Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$137

Unrealized P&L

+$19

Hit rate

76.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$21

8 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 07-14 21:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

44% 19% -$7

Politics

43% 20% +$135

Tech

7% 67% +$23

Crypto

5% 0% -$11

Sports

0% 0% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	+13	$5	84¢	$11	+$6	05-16 20:14
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+26	$5	17¢	$5	-$1	05-07 22:01
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?	Yes	+75	$5	2¢	$1	-$3	05-09 23:07
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+67	$5	2¢	$1	-$4	05-07 22:00
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+18	$5	6¢	$1	-$4	05-09 18:04
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	Yes	+42	$5	2¢	$1	-$4	05-09 06:33
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026	Yes	+6	$2	4¢	$0	-$2	05-07 21:58
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+19	-$30	0¢	$0	+$30	05-20 22:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	3	$222	217	217	+0	cancelled	-$4	07-14 21:26
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$183	119	119	+0	No	+$47	06-23 09:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$127	148	120	+28	Yes	+$141	05-09 06:25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$106	67	67	+0	Yes	+$6	07-07 06:26
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$76	86	86	+0	Yes	+$2	07-14 14:03
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$60	61	0	+61	Yes	+$1	06-24 10:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	2	$55	200	200	+0	Yes	-$7	05-09 18:44
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?	2	$50	509	490	+19	open	—	05-20 22:39
Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	2	$38	127	127	+0	Yes	+$18	05-15 21:01
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?	2	$35	77	77	+0	Yes	+$15	07-09 21:30
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$31	149	149	+0	open	—	07-02 11:11
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$23	166	166	+0	open	—	07-02 11:13
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$15	213	106	+106	Yes	-$6	05-16 20:13
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$15	116	116	+0	Yes	-$5	05-09 23:01
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$13	31	31	+0	No	+$3	05-11 11:33
russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	1	$12	87	0	+87	No	-$12	06-24 10:34
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$12	101	101	+0	open	—	06-25 11:14
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	1	$10	13	0	+13	No	+$3	06-24 10:29
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	1	$10	79	0	+79	Yes	-$10	05-09 06:36
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$5	26	0	+26	open	—	05-07 22:01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	1	$5	50	0	+50	No	-$5	05-16 11:15
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$5	455	0	+455	No	-$5	05-20 22:42
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	67	0	+67	open	—	05-07 22:00
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	109	0	+109	No	-$5	05-09 06:38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$5	28	0	+28	No	-$5	05-09 17:43
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?	1	$5	56	0	+56	No	-$5	07-14 18:41
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	165	0	+165	No	-$5	05-09 06:35
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	1	$5	42	0	+42	open	—	05-09 06:33
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	33	0	+33	Yes	+$28	05-09 18:14
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?	1	$5	16	0	+16	Yes	-$5	05-09 17:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 21:26:02	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	SELL	54	50¢	$27	0x37cd7d…
07-14 19:25:49	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x78b44d…
07-14 18:41:31	Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x59707c…
07-14 18:41:23	Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x5bc086…
07-14 14:03:13	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	86	45¢	$39	0xcfcbe6…
07-10 11:02:58	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xe375bf…
07-10 11:02:07	Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xe9e610…
07-09 21:30:49	Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?	Yes	SELL	77	33¢	$25	0x2ff0ec…
07-09 09:57:14	Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xbcd9ee…
07-09 09:56:20	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x874cfd…
07-07 06:26:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	67	84¢	$56	0x3dcfe1…
07-02 21:59:32	will trump speak to pope leo xiv in july 20260626154217441	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x555607…
07-02 11:13:08	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	166	8¢	$13	0x1c190d…
07-02 11:11:59	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	149	11¢	$16	0x5efd76…
06-25 11:14:49	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	4¢	$4	0x1216e4…
06-24 10:34:35	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	87	14¢	$12	0xf3d420…
06-24 10:31:17	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	86	43¢	$37	0x2c1436…
06-24 10:29:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x0a9f5a…
06-24 10:25:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x33c89e…
06-24 10:22:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x715011…
06-23 09:06:04	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	119	97¢	$115	0x0510ba…
06-19 14:59:44	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x4edea1…
06-19 14:51:58	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xfda77b…
06-19 14:50:55	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	32	9¢	$3	0x84c7db…
06-19 14:45:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	119	57¢	$68	0x3b73eb…
06-19 14:38:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x58faee…
06-07 23:39:33	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x49bda9…
06-07 23:38:48	Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xa35fdd…
06-07 23:36:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xec08e2…
06-07 23:35:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x03d938…
06-07 23:34:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0xe987e8…
06-07 23:34:06	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xcced1d…
06-07 23:28:43	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	SELL	163	50¢	$81	0x9747ef…
05-27 00:45:43	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa97eab…
05-20 22:42:03	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0x39bf70…
05-20 22:39:33	Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	490	8¢	$40	0x04235b…
05-16 20:14:03	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0x7abe78…
05-16 20:13:56	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	SELL	106	5¢	$5	0xf8a937…
05-16 20:13:20	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	213	5¢	$11	0xdf84f8…
05-16 11:16:08	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	166	6¢	$10	0x34adad…
05-16 11:15:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x63abcf…
05-15 21:01:47	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	SELL	127	22¢	$28	0xa7167b…
05-11 11:34:13	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	8¢	$8	0x937c1d…
05-11 11:33:49	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	31	27¢	$8	0xc81588…
05-09 23:07:20	Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?	Yes	BUY	75	6¢	$5	0xb83454…
05-09 23:01:34	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	116	4¢	$5	0x4febbc…
05-09 19:54:12	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	217	52¢	$113	0x922277…
05-09 18:44:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	No	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0xa260c5…
05-09 18:24:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	200	15¢	$31	0xb41211…
05-09 18:14:23	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xd8f336…
05-09 18:07:06	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x4fecfa…
05-09 18:04:40	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x4446a1…
05-09 17:54:28	Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x97a117…
05-09 17:53:39	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	BUY	127	8¢	$10	0x045c0c…
05-09 17:44:56	Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	509	2¢	$10	0xd23490…
05-09 17:43:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x23ac82…
05-09 06:56:31	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x9fcf9f…
05-09 06:38:16	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	5¢	$5	0xff3af5…
05-09 06:36:34	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	No	BUY	79	13¢	$10	0xee0bc6…
05-09 06:35:31	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	165	3¢	$5	0x497cfd…
05-09 06:34:56	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x10b4ba…
05-09 06:33:06	Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x3c3a46…
05-09 06:31:11	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xea1972…
05-09 06:25:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0xff5111…
05-07 22:05:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	127	1¢	$1	0x0e67db…
05-07 22:04:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	5¢	$7	0xdba2f3…
05-07 22:02:04	Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?	Yes	BUY	34	5¢	$2	0x76fcb1…
05-07 22:01:38	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	26	20¢	$5	0x8c6a3e…
05-07 22:01:17	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	10¢	$15	0xb4990d…
05-07 22:00:38	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	7¢	$5	0x64ebb2…
05-07 22:00:02	US recognize Somaliland by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x83270d…
05-07 21:59:13	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7fc97b…
05-07 21:58:41	Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x4693c1…
05-07 21:58:10	Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x604cab…
05-07 21:53:42	French election called by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xa6711b…
05-07 21:51:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x9f50ac…
05-07 21:49:16	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	116	9¢	$10	0x6d8c2b…