Dear-Jackfruit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.9%

Resolved

Trades

121

lifetime

Volume

$2.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 06-10 18:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

58% — —

Other

34% 0% —

Sports

9% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran leadership change by June 30?	8	$264	139	139	+0	open	—	06-05 11:43
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	10	$231	125	125	+0	open	—	05-21 07:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	7	$179	184	184	+0	open	—	06-05 06:40
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	11	$142	446	446	+0	open	—	05-29 11:36
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	6	$134	69	69	+0	open	—	04-27 09:10
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	4	$111	56	56	+0	open	—	06-06 18:59
Will Alberta join the US?	5	$107	97	97	+0	open	—	06-08 00:28
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	2	$104	54	54	+0	open	—	06-07 04:37
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	2	$104	91	91	+0	open	—	06-10 00:48
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	3	$95	74	74	+0	open	—	05-31 13:39
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	3	$91	49	49	+0	open	—	06-09 14:06
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$81	58	25	+33	open	—	04-14 19:16
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	5	$79	40	40	+0	open	—	04-13 14:42
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$73	40	36	+4	open	—	03-29 09:31
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	3	$72	65	65	+0	open	—	06-08 17:02
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$71	36	36	+0	open	—	04-03 21:35
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$65	34	34	+0	open	—	04-24 19:10
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	2	$64	34	34	+0	open	—	04-20 21:14
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$64	33	33	+0	open	—	04-08 16:49
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$64	34	34	+0	Yes	+$0	04-22 00:58
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$64	36	36	+0	No	+$0	04-21 18:52
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	2	$35	70	70	+0	open	—	06-10 06:25
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	3	$31	56	56	+0	open	—	06-08 12:11
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	3	$17	28	28	+0	open	—	06-07 13:19
Iran Nuke before 2027?	3	$17	86	86	+0	open	—	06-10 18:56
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	7	$13	292	292	+0	open	—	06-09 02:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$10	140	140	+0	open	—	05-16 23:10
Netanyahu out by April 30?	6	$8	151	151	+0	open	—	04-08 23:17
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$6	70	70	+0	open	—	05-30 22:47
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$3	40	40	+0	open	—	05-15 20:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 18:56:19	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	SELL	68	10¢	$7	0xd88396…
06-10 18:56:19	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	SELL	18	10¢	$2	0xc52b40…
06-10 11:21:34	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	86	10¢	$9	0xc31c1d…
06-10 06:25:31	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	SELL	70	25¢	$18	0xdd915f…
06-10 04:44:01	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	BUY	70	25¢	$18	0xb666a2…
06-10 00:48:34	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	SELL	91	58¢	$53	0x7b0985…
06-09 22:45:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	91	56¢	$51	0x99dd5b…
06-09 14:06:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	49	93¢	$46	0xfa95d2…
06-09 04:30:03	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	44	93¢	$41	0xcfc8c8…
06-09 04:30:03	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4dfc0e…
06-09 02:57:30	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	2¢	$1	0xf19cf0…
06-09 02:57:30	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	2¢	$1	0xcd2b05…
06-09 02:57:30	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0xa70ed4…
06-09 02:57:30	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	2¢	$1	0x1b1f28…
06-08 23:51:55	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	2¢	$2	0x88bcc7…
06-08 17:02:24	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	65	54¢	$35	0x8a566d…
06-08 15:33:30	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	29	57¢	$17	0xa38222…
06-08 15:33:30	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	36	57¢	$21	0x73222f…
06-08 12:11:34	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x1c9f85…
06-08 00:28:09	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	54	95¢	$52	0x50d6ee…
06-07 21:59:18	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	54	95¢	$51	0x8810fd…
06-07 13:19:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	28	30¢	$8	0x392df0…
06-07 10:56:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0xd980eb…
06-07 10:56:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0xb244c9…
06-07 04:37:51	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0x062b8a…
06-07 02:27:00	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0x739e60…
06-06 18:59:24	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0x213d28…
06-06 16:54:34	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x88757a…
06-06 09:23:16	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	53	28¢	$15	0xaf5dca…
06-06 05:37:40	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	56	28¢	$16	0xe2a309…
06-05 11:43:27	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0x27f6b3…
06-05 08:57:21	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x9d6e37…
