Rotating-Fedora — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$164

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,450

lifetime

Volume

$16.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 06-14 11:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 39% $-164

Politics

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 529 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	5	$315	563	429	+133	open	—	05-25 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	3	$281	374	261	+113	open	—	05-24 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	3	$255	297	172	+125	open	—	05-25 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	6	$240	592	292	+300	open	—	05-19 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	6	$238	281	281	+0	open	—	05-25 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	9	$212	429	228	+201	open	—	05-19 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	4	$212	133	133	+0	open	—	05-23 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	8	$201	272	200	+72	open	—	05-24 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	7	$192	318	276	+42	open	—	05-23 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	7	$185	227	203	+24	open	—	05-23 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	6	$181	223	223	+0	open	—	05-20 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	3	$161	198	100	+98	open	—	05-23 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	3	$161	203	124	+79	open	—	05-23 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	8	$145	145	145	+0	open	—	05-20 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	3	$144	237	179	+59	open	—	05-23 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	6	$137	180	180	+0	open	—	05-20 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	7	$136	187	144	+43	open	—	05-23 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	9	$135	147	147	+0	open	—	05-20 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$134	100	100	+0	open	—	05-19 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	4	$134	188	188	+0	open	—	05-23 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$132	148	148	+0	open	—	05-23 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$129	94	94	+0	open	—	05-19 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	7	$126	333	133	+200	open	—	05-23 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$125	0	143	-143	open	—	05-23 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	3	$120	335	244	+91	open	—	05-23 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	6	$119	136	136	+0	open	—	05-20 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	7	$115	84	84	+0	open	—	05-19 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	3	$114	126	106	+19	open	—	05-25 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	4	$112	99	99	+0	open	—	05-20 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	5	$111	114	114	+0	open	—	05-23 17:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 11:01:10	btc updown 5m 1781434800	Up	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x67c71b…
06-14 11:00:45	btc updown 5m 1781434800	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x1330b0…
06-14 10:59:03	btc updown 5m 1781434500	Up	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x7a06ab…
06-14 10:53:52	btc updown 5m 1781434500	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xbbba53…
06-10 21:59:27	btc updown 5m 1781128500	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x2cb23e…
06-10 21:59:09	btc updown 5m 1781128500	Down	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x8b3f92…
06-10 21:58:52	btc updown 5m 1781128500	Down	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x39d1b6…
06-10 12:23:22	btc updown 5m 1781094000	Up	SELL	9	27¢	$2	0x450289…
06-10 12:21:58	btc updown 5m 1781094000	Up	BUY	9	72¢	$6	0xc0b47f…
06-09 23:36:42	btc updown 5m 1781048100	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x1704b6…
06-09 21:35:46	btc updown 5m 1781040900	Down	SELL	13	30¢	$4	0xf16be7…
06-09 21:35:30	btc updown 5m 1781040900	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x5c82b4…
06-09 21:33:06	btc updown 5m 1781040600	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xd75da9…
06-09 21:32:33	btc updown 5m 1781040600	Up	SELL	18	46¢	$8	0x90c613…
06-09 21:31:51	btc updown 5m 1781040600	Up	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x113b72…
06-09 21:30:48	btc updown 5m 1781040600	Down	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x3decc3…
06-09 21:28:42	btc updown 5m 1781040600	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x5e9b55…
06-09 21:19:15	btc updown 5m 1781040000	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2f4d05…
06-09 21:19:01	btc updown 5m 1781040000	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x170084…
06-08 20:20:52	aapl up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xc8038a…
06-08 20:15:48	aapl up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x4b6867…
06-08 19:45:04	aapl up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x59dc13…
06-08 19:19:58	hype updown 5m 1780946100	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xb5e7a5…
06-08 13:06:27	btc updown 5m 1780923900	Up	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x37d8b3…
06-07 20:17:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd1931f…
06-06 21:44:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x8a8c7e…
06-06 17:30:48	btc updown 5m 1780767000	Up	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0xb8d28f…
06-06 17:30:48	btc updown 5m 1780767000	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x05e7b8…
06-06 17:29:31	btc updown 5m 1780766700	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x63e2db…
06-05 19:05:25	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8a36e6…
