Devoted-Chiffonier — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$49

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

104

Trades

129

lifetime

Volume

$1.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 10-29 15:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Politics

47% 91% +$47

Other

41% 99% +$2

Crypto

11% 100% +$0

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$205	104	104	+0	open	—	10-29 15:55
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$191	100	100	+0	open	—	10-28 06:16
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	4	$115	59	59	+0	No	+$0	09-01 04:51
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$0	09-07 03:13
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	2	$90	45	45	+0	No	+$0	08-14 05:05
LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?	2	$70	35	35	+0	Yes	+$0	09-10 04:42
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	2	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	09-01 07:38
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	10-05 07:37
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	1	$51	51	0	+51	No	+$0	09-21 22:27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	09-14 16:52
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$49	49	0	+49	Yes	+$0	08-05 07:51
untitled market 1 20260803235754057	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	08-14 05:46
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$43	44	0	+44	No	+$0	08-21 22:10
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$43	44	0	+44	Yes	+$0	08-17 10:01
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	2	$33	56	56	+0	open	—	10-17 11:55
will ethereum dip to 1600 in july 2026 from july 6	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	08-01 00:10
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	07-30 00:33
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	08-31 16:36
will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in march 2026	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	03-31 00:23
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in August?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	08-26 23:57
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	1	$15	16	0	+16	No	+$0	02-28 13:36
will nvda dip to 176 in july 2026	2	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	07-31 11:20
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$15	7	7	+0	No	+$0	10-05 14:03
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$14	60	0	+60	Yes	+$46	10-17 21:22
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	1	$11	12	0	+12	No	+$0	06-30 03:48
Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	06-28 15:54
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	10-05 07:40
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	02-25 07:38
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-30 11:40
Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$9	9	0	+9	Yes	+$0	05-14 09:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 15:55:37	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	104	99¢	$103	0xb74a63…
10-29 09:30:13	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	104	98¢	$102	0x311081…
10-28 06:16:16	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$98	0xdbaf3c…
10-27 21:10:15	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$94	0xac4fab…
10-27 12:32:05	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x96a389…
10-24 00:15:21	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	370	0¢	$0	0x0da5b8…
10-17 21:22:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	60	23¢	$14	0x5b4e79…
10-17 11:55:23	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	56	29¢	$16	0xbd8efd…
10-12 17:42:53	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	56	29¢	$16	0x83d573…
10-05 14:03:35	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xe60038…
10-05 07:40:01	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xddec5b…
10-05 07:37:04	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x72217b…
10-04 00:20:34	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x684498…
10-01 04:22:23	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x897495…
09-27 18:38:50	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x3f3593…
09-26 23:28:44	Will XRP reach $2.80 in September?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf0e215…
09-25 03:03:36	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9e1b8a…
09-24 15:19:57	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0x7eb00c…
09-22 16:23:06	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3b8105…
09-21 22:27:00	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xf988c1…
09-14 16:52:07	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb5a3b4…
09-10 04:42:51	LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xc8a3c5…
09-10 00:24:51	LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x9e3d5a…
09-07 03:13:10	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xd84f1f…
09-04 14:13:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x9cf4ff…
09-01 07:38:16	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xface8e…
09-01 04:51:36	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xf49f01…
09-01 02:03:18	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$34	0x9c5cd4…
08-31 16:36:51	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe020c5…
08-30 05:41:52	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x8991c4…
08-27 05:03:12	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1e8149…
08-26 23:57:22	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in August?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x5e6ec2…
08-26 16:38:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	43	96¢	$42	0x71f971…
08-26 09:09:06	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $670 in August?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc0ae81…
08-24 07:38:57	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	96¢	$42	0x94a91d…
08-23 11:00:54	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x20e7ea…
08-23 10:46:42	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x90392a…
08-23 10:44:37	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x1a2518…
08-23 10:31:18	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	0¢	$0	0x630680…
08-21 22:10:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0x65606e…
08-17 10:01:07	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0x8fe8b8…
08-17 07:32:19	will xagusd dip to 46 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x147c42…
08-14 05:46:43	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xb1f84d…
08-14 05:05:10	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x3764aa…
08-10 13:43:10	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x3c6ee1…
08-09 02:47:13	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5d7d88…
08-08 16:18:54	will wti reach 130 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x72ae82…
08-05 07:51:45	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xcecfc6…
08-01 00:10:06	will ethereum dip to 1600 in july 2026 from july 6	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xfc3a7e…
07-31 11:20:47	will nvda dip to 176 in july 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xec58c0…
07-31 03:47:18	will spy dip to 690 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf98cd8…
07-30 00:33:15	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xacd8b6…
07-29 19:40:09	will xagusd dip to 52 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7f82c4…
07-29 13:23:33	will nvda dip to 176 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x637be0…
07-27 09:57:12	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0181cc…
07-27 06:45:42	will xagusd dip to 44 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9a5956…
07-23 00:32:24	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026 444	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x50c6e0…
07-11 09:46:29	Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x420463…
07-10 08:59:44	Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x982b5e…
06-30 03:48:56	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x495f5c…
06-28 15:54:19	Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd9f118…
06-28 09:40:53	will gold gc hit high 4400 by end of june copy 20260609185905943	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf9a594…
06-28 07:10:35	will openais valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5c415a…
06-27 17:51:22	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x408361…
06-26 17:44:47	Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7cfc4a…
06-06 04:14:54	Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x4aa48c…
05-30 11:40:28	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf158c1…
05-24 06:55:31	Will Solana dip to $50 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc71ff2…
05-24 02:16:20	Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd0d675…
05-20 13:03:01	Will Solana reach $140 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdf70ed…
05-16 05:14:39	Will Sweden be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2e8d6f…
05-14 09:51:01	Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x554dee…
05-10 08:32:54	Will Alibaba have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4bd88d…
05-09 13:27:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe44a88…
05-09 01:00:43	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2e2def…
05-07 10:06:02	Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe0098d…
05-06 04:43:02	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa978a0…
05-05 16:47:48	Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xea71af…
05-05 14:08:16	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x815212…
05-05 06:38:06	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x821fd6…
04-21 14:15:32	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4533ac…
04-20 23:27:56	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x79c0f3…
04-19 11:45:48	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2053d0…
04-17 11:40:42	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd19ec2…
04-17 08:43:02	Will Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc35d06…
04-16 12:11:06	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe188d4…
04-15 15:37:36	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9a87eb…
04-14 16:03:03	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $240 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2c34d3…
04-14 02:22:47	Will XRP reach $2.20 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x365ef9…
04-06 14:55:39	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xf54e76…
04-05 07:45:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x0c5dc1…
03-31 00:23:17	will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in march 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xfa035f…
03-26 19:55:59	tsla above 430 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc5be18…
03-25 20:45:25	tsla above 430 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaa3a5b…
03-24 18:49:13	will xrp dip to 0pt4 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc775ab…
03-22 03:16:27	amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6d5d7b…
03-20 14:33:59	will elon musks net worth be between 700b and 710b on march 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc1d5fd…
03-17 14:36:31	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xeae705…
03-15 17:27:09	aapl above 310 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9a3702…
03-12 11:00:07	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5cdaa7…