-18 12:23:51	Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)	Steelers	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xdc8f86…
10-18 10:52:27	Will Málaga CF win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x31b13d…
10-18 10:28:59	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xb7f7b6…
10-18 08:29:14	Spread: Texans (-6.5)	Jaguars	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xe249f4…
10-18 05:19:05	Spread: Bears (-6.5)	Falcons	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x3725c0…
10-18 03:16:15	Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-09-05?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x3daf50…
10-18 00:47:21	Spread: Eagles (-3.5)	Panthers	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xee07af…
10-17 23:41:30	Spread: Browns (-3.5)	Ravens	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x26203a…
10-17 20:38:14	Spread: Texans (-3.5)	Jaguars	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xd88dd0…
10-17 20:38:14	Spread: Texans (-3.5)	Jaguars	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xccff91…
10-17 15:08:33	Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x487580…
10-16 23:01:47	Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-09-05?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x4fc844…
10-16 15:18:27	Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-16?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xab2e45…
10-16 13:39:06	Will Burnley FC win on 2026-10-16?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x6ad270…
10-16 12:09:13	Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x45d056…
10-15 21:40:12	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x8962eb…
10-15 21:00:51	Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x50d742…
10-15 14:47:41	Spread: AZ (-2.5)	MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xf2b5ad…
10-15 10:57:37	Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x0e07dc…
10-15 01:20:52	lal bet bar 2026 10 17 spread away 2pt5	Real Betis Balompié	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x7173b8…
10-14 21:10:00	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14 spread away 1pt5	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x8e7d23…
10-14 20:22:07	Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xbcf6e6…
10-14 15:51:52	ucl mnc psg 2026 10 14 spread home 1pt5	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xf7ab75…
10-14 15:10:21	ucl rom rma 2026 10 14 spread away 1pt5	AS Roma	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x69b85c…
10-14 14:36:18	Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xc9f602…
10-14 13:34:20	Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x896ef3…
10-14 08:59:02	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xa362a8…
10-14 07:49:01	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x01f6ac…
10-13 23:04:00	Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x0c8b9a…
10-13 17:25:54	nhl col dal 2026 10 13 spread away 1pt5	Stars	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xf7a998…
10-13 16:22:13	nhl stl ott 2026 10 13 spread away 1pt5	Senators	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x9274df…
10-13 14:15:11	Spread: SK Slavia Praha (-1.5)	Sabah FK	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x432c46…
10-13 14:00:26	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xba6d99…
10-13 13:58:50	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x128fec…
10-13 12:24:53	Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)	Manchester United FC	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x553a6d…
10-13 11:52:50	Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)	PSV	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xceee73…
10-12 21:06:36	Spread: Spurs (-3.5)	Jazz	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xfbfde7…
10-12 20:28:53	Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-10-12?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xa39d74…
10-12 19:22:20	Spread: Spurs (-3.5)	Jazz	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x618bc6…
10-12 16:10:45	Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)	Wild	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xfc700d…
10-12 13:16:36	Will SD Eibar win on 2026-10-12?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xd2ce12…
10-12 04:10:33	Spread: Bills (-3.5)	Rams	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x9a21f0…
10-11 18:37:18	Spread: Packers (-13.5)	Bears	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x7b43b0…
10-11 18:02:18	Spread: Packers (-14.5)	Bears	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xee02e4…
10-11 10:53:12	Spread: Bengals (-14.5)	Dolphins	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x3ab792…
10-11 10:41:17	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Liverpool FC	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x4f369d…
10-11 08:50:15	Spread: Steelers (-7.5)	Colts	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x576d5e…
10-10 23:01:09	Spread: Boise State (-20.5)	Fresno State	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xfd8178…
10-10 13:30:48	Spread: Indiana (-20.5)	Nebraska	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x86e2fd…
10-10 11:14:09	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xdbe604…
10-09 22:34:38	Spread: Nebraska (-0.5)	Indiana	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xee4ccb…
10-09 15:04:16	Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-2.5)	SV Werder Bremen	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x4950c1…
10-09 09:55:58	Will SC Braga win on 2026-10-09?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x021021…