06-05 19:02:39	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xe253b8…
06-05 18:52:34	btc updown 5m 1780685400	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x169703…
06-05 18:17:21	btc updown 5m 1780683300	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x92d142…
06-05 17:50:33	btc updown 5m 1780681800	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x3b4874…
06-05 17:49:19	btc updown 5m 1780681500	Down	SELL	24	52¢	$13	0x83fea4…
06-05 17:48:00	btc updown 5m 1780681500	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x4db5d5…
06-05 17:47:25	btc updown 5m 1780681500	Down	SELL	23	46¢	$11	0xc7fd54…
06-05 17:46:19	btc updown 5m 1780681500	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x68cff5…
06-05 17:37:57	btc updown 5m 1780680900	Up	SELL	24	32¢	$8	0xfe7448…
06-05 17:36:51	btc updown 5m 1780680900	Up	BUY	24	30¢	$7	0x21bed9…
06-05 17:33:40	btc updown 5m 1780680600	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x46ca6e…
06-05 17:26:55	btc updown 5m 1780680300	Up	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xd1571f…
06-05 17:12:34	btc updown 5m 1780679400	Up	SELL	24	2¢	$0	0xc307b3…
06-05 17:10:49	btc updown 5m 1780679400	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xed9b49…
06-05 16:52:36	btc updown 5m 1780678200	Down	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0xf0371d…
06-05 16:52:00	btc updown 5m 1780678200	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x96178d…
06-05 16:51:51	btc updown 5m 1780678200	Down	BUY	24	19¢	$5	0xbb2181…
06-05 16:51:51	btc updown 5m 1780678200	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x49df6b…
06-05 15:00:49	bitcoin above 60k on june 5 2026	No	SELL	51	7¢	$4	0xfd387e…
06-05 14:53:30	bitcoin above 60k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0x47f928…
06-05 14:49:10	bitcoin above 62k on june 5 2026	Yes	SELL	23	12¢	$3	0xde3962…
06-05 14:48:15	bitcoin above 62k on june 5 2026	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x3e2a6a…
06-05 14:44:49	bitcoin above 62k on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0x4fbe33…
06-05 14:41:19	btc updown 15m 1780669800	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xfdc50d…
06-05 14:38:34	btc updown 5m 1780670100	Down	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x08cf0f…
06-05 14:30:34	btc updown 5m 1780669800	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xb09a90…
05-25 19:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x34ee16…
05-25 18:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x18ff18…
05-25 18:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	13	22¢	$3	0x3373f1…
05-25 18:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	69	17¢	$12	0x003c86…
05-25 18:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	69	73¢	$50	0xebbe24…
05-25 18:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	38	16¢	$6	0x19c36b…
05-25 18:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x4c5775…
05-25 18:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x7ecd7e…
05-25 18:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	68	10¢	$7	0x7abb13…
05-25 18:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0x30db01…
05-25 18:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xa3d6ae…
05-25 18:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	106	55¢	$59	0x409fb5…
05-25 18:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xa56602…
05-25 18:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xc76b94…
05-25 17:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	46	17¢	$8	0xe8d43d…
05-25 17:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x0f4076…
05-25 17:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x643400…
05-25 17:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xf4e3e1…
05-25 17:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0x7647fc…
05-25 17:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xf92c2e…
05-25 17:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	39	28¢	$11	0xb1646d…
05-25 17:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	39	23¢	$9	0xa9e26a…
05-25 17:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	77	30¢	$23	0xc88f39…
05-25 16:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	133	3¢	$4	0x30f39b…
05-25 16:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	271	11¢	$30	0xfc7bb8…
05-25 16:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	271	46¢	$125	0x0cfb59…
05-25 16:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	159	51¢	$81	0xb1bd75…
05-25 16:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	159	47¢	$75	0xa39b86…
05-25 16:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	222	2¢	$4	0x5556df…
05-25 16:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	122	12¢	$15	0x63c4ec…
05-25 16:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x1c07c8…
05-25 16:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	38	10¢	$4	0x43b063…
05-25 16:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xfb5314…
05-25 16:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	42	67¢	$28	0x9db1d2…
05-25 16:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x96c687…
05-25 16:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	202	51¢	$103	0x0de91d…
05-25 16:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	202	37¢	$75	0xc9df52…
05-25 16:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x28f155…
05-25 16:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	32	71¢	$22	0xee70eb…
05-25 16:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	70¢	$22	0x16bc34…
05-25 16:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x363efa…
05-25 16:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	172	94¢	$162	0x60d027…
05-25 16:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	172	51¢	$88	0xd27978…
05-25 16:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0xb2caf3…