Honorable-Rice-Dawn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.89K

Unrealized P&L

+$365

Hit rate

42.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,214

lifetime

Volume

$131.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$108

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 06-29 16:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

69% — —

Other

31% 30% $-3,907

Sports

0% 100% +$22

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	-2,031	$-372	0¢	$-5	+$367	06-01 17:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+10	$3	25¢	$2	$-1	06-21 18:25
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	+10	$3	11¢	$1	$-2	06-08 22:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	24	$7.8K	8,882	4,966	+3,916	open	—	06-14 04:11
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	56	$6.8K	7,585	7,585	+0	open	—	06-14 04:18
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	35	$6.8K	4,610	5,010	-400	open	—	05-20 03:55
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	23	$5.8K	3,400	3,400	+0	open	—	05-24 17:48
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	12	$5.4K	2,669	4,700	-2,031	open	—	06-18 13:11
israel closes its airspace by july 31	16	$4.7K	3,492	3,492	+0	open	—	06-23 18:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	5	$4.6K	2,600	2,600	+0	open	—	06-01 16:52
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	52	$4.3K	4,302	3,952	+350	open	—	06-12 12:01
us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	6	$3.2K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	06-28 16:08
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	29	$3.0K	1,735	1,735	+0	open	—	06-23 18:24
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	17	$2.9K	1,747	1,747	+0	open	—	06-10 02:59
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	22	$2.2K	3,878	1,718	+2,160	open	—	05-25 21:29
Game Handicap: KRX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)	2	$2.2K	1,359	1,359	+0	open	—	05-04 08:49
Internet Access restored in Iran by December 31, 2026?	24	$2.1K	1,700	1,060	+639	open	—	05-28 16:57
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	15	$2.1K	1,100	1,100	-0	open	—	06-21 17:34
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	4	$2.0K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	06-03 04:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	16	$2.0K	4,800	4,800	+0	open	—	06-01 16:52
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	12	$1.8K	2,769	4,700	-1,931	open	—	06-18 13:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	13	$1.8K	1,320	1,320	+0	open	—	05-23 18:55
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	17	$1.7K	1,229	1,629	-400	open	—	05-29 19:05
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	17	$1.5K	1,560	1,560	+0	open	—	05-20 03:05
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)	10	$1.5K	2,143	0	+2,143	open	—	05-02 16:59
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)	3	$1.5K	1,363	650	+713	Dplus KIA	+$545	05-13 12:01
Internet Access restored in Iran by September 30, 2026?	26	$1.3K	1,003	703	+300	open	—	05-28 17:57
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	13	$1.3K	1,210	1,190	+20	open	—	05-29 19:05
israel closes its airspace by july 15	19	$1.3K	5,669	4,348	+1,322	open	—	06-23 18:24
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	10	$1.2K	1,610	60	+1,550	open	—	05-25 21:21
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	3	$1.1K	588	588	+0	open	—	06-07 11:28
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	8	$1.1K	1,211	0	+1,211	open	—	06-21 19:54
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	21	$1.0K	4,040	4,040	+0	open	—	05-19 08:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 16:38:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	100	57¢	$57	0x8dfcb4…
06-29 16:38:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	168	54¢	$91	0xeb9d3c…
06-29 16:37:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x2bb3bc…
06-29 16:37:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	200	57¢	$114	0xd45c3c…
06-29 16:36:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	205	57¢	$117	0x7ba59e…
06-29 16:36:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	47	58¢	$27	0xb2f916…
06-29 13:04:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	90	29¢	$26	0x3ad455…
06-29 12:34:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	59	73¢	$43	0x6e7792…
06-29 12:34:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	210	29¢	$61	0x6d6cad…
06-29 12:33:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$8	0x3efb34…
06-29 12:33:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	130	73¢	$95	0xeee161…
06-29 12:32:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0xcdcd28…
06-29 12:32:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xec7452…
06-29 12:32:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x8b86fd…
06-29 12:31:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xd46725…
06-29 04:53:25	lol t1 kc 2026 06 28 total games 3pt5	Under	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xb52033…
06-29 04:52:49	lol t1 kc 2026 06 28 total games 3pt5	Under	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x23ec9b…
06-29 03:27:55	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	2,010	23¢	$462	0xc7bb0f…
06-28 16:08:31	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	734	80¢	$587	0xea0761…
06-28 14:27:07	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	1,266	80¢	$1,013	0x462cdc…
06-25 07:02:41	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	71	80¢	$57	0xe6b778…
06-25 05:34:10	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	1,000	24¢	$240	0x45d14d…
06-25 05:33:58	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	929	80¢	$743	0x8f522e…
06-24 23:10:40	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	912	80¢	$729	0x2c686f…
06-24 20:25:47	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	88	80¢	$71	0x09b000…
06-24 18:10:50	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	1,000	24¢	$240	0x664e86…
06-24 18:09:20	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xb0e2c9…
06-23 21:10:58	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x2af9a5…
06-23 20:43:43	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x97f5b2…
