Deadly-Reform — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$97

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-20 04:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

67% 100% +$9

Crypto

18% 100% +$1

Tech

7% 100% +$1

Politics

5% 100% +$3

Sports

3% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No		+8	$8	100¢	$8	$0	10-06 07:03
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No		+0	-$1	100¢	$0	+$1	10-20 04:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	2	$421	211	211	+0	No	+$1	06-18 02:39
bitcoin above 86k on january 3	1	$320	320	0	+320	Yes	+$0	01-03 14:28
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	05-05 07:18
will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$282	286	0	+286	No	+$4	02-05 04:54
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$245	246	0	+246	No	+$1	01-16 08:24
will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	1	$245	245	0	+245	No	+$0	03-11 08:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	7	$229	115	115	+0	open	—	10-20 04:49
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on June 7?	1	$210	210	0	+210	No	+$0	06-06 09:10
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	1	$170	170	0	+170	No	+$0	05-25 11:04
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	1	$156	156	0	+156	No	+$0	07-07 11:29
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 120 139	1	$145	146	0	+146	No	+$1	04-01 03:54
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 580plus	1	$140	140	0	+140	No	+$0	04-17 05:46
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 380 399	1	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	04-17 05:45
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	1	$118	120	0	+120	No	+$2	07-07 11:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	1	$117	118	0	+118	No	+$1	09-11 08:01
will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	1	$107	107	0	+107	No	+$0	08-16 15:06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	1	$80	81	0	+81	No	+$1	05-25 11:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$66	35	35	+0	No	+$2	05-26 17:47
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	07-29 12:50
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$45	45	0	+45	Yes	+$0	01-26 06:46
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$40	41	0	+41	No	+$1	03-27 10:24
israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	01-16 08:23
Will BNB reach $1,200 in October?	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	10-19 08:08
will ethereum dip to 900 in august 2026	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	08-16 15:07
Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	10-06 07:03
Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	08-23 10:02
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	09-27 08:31
Will Egypt score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	07-07 11:31
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in September?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	09-11 08:02
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	08-23 10:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 04:49:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x092187…
10-20 04:39:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x03c875…
10-20 03:48:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x4c5fd4…
10-20 02:47:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$35	0xe81543…
10-20 02:29:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x83be79…
10-20 02:09:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x972554…
10-19 08:08:26	Will BNB reach $1,200 in October?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8022d6…
10-06 07:03:16	Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7a1934…
10-06 07:02:18	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0xe44023…
09-27 08:31:39	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6b99c6…
09-11 08:02:00	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in September?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x156882…
09-11 08:01:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	118	99¢	$117	0x85b993…
08-23 10:02:15	Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3b6cb0…
08-23 10:00:06	Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x261942…
08-16 15:07:37	will ethereum dip to 900 in august 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6fc5de…
08-16 15:06:39	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xea7876…
07-29 12:50:29	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x8731bd…
07-07 11:31:22	Will Egypt score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf55cab…
07-07 11:30:26	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	120	98¢	$118	0x5ae278…
07-07 11:29:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0xe4890f…
06-18 02:39:17	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	SELL	211	100¢	$211	0x552a1c…
06-17 11:40:50	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	211	99¢	$210	0x4ea9a9…
06-06 09:10:09	Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on June 7?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0xe2c54f…
05-26 17:47:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x2b3297…
05-25 11:05:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	BUY	81	98¢	$80	0x573f69…
05-25 11:04:49	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0xe588b3…
05-25 11:03:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	35	92¢	$32	0x2e4744…
05-05 07:18:40	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xf8f5b2…
04-17 05:46:42	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 580plus	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xa14d69…
04-17 05:45:48	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 380 399	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x69ef80…
04-01 03:54:39	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 120 139	No	BUY	146	100¢	$145	0x6d3512…
03-27 10:24:41	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xbc4f64…
03-11 08:01:05	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	245	100¢	$245	0xd9dd83…
02-05 04:54:43	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	286	99¢	$282	0x0988e4…
01-26 06:46:24	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0xe2079c…
01-16 08:24:24	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	246	100¢	$245	0xd6d027…
01-16 08:23:46	israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xfcabc2…
01-03 14:28:03	bitcoin above 86k on january 3	Yes	BUY	320	100¢	$320	0x55e0f3…