Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.03K

Unrealized P&L

+$488

Hit rate

30.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.98K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$96

Open exposure

$1.62K

6 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 11-07 15:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Politics

41% 14% -$103

Crypto

35% 25% -$285

Other

24% 0% -$646

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+6,059	$483	15¢	$900	+$417	11-07 15:09
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-1,000	-$383	45¢	$-450	-$68	09-25 17:56
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-2,148	-$365	10¢	$-204	+$161	10-23 13:45
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-1,833	-$82	2¢	$-38	+$44	07-08 12:06
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+682	$95	2¢	$17	-$79	09-01 20:41
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-2,047	-$27	1¢	$-15	+$12	09-25 17:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$483	6,059	0	+6,059	open	—	11-07 15:09
spx opens up or down on february 11 2026	4	$476	691	262	+429	Up	-$188	02-10 22:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 13:30 UTC	2	$463	390	387	+3	Down	+$306	03-07 13:36
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	2	$390	574	0	+574	Yes	+$184	03-08 23:52
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$383	0	1,000	-1,000	open	—	09-25 17:56
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$365	0	2,148	-2,148	open	—	10-23 13:45
another us government shutdown by february 14	3	$362	371	371	+0	No	-$172	02-13 12:23
spx up or down on february 11 2026	1	$286	371	0	+371	Down	-$286	02-11 20:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 22:00 UTC	3	$238	216	172	+43	Down	-$113	02-10 22:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 20:20 UTC	2	$200	413	0	+413	Up	-$38	02-13 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$125	2,985	0	+2,985	Up	-$125	11-03 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$125	537	0	+537	Down	-$125	11-03 19:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 11:40 UTC	1	$100	152	0	+152	Down	-$100	03-23 11:42
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	1	$95	682	0	+682	open	—	09-01 20:41
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$82	0	1,833	-1,833	open	—	07-08 12:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 23:15 UTC	2	$61	42	42	+1	Down	+$22	03-08 23:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 23:30 UTC	2	$58	38	38	+1	Down	+$18	03-08 23:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:45 UTC	1	$50	183	0	+183	Up	+$133	03-07 14:48
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$50	156	0	+156	No	-$50	03-07 14:07
will uk strike iran by march 31	1	$50	292	0	+292	No	-$50	03-07 14:10
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	1	$50	272	0	+272	No	-$50	03-07 13:31
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	1	$50	334	0	+334	No	-$50	03-07 14:09
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	1	$50	227	0	+227	No	-$50	03-07 13:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 12:35 UTC	1	$49	110	0	+110	Down	-$49	04-09 12:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 23:20 UTC	1	$41	59	0	+59	Up	+$18	03-08 23:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 21:05 UTC	1	$37	97	0	+97	Down	-$37	03-09 21:09
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	1	$36	98	0	+98	No	-$36	03-08 23:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$30	656	0	+656	Up	-$30	09-01 20:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 23:35 UTC	1	$30	97	0	+97	Down	-$30	03-08 23:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 22:15 UTC	1	$30	76	0	+76	Up	-$30	02-10 22:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 15:09:30	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	671	15¢	$100	0xd11e4c…
11-03 19:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0x7effb7…
11-03 19:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0xacca2c…
11-03 19:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x3102dd…
11-03 19:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	485	21¢	$100	0x31b321…
10-23 13:45:08	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2,148	17¢	$365	0xa841f5…
09-25 17:57:08	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5,388	7¢	$383	0xc59215…
09-25 17:56:09	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,000	38¢	$383	0x4adfa9…
09-25 17:54:24	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2,047	1¢	$27	0x1d01aa…
09-01 20:41:00	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	682	14¢	$95	0x932216…
09-01 20:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xd0be92…
09-01 20:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0x7e20f1…
07-08 12:16:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	109	22¢	$24	0x2dbe3c…
07-08 12:13:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0x6b9326…
07-08 12:07:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	357	7¢	$25	0x2b8379…
07-08 12:06:32	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,833	4¢	$82	0x26fed6…
04-09 12:35:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	110	45¢	$49	0x019223…
03-23 11:42:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x1430e3…
03-09 21:09:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	97	38¢	$37	0x704698…
03-08 23:52:51	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	68	68¢	$46	0x7981ee…
03-08 23:35:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0x9ef475…
03-08 23:35:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 23:30 UTC	Down	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x493025…
03-08 23:30:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x07c01d…
03-08 23:21:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	59	70¢	$41	0x58d91e…
03-08 23:20:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 23:15 UTC	Down	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0x44e2aa…
03-08 23:16:53	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	98	37¢	$36	0x18b683…
03-08 23:16:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0x396b29…
03-08 23:13:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x822823…
03-07 15:30:45	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	506	68¢	$344	0xf5e823…
03-07 14:48:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	183	27¢	$50	0xd5995b…
03-07 14:10:57	will uk strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	292	17¢	$50	0xb8d2b2…
03-07 14:09:49	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	334	15¢	$50	0xb1459e…
03-07 14:07:43	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0x07ff82…
03-07 14:02:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	2¢	$20	0x060e82…
03-07 13:36:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	387	99¢	$383	0x1a91f2…
03-07 13:32:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	390	21¢	$80	0x74d4a6…
03-07 13:31:05	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	272	18¢	$50	0xe559e9…
03-07 13:19:49	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0x038827…
02-13 20:24:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	251	40¢	$100	0x872a4f…
02-13 20:24:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	162	62¢	$100	0x25a436…
02-13 12:23:55	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	SELL	371	26¢	$95	0xa13d8c…
02-11 20:05:33	spx up or down on february 11 2026	Up	BUY	371	77¢	$286	0xf08cc9…
02-10 22:55:43	spx opens up or down on february 11 2026	Down	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x3dc63d…
02-10 22:55:21	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	158	73¢	$115	0x039998…
02-10 22:54:09	spx opens up or down on february 11 2026	Down	BUY	381	42¢	$160	0x48c00b…
02-10 22:24:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	76	39¢	$30	0xd96913…
02-10 22:14:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	42	75¢	$32	0x6b0e08…
02-10 22:12:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 22:00 UTC	Up	SELL	172	36¢	$62	0x5e5189…
02-10 22:05:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	173	83¢	$144	0xe30d24…
02-10 21:50:59	spx opens up or down on february 11 2026	Up	SELL	262	55¢	$144	0x79bebe…
02-10 21:38:31	spx opens up or down on february 11 2026	Up	BUY	262	58¢	$152	0x75e597…
02-10 21:11:21	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	214	71¢	$152	0xa9c025…