Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$35.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$730

Open exposure

$1.84K

1 position

First seen

2026-03-17

last 06-08 21:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

56% — —

Other

33% 100% +$5

Tech

5% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes		+1,850	$1,846	100¢	$1.8K	$-3	06-08 21:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	1	$1.8K	1,850	+1,850	open	—	06-08 21:13
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	1	$1.8K	1,846	+1,846	open	—	06-05 19:45
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$1.8K	1,840	+1,840	open	—	06-02 22:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$1.8K	1,822	+1,822	open	—	05-27 06:01
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	5	$1.7K	1,788	+1,788	open	—	05-24 16:04
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	1	$1.7K	1,704	+1,704	open	—	05-17 12:29
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$1.7K	1,658	+1,658	No	+$2	05-12 18:32
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	1	$1.7K	1,700	+1,700	open	—	05-14 05:46
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	5	$1.7K	1,656	+1,656	open	—	05-07 19:04
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	1	$1.6K	1,652	+1,652	Yes	+$3	05-03 01:00
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	1	$1.6K	1,650	+1,650	open	—	04-29 21:54
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	7	$1.6K	1,648	+1,648	open	—	04-25 02:25
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	1	$1.6K	1,640	+1,640	open	—	04-21 18:50
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	1	$1.6K	1,633	+1,633	open	—	04-17 16:00
will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	1	$1.6K	1,632	+1,632	open	—	04-14 08:14
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$1.6K	1,618	+1,618	open	—	04-09 18:57
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$1.6K	1,617	+1,617	open	—	04-06 18:38
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$1.6K	1,612	+1,612	open	—	03-29 19:54
will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	6	$1.6K	1,602	+1,602	open	—	03-26 07:07
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$1.6K	1,597	+1,597	open	—	03-22 01:19
will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	8	$1.5K	1,565	+1,565	open	—	03-17 06:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 21:13:25	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,850	100¢	$1,846	0x59e518…
06-05 19:45:58	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	1,846	100¢	$1,841	0x9ae470…
06-02 22:22:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,840	99¢	$1,822	0x8f5537…
05-27 06:01:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,822	98¢	$1,788	0xbc488a…
05-24 16:04:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	236	95¢	$225	0x437477…
05-24 16:02:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$15	0xf4c73a…
05-24 16:01:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	824	95¢	$785	0xcfe1a9…
05-24 15:52:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x6369fd…
05-24 15:52:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	613	95¢	$584	0xfcc0ed…
05-17 12:29:34	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	1,704	100¢	$1,702	0x91fbfc…
05-14 05:46:47	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	BUY	1,700	97¢	$1,656	0x475021…
05-12 18:32:05	Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	1,658	100¢	$1,656	0xf4d201…
05-07 19:04:00	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	1,268	100¢	$1,265	0x059b84…
05-07 18:24:20	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x11a95e…
05-07 14:02:01	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x783725…
05-07 09:52:14	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$127	0xf69906…
05-07 08:04:14	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	253	100¢	$253	0x93cbb8…
05-03 01:00:20	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,652	100¢	$1,649	0xa7d3e0…
04-29 21:54:20	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1,650	100¢	$1,648	0xce7037…
04-25 02:25:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,200	100¢	$1,194	0xa42b77…
04-25 02:25:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf1bee6…
04-25 02:25:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0xbdff4d…
04-25 02:25:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xac5756…
04-25 02:25:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa1b5ce…
04-25 02:25:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x05aaee…
04-25 02:25:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	347	100¢	$345	0x8b3156…
04-21 18:50:18	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	1,640	100¢	$1,633	0xdf4428…
04-17 16:00:16	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	1,633	100¢	$1,632	0x38522c…
04-14 08:14:21	will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	No	BUY	1,632	99¢	$1,618	0xee72ed…
04-09 18:57:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	1,618	100¢	$1,617	0x533a5b…
04-06 18:38:19	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,617	100¢	$1,612	0xa0dece…
03-29 19:54:40	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	1,612	99¢	$1,602	0xb37f90…
03-26 07:07:23	will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	No	BUY	212	100¢	$211	0x9e8e9f…
03-26 06:29:39	will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	No	BUY	280	100¢	$280	0xf5aa31…
03-26 06:00:19	will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0x7b65c2…
03-26 05:25:25	will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xce875a…
03-26 05:25:23	will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa102c7…
03-26 04:54:03	will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x30a843…
03-22 01:19:43	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,449	98¢	$1,419	0xb2d99b…
03-22 01:19:39	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	149	98¢	$146	0x127473…
03-17 06:04:55	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	BUY	801	98¢	$789	0x0461bc…
03-17 06:04:25	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x812280…
03-17 06:03:49	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	BUY	300	98¢	$295	0x038435…
03-17 06:03:33	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x39f969…
03-17 06:03:19	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	BUY	250	98¢	$246	0x92fb68…
03-17 06:03:15	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	BUY	37	98¢	$37	0x335782…
03-17 06:02:47	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	BUY	87	98¢	$85	0xd6e761…
03-17 06:02:45	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xaf37b4…