Silent-Fringe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

115

lifetime

Volume

$13.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$120

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 05-25 06:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

52% 0% $-1

Sports

31% — —

Crypto

17% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	6	$1.0K	502	502	+0	open	—	04-08 20:21
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	6	$826	414	414	+0	open	—	04-06 01:36
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	6	$802	402	402	+0	No	$-0	04-21 21:14
will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	4	$678	339	339	+0	open	—	03-22 00:52
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	4	$662	331	331	+0	open	—	03-20 20:51
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	4	$656	329	329	+0	open	—	03-25 18:24
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	4	$628	315	315	+0	No	$-0	04-07 05:44
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$560	281	281	+0	open	—	04-20 21:00
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	4	$542	272	272	+0	open	—	04-26 20:27
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$538	270	270	+0	open	—	04-03 13:51
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$514	257	257	+0	open	—	03-25 05:37
Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$364	182	182	+0	open	—	02-14 22:40
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$360	180	180	+0	No	$-0	04-05 12:12
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$348	174	174	+0	open	—	03-14 10:50
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$318	159	159	+0	open	—	04-10 14:26
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$314	157	157	+0	open	—	04-20 14:16
will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$310	155	155	+0	open	—	03-26 07:15
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	2	$308	154	154	+0	open	—	04-24 04:14
will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	2	$287	144	144	+0	open	—	03-27 21:04
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$286	143	143	+0	open	—	03-12 02:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	2	$274	137	137	+0	open	—	05-18 15:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	2	$266	133	133	+0	open	—	05-25 06:50
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$265	133	133	+0	open	—	03-18 16:38
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$264	132	132	+0	open	—	04-13 13:54
will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	2	$264	132	132	+0	open	—	03-22 07:32
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	2	$262	132	132	+0	open	—	04-20 08:13
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	2	$250	126	126	+0	open	—	04-15 16:14
will ethereum dip to 600 in march 2026	2	$244	122	122	+0	open	—	03-27 14:19
will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	2	$230	115	115	+0	open	—	03-12 08:50
Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$226	113	113	+0	open	—	02-26 19:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 06:50:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	SELL	133	100¢	$133	0x4fe676…
05-24 08:12:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x6aa40c…
05-18 15:26:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	No	SELL	137	100¢	$137	0x18bf05…
05-18 07:44:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x83b93f…
04-26 20:27:18	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0x6b882c…
04-26 14:51:20	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xdbe7b1…
04-24 04:14:36	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	154	100¢	$154	0x694548…
04-22 09:23:02	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0x279ee6…
04-21 21:14:42	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	133	100¢	$133	0x7c9baa…
04-21 16:35:38	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x6dc8ff…
04-20 21:00:34	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	129	100¢	$129	0x60ba37…
04-20 18:43:02	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x249cab…
04-20 14:16:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	157	100¢	$157	0x9f61b0…
04-20 11:57:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	157	100¢	$157	0x312c62…
04-20 08:13:14	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	132	100¢	$131	0x722a07…
04-20 02:48:32	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$131	0x328e22…
04-15 16:14:04	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	126	100¢	$125	0x093739…
04-15 13:06:08	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0xb107e4…
04-13 13:54:31	Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	132	100¢	$132	0xa9a419…
04-13 09:43:01	Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x53c1ce…
04-10 14:26:49	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	159	100¢	$159	0x6aac36…
04-10 10:58:31	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0x8a71dc…
04-08 20:21:21	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	178	100¢	$178	0x6440db…
04-08 18:33:23	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	178	100¢	$178	0x8bf403…
04-07 05:44:45	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	146	100¢	$146	0xd390a1…
04-06 23:38:07	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0xb19dd4…
04-06 01:36:29	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	143	100¢	$143	0x4dd0dc…
04-05 21:43:13	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x352e56…
04-05 21:42:57	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	152	100¢	$151	0x720d5d…
04-05 19:10:25	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	152	100¢	$151	0x5031c2…
04-05 12:12:19	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	180	100¢	$180	0xff70fd…
04-05 10:09:19	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0xcfb2f4…
