Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$495

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

91.6%

Resolved

4,078

Trades

6,971

lifetime

Volume

$59.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$28

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 10-27 23:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 135 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 77% -$418

Other

2% 47% +$179

Politics

1% 37% -$117

Sports

1% 35% -$49

Tech

0% 31% -$80

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No		+27	$8	98¢	$27	+$19	09-01 09:25
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No		+55	$7	2¢	$1	-$6	10-26 15:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?	3	$113	111	111	+0	Yes	+$78	08-31 19:46
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 23:50 UTC	2	$82	42	42	+0	Up	+$1	04-06 23:55
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 22:25 UTC	2	$81	42	42	+0	Up	+$3	04-06 22:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 23:15 UTC	2	$81	41	41	+0	Up	+$1	04-06 23:20
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 17:05 UTC	4	$75	39	39	+0	Up	+$2	04-06 17:10
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 05:15 UTC	2	$74	38	38	+0	Up	+$1	04-07 05:20
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 05:05 UTC	2	$74	38	38	+0	Up	+$2	04-07 05:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 04:50 UTC	3	$72	37	37	+0	Down	+$1	04-07 04:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 23:05 UTC	2	$69	35	35	+0	Up	+$0	04-13 23:10
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 23:00 UTC	2	$69	35	35	+0	Down	+$0	04-13 23:05
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 01:10 UTC	3	$69	35	35	+0	Up	+$1	04-07 01:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 14:45 UTC	2	$69	35	35	+0	Down	+$1	04-06 14:50
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	2	$68	233	233	+0	Yes	-$2	08-09 15:59
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 22:40 UTC	4	$67	35	35	+0	Up	+$2	04-13 22:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 22:50 UTC	2	$67	35	35	+0	Up	+$2	04-13 22:55
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 05:40 UTC	4	$67	35	34	+1	Up	+$1	03-30 05:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 22:30 UTC	2	$67	35	35	+0	Up	+$2	04-13 22:35
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 14:05 UTC	2	$67	34	34	+0	Up	+$1	04-06 14:10
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 13:45 UTC	2	$66	34	34	+0	Up	+$2	04-06 13:50
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 13:50 UTC	2	$65	33	33	+0	Up	+$1	04-06 13:55
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 22:20 UTC	2	$65	33	33	+0	Up	+$1	04-13 22:25
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 22:20 UTC	2	$65	33	33	+0	Up	+$1	04-13 22:25
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 13:40 UTC	2	$64	33	33	+0	Up	+$1	04-06 13:45
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 22:25 UTC	2	$64	33	33	+0	Down	+$1	04-13 22:30
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 23:40 UTC	2	$63	33	33	+0	Up	+$2	04-06 23:45
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 21:50 UTC	3	$63	32	32	+0	Up	+$1	04-13 21:55
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 13:20 UTC	2	$63	32	32	+0	Up	+$1	04-06 13:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 22:05 UTC	2	$61	31	31	+0	Up	+$1	04-13 22:10
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 21:20 UTC	2	$60	31	31	+0	Up	+$1	04-13 21:25
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 20:05 UTC	2	$60	31	31	+0	Up	+$1	04-07 20:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 23:15:51	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?	No	BUY	19	83¢	$16	0x82d5ae…
10-27 07:15:53	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	27¢	$19	0xb8b8ca…
10-26 17:51:33	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xbdd898…
10-26 15:16:05	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	28	14¢	$4	0x195593…
10-25 23:12:51	Will New Zealand A win?	Yes	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0xc30c59…
10-25 07:15:23	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	22	63¢	$14	0x3938c9…
10-24 07:12:42	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	65¢	$0	0xf693a9…
10-23 23:12:36	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x8c91af…
10-23 15:15:57	Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	52	25¢	$13	0xffb738…
10-23 15:15:57	Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0xc9e1b2…
10-23 15:15:57	Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x783d63…
10-22 23:13:41	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x3fa48e…
10-21 23:07:50	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x964f75…
10-21 22:57:33	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?	Yes	BUY	36	17¢	$6	0xf5d446…
10-21 10:56:41	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	Yes	BUY	16	42¢	$7	0x00062b…
10-20 10:56:57	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	19	55¢	$10	0x7a1be3…
10-20 06:58:22	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	No	BUY	37	14¢	$5	0xd4e365…
10-19 18:59:45	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xb6ecad…
10-19 18:59:44	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	No	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0xccd383…
10-18 18:57:35	Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	No	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0xec3cf7…
10-18 10:59:59	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	No	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0x20c18d…
10-17 19:00:29	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	No	BUY	31	39¢	$12	0xcccd72…
10-15 07:00:02	Will Kevin Acton win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x07c34e…
10-14 11:03:11	next astra model 6pt1 released by october 23 2026	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xd92023…
10-12 02:58:54	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0xb21eab…
10-09 19:38:50	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	34	41¢	$14	0xd3360c…
10-09 02:57:23	gemini 4pt0 released by october 16 2026	No	BUY	31	41¢	$13	0x4348dc…
10-07 15:01:56	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x825bfb…
10-06 22:58:02	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xdb5ba4…
10-05 19:05:11	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	Yes	BUY	28	26¢	$7	0x2194b1…
