Major-Dusk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$146

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$244

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 05-23 04:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

51% 100% +$162

Other

49% 0% $-16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?	1	$50	181	+181	open	—	04-01 17:00
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$50	161	+161	open	—	04-01 17:04
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	2	$30	1,116	+1,116	open	—	05-23 04:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$20	182	+182	Yes	+$162	03-30 22:07
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be negative?	1	$20	86	+86	open	—	03-30 21:48
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	1	$15	250	+250	open	—	03-30 22:20
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 160 179	1	$10	5,000	+5,000	open	—	04-01 00:05
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$10	143	+143	open	—	03-30 22:06
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	1	$5	242	+242	open	—	03-30 22:08
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?	1	$5	118	+118	open	—	04-01 04:46
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 140 159	1	$5	5,000	+5,000	open	—	04-01 00:05
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in April 2026?	1	$5	160	+160	open	—	04-01 04:46
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$5	104	+104	Yes	$-5	03-30 22:14
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$2	1,000	+1,000	No	$-2	03-30 22:12
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$2	95	+95	No	$-2	03-30 22:12
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$2	667	+667	No	$-2	03-30 22:12
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 180 199	1	$2	108	+108	open	—	04-01 00:17
Will Elon Musk post 1680-1759 tweets in April 2026?	1	$1	59	+59	open	—	04-01 04:46
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$1	143	+143	No	$-1	03-30 22:13
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$1	333	+333	No	$-1	03-30 22:13
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$1	1,000	+1,000	No	$-1	03-30 22:11
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$1	167	+167	No	$-1	03-30 22:13
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$1	77	+77	No	$-1	03-30 22:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 04:14:00	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	Yes	BUY	542	3¢	$15	0xaf5275…
05-23 03:54:40	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	Yes	BUY	574	3¢	$15	0x633adf…
04-01 17:04:21	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0x1df5e6…
04-01 17:00:27	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	181	28¢	$50	0x0c3022…
04-01 04:46:47	Will Elon Musk post 1680-1759 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xa7e6e3…
04-01 04:46:23	Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	4¢	$5	0x8209d9…
04-01 04:46:05	Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	3¢	$5	0x1225c9…
04-01 00:17:43	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 180 199	Yes	BUY	108	2¢	$2	0x94b8ab…
04-01 00:05:13	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 160 179	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x81514b…
04-01 00:05:11	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 140 159	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x399e93…
03-30 22:20:15	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	6¢	$15	0x2d0b79…
03-30 22:14:11	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	104	5¢	$5	0x0e9d3c…
03-30 22:13:55	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xa187bb…
03-30 22:13:49	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xba0e4d…
03-30 22:13:43	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x381aef…
03-30 22:13:33	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x8d11ab…
03-30 22:12:23	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0x8e1dad…
03-30 22:12:19	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x35590e…
03-30 22:12:13	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0xbb9a3a…
03-30 22:11:53	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x21f213…
03-30 22:08:45	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	242	2¢	$5	0x6b118d…
03-30 22:07:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x9d6890…
03-30 22:06:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x7dff71…
03-30 21:48:05	Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be negative?	Yes	BUY	86	23¢	$20	0x1f3fb9…