04-03 13:51:41	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	147	100¢	$147	0x89e272…
04-03 09:08:13	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0x0725d1…
04-02 17:48:31	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0x7f3fc5…
04-02 13:24:03	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x7e3e9f…
03-31 17:25:55	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xdb0151…
03-30 15:24:45	will solana dip to 60 in march 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe818e1…
03-30 02:13:24	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	168	100¢	$168	0xe3ee15…
03-29 21:59:52	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	169	100¢	$168	0xb7ac38…
03-29 05:05:04	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	143	100¢	$143	0x9219cf…
03-29 00:01:16	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x118f1d…
03-27 21:04:09	will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	No	SELL	144	100¢	$144	0xce5bda…
03-27 14:24:01	will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x6f70f4…
03-27 14:19:27	will ethereum dip to 600 in march 2026	No	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0xec4fe2…
03-27 08:01:45	will ethereum dip to 600 in march 2026	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xed5059…
03-26 07:15:17	will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	155	100¢	$155	0x54c5d8…
03-26 00:56:19	will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0xec6614…
03-25 18:24:11	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	158	99¢	$157	0x41fa53…
03-25 11:58:49	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	158	100¢	$157	0x6578b2…
03-25 05:37:09	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	165	100¢	$165	0x7cb3df…
03-24 23:15:39	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x4b06b0…
03-24 16:45:47	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	137	100¢	$137	0x1328bc…
03-24 10:20:51	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x963c23…
03-23 21:40:05	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	172	99¢	$171	0xf34bd8…
03-23 15:20:05	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	172	100¢	$171	0x5b7262…
03-22 07:32:55	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	SELL	132	100¢	$132	0xf97169…
03-22 00:52:45	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0xd291d2…
03-22 00:52:27	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	SELL	176	100¢	$176	0x0331de…
03-21 18:13:35	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0xc01dcd…
03-21 18:13:19	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	SELL	163	100¢	$163	0xe41f64…
03-21 11:09:07	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	163	100¢	$163	0x935910…
03-20 20:51:25	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	169	100¢	$169	0x67e323…
03-20 14:17:47	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0xfa7bc0…
03-19 12:03:41	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	133	100¢	$133	0x626c31…
03-19 05:35:57	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x75d248…
03-18 16:38:17	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	133	100¢	$133	0x367d7d…
03-18 10:07:35	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x96662f…
03-17 21:13:17	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	135	100¢	$135	0xbb6fd9…
03-17 14:52:05	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x803cf4…
03-17 08:33:45	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	162	100¢	$162	0xd1e7a6…
03-17 02:12:11	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	162	100¢	$162	0xa72a7a…
03-16 13:18:15	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	152	100¢	$152	0x015022…
03-16 06:55:49	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0x44aee9…
03-16 06:55:33	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	133	100¢	$133	0x9a4c2a…
03-16 00:34:53	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x271335…
03-14 23:29:47	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	171	100¢	$171	0x839feb…
03-14 17:09:27	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	171	100¢	$171	0x40f4be…
03-14 10:50:31	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	174	100¢	$174	0x799962…
03-14 04:33:05	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x6b8501…
03-12 08:50:21	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0x0008e1…
03-12 02:34:49	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x30ab43…
03-12 02:34:33	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	143	100¢	$143	0xf67896…
03-11 20:12:27	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0xd02a79…
03-10 20:52:35	nba min lal 2026 03 10	Lakers	BUY	53	45¢	$24	0x6421e9…
03-10 20:52:07	nba bos sas 2026 03 10	Spurs	BUY	44	59¢	$26	0x911a4c…
03-10 20:51:35	nba det bkn 2026 03 10	Nets	BUY	50	11¢	$5	0xd8597a…
03-08 18:39:39	will bitcoin dip to 61500 on march 8	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x65c5b4…
03-07 14:29:51	will bitcoin reach 80k march 2 8	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa6349a…
03-05 15:14:23	nba det sas 2026 03 05	Spurs	BUY	49	60¢	$29	0x76ba35…
03-04 16:47:53	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0xb95872…
03-04 09:50:01	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x687cd2…
03-03 22:59:21	nba was orl 2026 03 03	Magic	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x462ffe…
03-03 22:58:53	nba phx sac 2026 03 03	Suns	BUY	48	77¢	$37	0x24d2c4…
03-03 13:57:49	nba was orl 2026 03 03	Wizards	BUY	37	11¢	$4	0xc917be…
03-03 05:05:53	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0xd0c200…
03-02 22:10:29	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x917e64…
03-01 17:30:31	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x832c25…
02-28 07:20:45	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x6cfbaa…
02-28 07:20:23	Fabric FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x99b6b4…