10-04 19:01:37	houthi x saudi arabia effective ceasefire by october 15	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x3fe56f…
10-04 15:03:55	Will Choi-wan peak as a Very strong typhoon?	No	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x994127…
10-04 10:56:47	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x5bcb5a…
09-28 23:11:44	Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?	Yes	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x471652…
09-27 18:06:30	Will JHC win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	16	27¢	$4	0x6edcc0…
09-27 06:53:38	Will JHC win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x5405d8…
09-27 00:49:17	Will JHC win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	25	33¢	$8	0x95c80e…
09-26 19:00:11	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	150	13¢	$20	0xfe5833…
09-26 02:57:39	Lula participates in debate before first round?	No	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x5a74bb…
09-26 02:53:05	Lula participates in debate before first round?	No	BUY	80	21¢	$17	0x16f002…
09-25 14:43:29	Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?	No	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0xb250af…
09-24 11:10:23	Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0xb7cec1…
09-23 14:55:07	Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0xbb54ad…
09-20 03:18:42	Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0xccca00…
09-18 19:20:34	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x76f254…
09-18 07:07:58	will yabloko win at least one seat in the next russian state duma election	No	BUY	18	90¢	$17	0xd52c83…
09-17 15:20:22	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?	No	BUY	49	35¢	$17	0xbb7e29…
09-17 15:20:22	Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	15	76¢	$12	0x624b08…
09-17 13:09:58	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?	No	SELL	29	27¢	$8	0x8dc283…
09-17 11:21:13	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x32a7aa…
09-17 07:18:43	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?	No	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x3c72e7…
09-15 11:16:27	Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xfeee4b…
09-13 09:48:09	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0x09cb27…
09-13 07:42:01	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x72a826…
09-13 07:17:51	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x71abb0…
09-13 03:15:42	Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	30¢	$12	0xfe3b77…
09-12 23:14:34	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0x91d9b3…
09-12 15:14:06	Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x226bb7…
09-09 23:12:51	Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	86¢	$19	0x65f48d…
09-09 13:05:04	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x794f1f…
09-09 03:08:49	Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?	Yes	BUY	26	26¢	$7	0x65bb35…
09-04 16:24:13	will openais astra model be released by september 9 2026	Yes	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x7f8a0c…
09-04 12:12:51	Will "The Gentlemen: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x8b4d24…
09-04 12:12:48	Will "The Gentlemen: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x4f0c1b…
09-04 01:13:42	Will "The Gentlemen: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x01dfc3…
09-03 21:19:16	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x6524a4…
09-02 13:58:09	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?	No	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x31138d…
09-02 13:11:34	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xee2919…
09-02 05:11:13	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xceeceb…
09-01 21:10:12	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?	Yes	BUY	48	18¢	$9	0xf4b21e…
09-01 17:10:07	Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	17	80¢	$13	0xe646fe…
09-01 09:25:09	Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	27	28¢	$8	0x6c871d…
09-01 05:07:10	Will SPD win at least 9% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x375307…
09-01 05:07:09	Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x93f470…
09-01 01:09:19	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	42	17¢	$7	0x6c257b…
08-31 19:57:12	Will Smotrich and Ben Gvir run on the same party list?	No	SELL	25	83¢	$21	0xfad37c…
08-31 19:56:34	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	SELL	70	6¢	$4	0xc9f5fe…
08-31 19:54:36	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	107	13¢	$14	0x5fde61…
08-31 19:46:49	Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?	Yes	SELL	111	87¢	$96	0x5b6546…
08-27 20:42:39	Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$4	0x22895b…
08-27 19:37:51	Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x4af565…
08-27 12:12:15	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0xd92d2d…
08-26 19:40:51	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	26	12¢	$3	0xda8a86…
08-26 03:45:55	Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?	Yes	BUY	105	16¢	$17	0x6b5195…
08-26 03:39:12	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	70	21¢	$15	0xcff623…
08-26 03:39:12	Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa69ad0…
08-25 11:38:13	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0xb0ee4d…
08-23 23:39:07	Will Russia target Kyiv on August 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x3f5c26…
08-23 11:40:01	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	33	11¢	$4	0xe7079d…
08-22 23:39:28	will us crude oil reserves fall to 350m by may 1 20260714141931929	No	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x8c1205…
08-22 19:43:54	smotrich and ben gvir on the same party list	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x32699c…
08-22 11:38:03	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	23	12¢	$3	0x0b22d5…
08-09 16:00:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	400	8¢	$32	0x24f60b…
08-09 15:59:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	233	14¢	$33	0x74a4f7…
08-09 15:58:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	233	15¢	$35	0xb9b409…
08-04 11:41:12	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x88910b…
08-04 11:41:12	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x35485a…
08-02 19:40:17	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	60	19¢	$11	0xd3e2df…
08-02 04:19:26	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0xa6cd15…
08-02 04:18:20	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x98fdd5…