Spirited-Predecessor — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$33

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

88 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$913

$913 lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-12 22:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 29% $-104

Other

8% 100% +$71

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	4	$127	105	105	+0	Up	+$26	05-10 03:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	3	$81	180	84	+96	Up	$-38	05-10 03:36
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-10?	5	$72	241	151	+91	Yes	+$71	05-10 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	4	$53	122	122	+0	Down	$-18	05-10 03:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	3	$43	66	29	+37	Up	+$44	05-10 02:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	5	$40	97	63	+35	Down	$-2	05-12 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$38	17	44	-27	Up	$-8	05-10 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	3	$29	48	14	+34	Down	$-11	05-10 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$29	23	23	+0	Down	+$5	05-10 02:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	3	$28	63	0	+63	Down	$-28	05-10 03:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$26	0	34	-34	Up	$-7	05-10 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$23	46	0	+46	Up	+$23	05-10 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$22	0	26	-26	Up	$-4	05-10 02:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	5	$22	98	83	+15	Up	+$6	05-10 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	4	$22	40	25	+15	Up	$-8	05-12 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$20	0	23	-23	Up	$-3	05-10 04:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$19	37	0	+37	Up	+$18	05-10 04:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$18	38	0	+38	Down	$-18	05-10 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$15	24	0	+24	Down	+$9	05-12 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$15	0	18	-18	Up	$-3	05-12 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	3	$12	16	132	-116	Down	+$3	05-10 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	3	$11	9	11	-2	Down	$-4	05-12 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$11	79	0	+79	Up	$-11	05-10 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$11	20	20	+0	Up	$-9	05-10 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$11	0	12	-12	Down	$-1	05-12 21:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	2	$11	11	51	-40	Up	$-39	05-10 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$10	40	0	+40	Down	+$30	05-12 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$10	26	0	+26	Up	$-10	05-10 03:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$10	30	0	+30	Down	$-10	05-10 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$9	25	0	+25	Down	$-9	05-10 04:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 22:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9d3c87…
05-12 22:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3e2dc1…
05-12 22:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xbe5207…
05-12 22:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6f18fa…
05-12 22:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x196b20…
05-12 22:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xaf206a…
05-12 22:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x11fa4e…
05-12 22:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x44904b…
05-12 22:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x70a4a2…
05-12 22:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	63	30¢	$19	0x44a13c…
05-12 22:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	63	22¢	$14	0xdbbb3e…
05-12 22:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x55f77a…
05-12 22:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3f2f98…
05-12 22:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x550e30…
05-12 22:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	84¢	$9	0x42da8c…
05-12 21:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x9cf3ce…
05-12 21:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	25	27¢	$7	0xb11c53…
05-12 21:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x934462…
05-12 21:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x2dd7bd…
05-12 21:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf819f4…
05-12 21:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xbbc364…
05-12 21:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xdc94c9…
05-12 21:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xc056a0…
05-12 21:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	26	20¢	$5	0x1a4852…
05-12 21:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xf822f8…
05-12 21:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	12	91¢	$11	0x8db89d…
05-12 21:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	18	85¢	$15	0x1bc458…
05-10 13:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xab3120…
05-10 13:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x0811ec…
05-10 13:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x912119…
05-10 10:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	79	14¢	$11	0x32abc7…
05-10 09:54:38	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	SELL	82	17¢	$14	0x1e2532…
05-10 09:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	38	48¢	$18	0xc79721…
05-10 08:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xfdb0f8…
05-10 08:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x7bf487…
05-10 08:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	14	62¢	$9	0x23c9da…
05-10 08:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xabdc20…
05-10 08:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	34	47¢	$16	0xd36389…
05-10 08:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x2fe686…
05-10 08:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	44	84¢	$37	0xc697a4…
05-10 08:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xbf5f1c…
05-10 07:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x4ada88…
05-10 07:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0xb51a32…
05-10 07:38:55	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	82	19¢	$16	0x438adc…
05-10 07:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	34	78¢	$26	0x8ac797…
05-10 07:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0xd24ac2…
05-10 07:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	83	17¢	$14	0xcad083…
05-10 07:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x9f841d…
05-10 07:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x013d7e…
05-10 07:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	32	9¢	$3	0xc4bd2a…
05-10 05:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	41	20¢	$8	0x18e181…
05-10 04:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	37¢	$9	0xb31062…
05-10 04:41:51	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	91	19¢	$17	0xbb48fd…
05-10 04:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	37	51¢	$19	0xbfe48b…
05-10 04:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	23	86¢	$20	0x0fdbec…
05-10 04:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x0e542f…
05-10 04:27:25	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	SELL	68	18¢	$12	0x95ec70…
05-10 03:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	96	20¢	$19	0x329868…
05-10 03:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	84	25¢	$21	0x7de935…
05-10 03:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	84	48¢	$40	0x4e2abd…
05-10 03:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x340ecd…
05-10 03:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	67	7¢	$4	0xe5f573…
05-10 03:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	67	17¢	$11	0xe41c8c…
05-10 03:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	54	24¢	$13	0x9429bd…
05-10 03:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	54	44¢	$24	0x342820…
05-10 03:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x812098…
05-10 03:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xb23a7c…
05-10 03:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x2f3737…
05-10 03:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	70	88¢	$62	0x0f0fc2…
05-10 03:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	70	48¢	$34	0x52aaf5…
05-10 03:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	35	42¢	$15	0x226d38…
05-10 03:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	75	2¢	$2	0xe56488…
05-10 03:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	35	49¢	$17	0x335abb…
05-10 03:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	57	10¢	$6	0x468cae…
05-10 03:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0xa3dca1…
05-10 02:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	29	86¢	$25	0xe8aee3…
05-10 02:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x75f198…
05-10 02:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	39	20¢	$8	0xf020e4…
05-10 02:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	51	11¢	$6	0x7986d5…
05-10 02:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xb47d3b…
05-10 02:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	26	86¢	$22	0x6f4c47…
05-10 02:35:21	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	68	19¢	$13	0x76a79c…
05-10 02:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	23	73¢	$17	0x0757e6…
05-10 02:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0x29480e…
05-10 02:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	46	50¢	$23	0xd19f16…
05-10 02:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xea46fd…
05-10 02:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x52d65a…
05-10 02:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x8cb06d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	42	$20.3K	1,001	05-12 22:28
Mad-Plot 0x2709…20f5	42	$3.81K	518	05-12 22:26
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	41	$4.00K	331	05-12 22:27
Impressive-Buck 0xbd05…0a55	41	$1.26K	151	05-12 22:28
Lumbering-Kayak 0xf6ab…3579	41	$1.11K	135	05-12 22:28
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	40	$20.3K	277	05-12 22:28
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	40	$15.9K	126	05-12 22:28
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	40	$2.11K	326	05-12 22:27