06-23 18:24:44	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	191	97¢	$185	0x01e37a…
06-23 18:24:31	israel closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	SELL	3,600	6¢	$216	0xc3def5…
06-23 18:24:10	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	907	97¢	$877	0x70db12…
06-23 18:23:59	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	SELL	2,500	88¢	$2,200	0xc230a4…
06-23 02:15:29	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0xd8943a…
06-23 02:14:07	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xc8ca15…
06-22 13:00:38	israel closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	892	8¢	$71	0xaefec1…
06-22 13:00:23	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	BUY	900	86¢	$774	0x1efc9c…
06-22 11:07:29	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x3c42aa…
06-22 11:07:13	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	BUY	1,400	86¢	$1,204	0x17447a…
06-22 11:07:04	israel closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	1,500	8¢	$120	0x238251…
06-22 11:05:41	israel closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x862564…
06-22 11:05:29	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x67b0fc…
06-22 08:09:22	starmer out by june 24 2026	No	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x0e5e59…
06-22 03:02:19	starmer out by june 23 2026	No	BUY	48	16¢	$8	0x16e778…
06-22 03:01:59	starmer out by june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	48	85¢	$41	0x693e9d…
06-21 21:02:17	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfb3545…
06-21 20:15:49	starmer out by august 31 2026 593 871 753 427 452	No	BUY	150	3¢	$4	0x873b50…
06-21 20:15:32	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0xed5685…
06-21 20:15:02	starmer out by august 31 2026 593 871 753 427 452	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x7c3270…
06-21 20:14:47	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0x470585…
06-21 20:07:50	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	481	9¢	$43	0x26ce53…
06-21 19:57:10	starmer out by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6694b0…
06-21 19:54:04	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	88¢	$62	0x49a70b…
06-21 19:52:52	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	98¢	$296	0x6d69db…
06-21 19:52:32	starmer out by august 31 2026 593 871 753 427 452	No	BUY	261	2¢	$7	0x0a961d…
06-21 19:51:35	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	272	88¢	$239	0xe91acc…
06-21 19:51:23	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	No	BUY	272	14¢	$38	0xd8b294…
06-21 19:48:49	starmer out by october 31 2026 896 929 365 346 935	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8c0379…
06-21 19:47:25	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x604428…
06-21 19:46:56	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	No	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0x3f0279…
06-21 19:46:41	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$8	0x0f3443…
06-21 19:46:13	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	87¢	$79	0xca7f8d…
06-21 19:42:07	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	88¢	$440	0xc2b7a9…
06-21 19:41:55	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	No	BUY	500	14¢	$70	0x083b52…
06-21 19:25:23	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	74	9¢	$7	0x105995…
06-21 19:16:56	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	56	9¢	$5	0x1ab9c6…
06-21 18:25:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xaa33d1…
06-21 18:23:46	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x3bdf16…
06-21 17:34:10	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0x8e944b…
06-21 17:34:05	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,100	97¢	$1,065	0xdbbcf3…
06-21 17:33:55	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	450	9¢	$40	0xe0d992…
06-21 17:26:14	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x956e94…
06-21 17:26:04	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	427	95¢	$406	0x53b47d…
06-21 17:25:47	israel closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	SELL	427	10¢	$43	0xd33fc7…
06-21 15:28:14	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	91¢	$55	0x82f148…
06-21 15:27:55	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	No	BUY	37	10¢	$4	0x4ca210…
06-21 15:27:41	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x707bf4…
06-21 15:27:31	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xe827f7…
06-21 05:59:49	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x4a29d3…
06-21 05:59:40	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0xd8a609…
06-21 05:59:32	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x11c1fc…
06-21 05:59:28	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0xc89a8e…
06-21 05:59:23	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x6965bf…
06-21 05:59:19	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x76ab4f…
06-21 05:59:16	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x8e2c7e…
06-21 05:59:10	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x00ca98…
06-21 05:58:23	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x70c5ab…
06-21 05:58:20	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xb141a2…
06-21 05:58:16	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x6be4e4…
06-21 05:58:11	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x240ce3…
06-21 05:57:53	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0xffbf99…
06-21 05:57:26	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x08c93b…
06-21 05:57:20	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$37	0x79f1fc…
06-21 05:57:14	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x05a7d0…
06-21 05:57:11	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xa93363…
06-21 05:57:04	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x95d683…
06-21 05:56:58	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	138	96¢	$132	0x836886…
06-21 05:56:28	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	138	96¢	$132	0x48b2ce…
06-21 05:56:08	israel closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x92e1d1…
06-21 05:56:08	israel closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x3677cc…