Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$134

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

69.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$587

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$126

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 07-14 21:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

67% 100% +$141

Other

23% — —

Crypto

10% 0% $-7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	-217	$-109	50¢	$-110	$-1	07-14 21:26
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-149	$-16	8¢	$-13	+$4	07-02 11:11
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	-101	$-4	4¢	$-4	+$0	06-25 11:14
Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30?	Yes	+29	$2	0¢	$0	$-2	06-07 23:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$183	119	119	+0	open	—	06-23 09:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$127	148	120	+28	Yes	+$141	05-09 06:25
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	2	$109	0	217	-217	open	—	07-14 21:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	2	$55	200	200	+0	Yes	$-7	05-09 18:44
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	1	$16	0	149	-149	open	—	07-02 11:11
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$15	116	116	+0	open	—	05-09 23:01
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$13	31	31	+0	open	—	05-11 11:33
russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	1	$12	87	0	+87	open	—	06-24 10:34
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	06-24 10:29
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	1	$5	50	0	+50	open	—	05-16 11:15
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	165	0	+165	open	—	05-09 06:35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$5	28	0	+28	open	—	05-09 17:43
starmer out by july 31 2026	1	$5	18	0	+18	open	—	06-19 14:59
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$4	0	101	-101	open	—	06-25 11:14
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$4	15	0	+15	open	—	05-07 21:51
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	1	$3	32	0	+32	open	—	06-19 14:50
will trump speak to pope leo xiv in july 20260626154217441	1	$2	22	0	+22	open	—	07-02 21:59
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$2	111	0	+111	open	—	06-07 23:34
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	1	$2	18	0	+18	open	—	05-09 06:31
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	1	$2	30	0	+30	open	—	06-19 14:51
Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30?	1	$2	29	0	+29	open	—	06-07 23:38
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	05-27 00:45
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	1	$1	26	0	+26	open	—	06-07 23:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$1	7	0	+7	open	—	06-07 23:36
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	1	$1	91	0	+91	open	—	06-07 23:39
btc updown 5m 1781879700	1	$1	33	0	+33	open	—	06-19 14:38
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	1	$1	24	0	+24	open	—	06-07 23:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 21:26:02	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	SELL	54	50¢	$27	0x37cd7d…
07-02 21:59:32	will trump speak to pope leo xiv in july 20260626154217441	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x555607…
07-02 11:11:59	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	149	11¢	$16	0x5efd76…
06-25 11:14:49	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	4¢	$4	0x1216e4…
06-24 10:34:35	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	87	14¢	$12	0xf3d420…
06-24 10:29:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x0a9f5a…
06-23 09:06:04	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	119	97¢	$115	0x0510ba…
06-19 14:59:44	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x4edea1…
06-19 14:51:58	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xfda77b…
06-19 14:50:55	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	32	9¢	$3	0x84c7db…
06-19 14:45:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	119	57¢	$68	0x3b73eb…
06-19 14:38:52	btc updown 5m 1781879700	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x58faee…
06-07 23:39:33	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x49bda9…
06-07 23:38:48	Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xa35fdd…
06-07 23:36:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xec08e2…
06-07 23:35:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x03d938…
06-07 23:34:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0xe987e8…
06-07 23:34:06	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xcced1d…
06-07 23:28:43	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	SELL	163	50¢	$81	0x9747ef…
05-27 00:45:43	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa97eab…
05-16 11:15:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x63abcf…
05-11 11:33:49	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	31	27¢	$8	0xc81588…
05-09 23:01:34	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	116	4¢	$5	0x4febbc…
05-09 18:44:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	No	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0xa260c5…
05-09 18:24:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	200	15¢	$31	0xb41211…
05-09 17:43:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x23ac82…
05-09 06:35:31	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	165	3¢	$5	0x497cfd…
05-09 06:34:56	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x10b4ba…
05-09 06:31:11	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xea1972…
05-09 06:25:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0xff5111…
05-07 22:04:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	5¢	$7	0xdba2f3…
05-07 21:51:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x9f50ac…
05-07 21:49:16	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	116	9¢	$10	0x6d8c2b…