Stained-Raft — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$399

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

812

lifetime

Volume

$390.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$481

Open exposure

$47

1 position

First seen

2026-01-31

last 09-02 23:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

77% 98% +$306

Crypto

16% 100% +$62

Sports

7% 100% +$29

Politics

0% 75% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+47	$46	99¢	$47	+$1	08-01 14:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol jdg al 2026 01 31 game2	78	$32.9K	33,098	+33,098	JD Gaming	+$33	01-31 12:06
lol al tes 2026 02 01 game1	15	$32.8K	32,885	+32,885	Anyone's Legend	+$35	02-01 13:48
lol drxc foxy 2026 02 02 game2	26	$30.0K	29,993	+29,993	DRX Challengers	+$30	02-02 10:08
cs2 vit 3dmax 2026 02 02	31	$29.2K	29,243	+29,243	Vitality	+$29	02-02 15:39
wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	46	$24.1K	24,125	+24,125	Samsonova	+$24	02-03 12:21
lol blg wb 2026 02 02	55	$22.7K	22,747	+22,747	Bilibili Gaming	+$23	02-02 15:49
lol blg ig1 2026 01 31	34	$22.1K	22,106	+22,106	Bilibili Gaming	+$22	01-31 14:26
bitcoin up or down february 3 2am et	1	$20.0K	20,000	+20,000	Up	+$20	02-03 08:00
lol t1 dk 2026 01 31 game3	36	$20.0K	20,000	+20,000	T1	+$20	01-31 10:50
nhl stl nsh 2026 02 02	2	$19.8K	19,820	+19,820	Predators	+$20	02-03 03:47
bitcoin up or down february 2 10am et	84	$15.2K	15,175	+15,175	Up	+$15	02-02 17:14
lol broc drxc 2026 02 03 game1	42	$11.6K	11,584	+11,584	DRX Challengers	+$12	02-03 10:17
elc lei cha 2026 01 31 lei	3	$11.3K	11,314	+11,314	No	+$11	01-31 14:30
lol t1a hle 2026 02 03 game2	46	$8.8K	8,794	+8,794	T1 Academy	+$9	02-03 08:55
nba sac was 2026 02 01 total 227pt5	1	$7.8K	7,795	+7,795	Over	+$8	02-02 04:36
ere exc aja 2026 02 01 exc	15	$7.7K	7,742	+7,742	No	+$8	02-01 13:39
lol al tes 2026 02 01	2	$6.1K	6,131	+6,131	Anyone's Legend	+$6	02-01 13:49
xrp up or down february 2 4am et	7	$6.0K	6,000	+6,000	Up	+$6	02-02 09:59
lol drxc foxy 2026 02 02 game1	33	$5.7K	5,713	+5,713	BNK FearX Youth	+$6	02-02 09:53
ere exc aja 2026 02 01 draw	21	$5.6K	5,562	+5,562	Yes	+$6	02-01 13:46
bitcoin up or down february 1 8am et	3	$5.4K	5,400	+5,400	Down	+$5	02-01 14:48
bl2 boc s04 2026 01 31 boc	9	$4.7K	4,723	+4,723	Yes	+$5	01-31 14:24
elc sto sot 2026 01 31 sot	9	$4.5K	4,497	+4,497	Yes	+$4	01-31 14:30
elc sto sot 2026 01 31 draw	15	$4.3K	4,298	+4,298	No	+$4	01-31 17:51
solana up or down february 2 4am et	10	$4.3K	4,265	+4,265	Up	+$4	02-02 10:25
lol drxc foxy 2026 02 02	8	$4.1K	4,098	+4,098	DRX Challengers	+$4	02-02 10:33
bitcoin up or down february 2 7am et	19	$3.0K	3,001	+3,001	Up	+$3	02-02 14:25
ethereum up or down february 2 10pm et	4	$2.4K	2,442	+2,442	Up	+$2	02-03 04:06
cbb iowa ore 2026 02 01	16	$2.1K	2,141	+2,141	Iowa Hawkeyes	+$2	02-02 05:34
atp tabur damm 2026 02 02	2	$1.9K	1,911	+1,911	Damm	+$2	02-02 15:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-02 23:15:21	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x594ee9…
08-19 08:27:45	will hyperliquid dip to 50 by december 31 2026 from june 8 456	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe11950…
08-19 08:27:42	will hyperliquid dip to 50 by december 31 2026 from june 8 456	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xcc2720…
08-01 14:07:20	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbf6e0b…
08-01 13:44:12	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x2f85d6…
08-01 13:36:29	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x487120…
08-01 13:15:59	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x02c978…
08-01 13:09:39	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x267c98…
08-01 12:13:32	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x3048f9…
08-01 10:59:14	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x80ffca…
08-01 10:55:12	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0xead8cd…
08-01 10:24:33	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x3a71c5…
08-01 10:11:57	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x8489a2…
07-31 06:11:03	lol ktc dnsc 2026 07 31	KT Rolster Challengers	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x1fc38f…
07-31 06:07:29	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	188	98¢	$185	0xae1d47…
07-26 13:57:24	crint zwe2 ind4 2026 07 26	India	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6c01fc…
07-26 13:57:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x0ea9f9…
07-26 13:57:12	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xd7ed66…
06-22 06:49:47	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x0b33c4…
06-08 13:17:24	Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x2daaf7…
06-08 13:17:16	Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x71fc1c…
06-08 13:17:10	Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x295f7c…
06-05 11:02:46	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xe3f2d6…
06-05 10:36:36	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xfd1811…
06-05 10:28:04	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x3870da…
05-18 07:23:09	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x44d2b4…
05-18 07:09:43	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4b6d2f…
05-18 07:08:12	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x529fa9…
05-18 05:56:11	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0x24a989…
05-09 14:23:02	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x633d28…
05-09 14:07:49	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x367275…
05-09 14:07:15	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x903797…
05-09 14:06:07	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd5c5a1…
05-09 14:05:44	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x262e17…