06-05 06:40:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	75	49¢	$37	0x39d5b1…
06-05 02:30:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x267f08…
06-05 02:29:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x1ee377…
06-05 02:29:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x1c3493…
06-05 02:29:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	49¢	$23	0x13fa30…
06-04 22:31:49	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	37	96¢	$35	0xa01eea…
06-04 22:31:49	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x6133a6…
06-04 19:02:12	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xcb50c8…
06-02 21:09:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	109	49¢	$53	0xdffbce…
06-01 21:40:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	48¢	$52	0xb3aeac…
05-31 19:24:16	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	43	4¢	$2	0x0b6234…
05-31 17:13:22	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	13	4¢	$1	0x5f89b0…
05-31 17:13:22	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x33687e…
05-31 13:39:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	74	64¢	$47	0x81e08f…
05-31 11:30:47	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	33	64¢	$21	0xb5e1d1…
05-31 11:30:47	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	41	64¢	$26	0x8bfc71…
05-30 22:47:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	70	4¢	$3	0x1d9684…
05-30 19:04:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0xf820da…
05-30 13:12:59	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0x751833…
05-30 13:12:59	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	38	93¢	$35	0x41893b…
05-30 11:14:26	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	47	93¢	$44	0x580fe3…
05-29 18:35:28	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	140	2¢	$3	0x022fad…
05-29 15:48:00	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	4¢	$5	0x40bd81…
05-29 11:36:29	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	92	4¢	$4	0xed61e6…
05-29 11:36:29	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	4¢	$1	0xd862c6…
05-29 11:36:29	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	4¢	$1	0x5126fa…
05-29 09:05:31	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	153	4¢	$6	0x00dcec…
05-28 20:01:42	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x8aa12d…
05-28 18:38:08	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xe8050c…
05-28 03:45:49	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	7¢	$3	0xbe6e6e…
05-28 03:45:49	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x5a2f02…
05-27 23:54:17	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	7¢	$6	0xe45f56…
05-23 23:37:09	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	51	97¢	$49	0x254612…
05-23 21:37:14	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	94¢	$48	0x5032d0…
05-23 13:23:11	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	6¢	$9	0xaf3f0b…
05-23 09:09:38	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	7¢	$11	0x78be87…
05-21 07:28:26	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	35	90¢	$31	0x995c17…
05-21 07:28:26	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x47f976…
05-21 05:27:18	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	46	89¢	$41	0xc4ddc1…
05-19 23:10:57	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	39	94¢	$37	0xb976f6…
05-19 20:56:06	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x170e50…
05-19 16:12:28	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	41	94¢	$38	0xb52f25…
05-16 23:10:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	140	4¢	$5	0x13b3f7…
05-16 19:37:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	140	3¢	$5	0x3cc220…
05-15 20:21:36	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x8fe3eb…
05-15 19:16:37	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0xb7f02d…
05-10 11:42:42	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	26	94¢	$24	0xdfa451…
05-10 11:42:42	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0xd4ce43…
05-10 07:23:05	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xa53ec2…
05-10 07:23:05	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x347016…
04-27 09:10:10	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0xb5d820…
04-27 09:10:10	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	27	97¢	$26	0x870e5c…
04-27 09:09:22	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x903905…
04-26 10:42:18	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0x99ec93…
04-26 10:42:18	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x5274c2…
04-26 07:34:44	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x1a289a…
04-24 19:10:12	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	34	95¢	$32	0x374a87…
04-24 16:06:20	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	34	95¢	$32	0x8be1bb…
04-22 00:58:30	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xe86866…
04-22 00:58:30	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	31	94¢	$29	0x98b83b…
04-21 22:57:34	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xb53e08…
04-21 22:57:34	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	24	94¢	$23	0x4d2eee…
04-21 18:52:24	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	27	88¢	$24	0xbbfa58…
04-21 18:52:24	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0xa93c1c…
04-21 15:28:50	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	36	88¢	$32	0x1ed227…
04-20 21:14:50	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	34	94¢	$32	0x603768…
04-20 19:03:18	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	34	96¢	$32	0xfbe867…
04-14 19:16:02	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x9ff4cf…