05-09 14:05:36	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x84757f…
04-16 03:39:44	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa04b3c…
04-16 03:39:24	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xfdfeb6…
03-27 12:11:47	will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of march	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x39f8e2…
03-17 06:30:21	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x13305e…
03-10 12:36:23	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2b1d0d…
03-10 11:07:33	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x0ce26f…
03-10 11:07:15	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x9a02e3…
02-28 06:57:29	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0xb03d57…
02-03 12:39:16	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	233	100¢	$232	0x605c45…
02-03 12:21:50	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	2,700	100¢	$2,697	0xfaa8ec…
02-03 12:21:30	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x5464c3…
02-03 12:10:40	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0d7b3b…
02-03 12:10:04	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0x8561c9…
02-03 12:08:26	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x755edd…
02-03 12:02:08	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x48f1da…
02-03 11:54:30	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4aadd7…
02-03 11:53:02	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	1,500	100¢	$1,498	0x1a755c…
02-03 11:52:10	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc50175…
02-03 11:41:48	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xf80913…
02-03 11:35:18	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	4,000	100¢	$3,996	0x3ba340…
02-03 11:32:28	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xdd5509…
02-03 11:30:12	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x7622c7…
02-03 11:27:42	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	766	100¢	$765	0xd6e9e2…
02-03 11:20:50	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0x6565f7…
02-03 11:17:28	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf2c5a6…
02-03 11:14:24	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	655	100¢	$654	0x212f5a…
02-03 11:11:06	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	347	100¢	$347	0x17b054…
02-03 11:02:50	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x18a766…
02-03 11:01:38	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xda531f…
02-03 10:59:42	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x819c40…
02-03 10:56:16	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xc8fe69…
02-03 10:55:04	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	72	100¢	$71	0x8eef3d…
02-03 10:53:48	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3031e9…
02-03 10:51:48	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	511	100¢	$511	0xc6d787…
02-03 10:51:48	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x3618cd…
02-03 10:51:02	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	495	100¢	$495	0xd86f2a…
02-03 10:49:38	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x30fac9…
02-03 10:41:14	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	3,896	100¢	$3,892	0x58b368…
02-03 10:40:54	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x104e18…
02-03 10:40:12	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x99dfec…
02-03 10:31:12	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xebb4ba…
02-03 10:30:32	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	145	100¢	$144	0x5e9fc2…
02-03 10:30:26	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	3,334	100¢	$3,331	0x7a27cb…
02-03 10:27:44	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	631	100¢	$630	0x3b1a38…
02-03 10:27:26	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2462f4…
02-03 10:27:22	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x996b34…
02-03 10:27:06	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc36f93…
02-03 10:26:50	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe22d95…
02-03 10:26:06	lol lng up 2026 01 16	LNG Esports	BUY	4	94¢	$3	0x1dd656…
02-03 10:25:56	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd9d7a7…
02-03 10:25:52	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9fbc4c…
02-03 10:25:50	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	2,662	100¢	$2,659	0x7ae270…
02-03 10:23:44	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x9da3e7…
02-03 10:23:24	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	194	100¢	$193	0x6402e9…
02-03 10:23:24	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2bf19b…
02-03 10:22:08	lol lng up 2026 01 16	LNG Esports	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xf3a9d0…
02-03 10:17:24	lol broc drxc 2026 02 03 game1	DRX Challengers	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xecf821…
02-03 10:15:44	wta samsono tjen 2026 02 03	Samsonova	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa7eb75…
02-03 10:11:12	lol broc drxc 2026 02 03 game1	DRX Challengers	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc080cb…
02-03 09:58:34	lol broc drxc 2026 02 03 game1	DRX Challengers	BUY	186	100¢	$185	0x9b4e8f…
02-03 09:43:54	lol broc drxc 2026 02 03 game1	DRX Challengers	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x1e29bb…
02-03 09:42:38	lol broc drxc 2026 02 03 game2	DRX Challengers	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x28690f…
02-03 09:42:24	lol broc drxc 2026 02 03 game1	DRX Challengers	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0xe48eea…
02-03 09:40:08	lol broc drxc 2026 02 03	DRX Challengers	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0xe63755…
02-03 09:38:02	lol broc drxc 2026 02 03 game1	DRX Challengers	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x06a8fc…